SKEW Archives - Cboe Blogs

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | May 7, 2017, 7:21 PM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/1/2017 - 5/5/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/1/2017 - 5/5/2017

    The chart below may be one of the final references to the French Election which came to an end this weekend.  Note VXST, which reflects the IV of very short term SPX options was elevated going into the weekend.  I don’t think it is too much of a stretch to say that a quick drop in VXST may be in the cards come Monday morning.  SKEW dropping dramatically last week may be the last bastion of higher volatility dropping.  This happened despite VIX dropping which makes the[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Apr 30, 2017, 9:10 AM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 4/24/2017 - 4/28/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 4/24/2017 - 4/28/2017

    S&P 500 implied volatility was dramatically lower last week.  Of significance is VXV which hit 2017 lows.  I’m teamed up with an academic putting the final touches on a study showing that VXV leads VIX so this may be a signal that the low for VIX in 2017 hasn’t be established and a close below 10.00 is a distinct possibility.  Beyond the long ETPs on the table, which had a pretty tough week, are some other markets worth noting.  First, TYVIX, which was over[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | French Election | Apr 2, 2017, 9:50 AM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 3/27 - 3/31

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 3/27 - 3/31

    The shift lower in the VXST – VIX – VXV – VXMT curve was 75% parallel and 25% dramatic.  The dramatic move was at the shorter end of the curve where VXST dropped 28% moving from a premium to discount relative to VIX.  As noted volatility was lower across the board.  Of interest below, VVIX finished below 80 and TYVIX remained at very low levels. For the volatility bulls the only glimmer of hope is SKEW around 140, but it is pretty difficult to get excited about[...]

  • Mar 25, 2017, 1:30 PM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 3/20 - 3/24

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 3/20 - 3/24

    We finally got a 1% move out of the S&P 500 last week, breaking a streak that has been the focus of many market observers.  The result of the dramatic mid-week drop for SPX was a rise in shorter term implied volatility which shows up nicely below.  For only the second week this year VXX and the other long related ETPs were higher.  VVIX is showing some strength as concern creeps back into the equity markets.  SKEW which reached all-time highs just a week ago, backed off[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Feb 7, 2017, 1:14 PM

    Finding Volatility in the US Equity Markets

    Finding Volatility in the US Equity Markets

    VIX is low, we all know VIX is low.  I type that and feel I need to stop channeling Dr. Seuss.  However, there are some pockets of volatility in the US equity markets, we just need to know where to look.  Since CBOE quotes several volatility indexes that are based on the US markets I went searching for places where the market is still pricing in a little concern about the future.  Two areas that stood out –  tail risk and small cap risk.  Let’s start with[...]

  • Jan 29, 2017, 12:44 PM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/23 - 1/27

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/23 - 1/27

    All four of the S&P 500 related volatility indexes quoted by CBOE were lower last week.  The price action resulted in the usual cries that VIX is too low, but after this first chart I’m going to show where volatility has been lower and not just decades ago, but much more recently. To get a historical perspective I compared all four volatility indexes to their 2016 lows as well as lowest prices since 2008.  The asterisk on the chart for post 2008 lows is there since we only have[...]

  • Jan 21, 2017, 4:40 PM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/17 - 1/20

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/17 - 1/20

    The four volatility indexes based on S&P 500 option pricing were mixed on a week over week basis.  VXST and VIX rose while VXV and VXMT dropped slightly.  The result was a slight week over week twist in the curve below.  Note a couple of additions to the table below, VMAX and VMIN which have a different construction than VXX and XIV will now be monitored on a week over week basis.  Both have a shorter-term outlook than the standard VIX related funds.  The big standout[...]

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