$VXST Archives - CBOE Blogs

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Jul 11, 2015, 12:37 PM

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 7/6 - 7/10

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 7/6 - 7/10

    From the pre-Independence day July 2nd close to this past Friday VXST was down 0.73, VIX was up by 0.04, VXV was 0.05 higher and VXMT finished 0.28 higher. VXST is sort of an anomaly as there is a 3-day weekend impact that pushes the index lower. As the week over week change does no justice in showing the actual price action from last week I included the Thursday closing curve to show that last week was anything but boring. Note on the table below both VXX (and the similar funds) and SVXY (plus[...]

  • Market News | Jun 13, 2015, 11:30 AM

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 6/8 - 6/12

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 6/8 - 6/12

    The curve shift shown below kind of looks like the June 12th line is taking a swipe at the June 5th line with VXST throwing the punch.  Short term volatility climbed Friday relative to the other volatility measures and the result was a pretty interesting and possibly worrisome change in the VXST – VIX – VXV – VXMT curve.  Time will tell, but VXST at a premium to VIX usually is a result of a market drop or market participants having short term concerns about the equity[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | May 30, 2015, 11:51 AM

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/26 - 5/29

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/26 - 5/29

    Short term volatility rose last week based on stock market action and some impact from the holiday weekend. VXST’s 42% rise is partially attributed to the three day weekend being behind us and we can probably give a little credit to the day off Monday for the 14% rise in VIX. The issue that has nothing to do with the four day work week is the shape of the curve below which shows VXST is basically in line with VIX as of Friday's close. This is an indication that[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Apr 25, 2015, 10:26 AM

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 4/20 - 4/24

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 4/20 - 4/24

    The S&P 500 managed to reach a record high for the sixth time this year, but all the applause from bulls last week was for the Nasdaq-100 which made an all-time high for the first time in 15 years. All hail tech! All four volatility indexes that are based off S&P 500 option pricing moved lower last week and three of the four are below the 2014 average. Only VXMT, the 6 month version of VIX, remains elevated relative to the 2014 average. I guess bears may be throwing in the towel for the summer[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Apr 18, 2015, 1:00 PM

    Volatility Indexes and ETPs - Week of 4/13 - 4/17

    Volatility Indexes and ETPs - Week of 4/13 - 4/17

    Despite an ugly Friday both VXST and VIX remains pretty low relative to recent levels. I again included the 2014 average closing levels to the chart below. This inclusion isn’t so much about noting VIX is lower, but that VXV (3 month volatility) moved above the 2014 average and VXMT (6 month volatility) remains higher than what was the average for last year. Do note that VXV got some love this past week in a discussion by Adam Warner which then led to a story on CNBC.   The links[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Mar 21, 2015, 2:48 PM

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 3/16 - 3/20

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 3/16 - 3/20

    I’m repeating the alteration I did last week to the term structure chart below. Instead of a week over week comparison I show the closing levels for VXST, VIX, VXV, and VXMT relative to the average levels in 2014. Note that near term volatility has thrown in the towel, but concern about a potential downturn for the equity market persists in the three and six month time frames.  Longer dated volatility is still elevated, despite dropping last week in sync with VXST and VIX. A 2.66% rally[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Feb 28, 2015, 7:47 AM

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 2/23 - 2/27

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 2/23 - 2/27

    Last week was fairly quiet despite the second revision of GDP coming in a little light. We may see a little more volatility action in the coming week as on Wednesday the ADP Employment Change report is released Wednesday before the open and then the government version of the employment report coming on Friday. Both of these reports are significant as they are a first look at economic activity for February. Despite the S&P 500 losing a little value last week, with Friday to blame, the VXST –[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Feb 21, 2015, 10:53 AM

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 2/16 - 2/20

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 2/16 - 2/20

    Usually it is pretty easy for me to come up with something new to say regarding what went on the volatility markets last week. However, it has been a lot of the same for a pretty long time now. We have now experienced three all-time highs for the S&P 500 in 2015, which is three more than some forecasters thought we’d see, and VIX is working down to levels we were accustomed to over the past couple of years. Friday’s VIX close of 14.30 is just a tad higher than the average VIX close[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Jan 31, 2015, 12:12 PM

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/26 - 1/30

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/26 - 1/30

    Friday the S&P 500 sold off and broke below the psychologically significant 2000 level. Other than being a round number that’s about all the significance I would give to 2000.  If I were still a full time trader the number I would be more concerned with is 1990. The first chart this weekend is a daily closing chart for the S&P 500. I did write a book on technical analysis (like 9 years ago) but do not claim to be a master technician. However it sure appears to me that support for[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Jan 24, 2015, 10:06 AM

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/20 - 1/23

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/20 - 1/23

    Last week was another roller coaster ride for the equity market and subsequently the volatility markets. The VXST – VIX – VXV – VXMT volatility curve shifted back into contango and shook off a mild market drop on Friday to stay that way. With VIX having a 16 handle, I am beginning to wonder if traders are reaching an exhaustion point from reacting to dramatic down days in stock prices. The long volatility funds such as VXX had a tough week losing around 9%, again despite[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | Jan 16, 2015, 11:15 AM

    Weekly Market Commentary 1.16.15

    Weekly Market Commentary 1.16.15

    The stock market has experienced huge moves so far this year, far greater than have been seen since the fall of 2011.  There has been a lot of back forth action, but the bears seem to be gradually getting the upper hand.   Yet, the indicators are mixed and it could be that the Standard & Poors 500 Index ($SPX) is just in a wide and volatile trading range. $SPX has established support near 1990.  Below there, the next support level is at roughly 1975, and if that support is[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Jan 11, 2015, 8:00 AM

    Last Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/5 - 1/9

    Last Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/5 - 1/9

    When we have volatile weeks like last week I will alter the various term structure of volatility charts included in these blogs. The first graphic is an example of this where I added Tuesday’s closing levels for VXST, VIX, VXV, and VXMT to the typical week over week curve. Something that really stands out to me on this graphic is the shape of the Tuesday close. There is no inversion with VXST moving to a premium relative to VIX and the levels at the far end of the curve (VXV and VXMT) are at[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Jan 1, 2015, 11:40 AM

    Volatility Indexes and ETPs in 2014

    Volatility Indexes and ETPs in 2014

    During the first half of 2014 I got to have several conversations about whether or not VIX was ‘broken’ since the average level for VIX was so low. Needless to say I haven’t fielded a single call or email about VIX being broken since October. 2014 was a pretty interesting year in volatility trading. More market participants have become involved in the volatility markets through VIX future, options, or ETPs. The table below shows the year over year change for the S&P 500, volatility[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Dec 27, 2014, 10:37 AM

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 12/22 - 12/26

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 12/22 - 12/26

    This past week the S&P 500 recorded a record high on 3 of the 4 trading days with Friday being number 52 in 2014. I did some digging on this topic and 52 new highs in a year is less than the number of new highs just last year. Last year the S&P 500 set 69 new highs, but that still isn’t the record number of new highs in a single year. 1995 holds that distinction with the S&P 500 closed at a record level 77 times. The term structure curve is returning to normal based on the price[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Dec 13, 2014, 9:25 AM

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 12/8 - 12/12

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 12/8 - 12/12

    The VXST – VIX – VXV – VXMT curve shift was the most dramatic change I have seen since writing these blogs. Of course VXST is just a little over a year old so there’s not too much history for comparison. I am more intrigued by the right side of the curve with VXV and VXMT in the 20’s. As a reminder VXV is a 3 month version of VIX and VXMT measures 6 month implied volatility. Those two indexes moving above 20 and in line with VIX indicate some real concern for the S&P[...]