• VIX | Apr 13, 2018, 9:19 AM

    Volatility Linked ETPs Performance for 2018

    Volatility Linked ETPs Performance for 2018

    Earlier this week, ETF.COM posted an article identifying the best performing Exchange Trade Products for 2018 through April 10th.  The list is top heavy with volatility linked ETPs, including those that provide investors with long exposure to a volatility index strategy as opposed to a short strategy.  The Top 10 performers as of April 10th appear on the table below.   Source:  ETF.COM Click here to read Summit Roy’s summary of ETF / ETN performance for 2018 through[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Feb 12, 2018, 8:08 AM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs Feb 10 2018

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs Feb 10 2018

    We experienced the biggest one week drop in two years last week for the S&P 500.  The result was the type of moves we haven’t seen in S&P 500 related volatility indexes since August 2015.  We got a 67% gain for VIX last week, with VIX3M gaining 46% and VXMT was 32% higher.  The result was steep backwardation that is normally associated with near term concerns about the direction of the stock market.  There’s lots to talk about on the table below. [...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Feb 3, 2018, 10:14 AM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs Feb 3 2018

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs Feb 3 2018

    Of the four volatility indexes on the term structure chart below two have been around the longest.  Of course VIX with the other being VIX3M (formerly known as VXV).  The relationship between the 1-month volatility index and 3-month version usually has VIX at a discount to VIX3M.  Friday this relationship flipped for the first time since April of last year.  It is considered a sign of fear being ‘overdone’ when VIX is higher than VIX3M.  We shall see next week[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jan 29, 2018, 7:11 AM

    Volatility Indexes and ETPs Weekend Review for January 27 2018

    Volatility Indexes and ETPs Weekend Review for January 27 2018

    Three out of four volatility indexes that based their levels on SPX option trading were higher last week.  VIX was the lone loser with 9-day, 3-month, and 6-month volatility indexes all moving higher.  The long volatility linked ETPs, based on US volatility, were all higher last week.  Note things were different in Europe as EVIX was lower and EXIV gained.  Also, I continue to keep an eye on TYVIX which is showing signs of life as the talk of the end of the bull market in bonds[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jan 20, 2018, 10:20 AM

    Volatility Indexes and ETPs Weekend Review for January 20 2018

    Volatility Indexes and ETPs Weekend Review for January 20 2018

    All four volatility indexes based on S&P 500 Index option pricing moved higher last week.  I know all the talk was about the government shutdown being responsible for the rise.  However, if that were totally the case I don’t think we would be seeing VIX3M and VXMT moving up as much as they did.  I believe there’s more going on here, but I also spend most Friday evenings watching Ancient Aliens.  In the ETP space the long funds benefitted from the bump in VIX[...]

  • Jan 7, 2018, 8:07 AM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/6/2018

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/6/2018

    The S&P 500 rallied nicely to begin 2018 gaining 2.60% last week.  Those that predict 2018 will be a repeat of 2017 are feeling very smug this weekend, however, we have 51 weeks to go and time will tell.  SPX volatility did what it does and dropped with the strong stock market. The long funds picked up where they left off having a pretty tough week and the short funds benefitted.  I special shout out to the short VSTOXX focused ETN (EXIV) which put up a 12.6% move this week. [...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Dec 30, 2017, 4:26 PM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 12/26/2017 - 12/29/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 12/26/2017 - 12/29/2017

    The four volatility indexes that are based on SPX option pricing were all higher last week with VXST leading the charge.  Of course, the VXST move was aided by a rebound from depressed levels that can be attributed to two three day weekends between the index calculation and the two option series used to determine the level of VXST. The VIX futures markets were mixed last week with nearer dated contracts gaining and longer dated futures losing value.  The result is a mixed back of volatility[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Dec 23, 2017, 1:40 PM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 12/18/2017 - 12/22/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 12/18/2017 - 12/22/2017

    The volatility index price action relative to the equity market price action was pretty interesting last week.  The S&P 500 was higher, as were three of the four volatility indexes calculated using S&P 500 option pricing.  VXST was lower, but that is very common before three day weekends due to the calculation methodology (calendar days) when we have the market closed for three days.  VVIX stays over 90 and moved up a bit last week and TYVIX moved nicely off closing at an[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Dec 17, 2017, 8:49 AM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 12/11/2017 - 12/15/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 12/11/2017 - 12/15/2017

    Friday was a huge day for US stocks with broad based indexes rallying nicely.  The result was pressure on the SPX related volatility indexes which pushed them from up on the week to having a losing week.  Friday’s price action put pressure on the long ETPs and pushed the short ETPs (XIV and SVXY) to even higher levels.  Both have now more than doubled in 2017.  VVIX remains elevated which indicates the VIX call buyers haven’t completely gone away.  TYVIX managed[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Dec 10, 2017, 12:57 PM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 12/4/2017 - 12/8/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 12/4/2017 - 12/8/2017

    Stocks ended the week on a strong note and the result was S&P 500 related volatility indexes doing what they do in 2017 after even a slight move to the upside and lost value.  The curve shifted lower and back into contango. Again, VVIX remains a bit elevated, something that was pointed out a couple of times last week in Hong Kong at our Risk Management Conference.  Steve Sears also discusses the use of VIX options this weekend in his column noting the most common use is hedging. [...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Dec 2, 2017, 7:50 PM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/27/2017 - 12/1/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/27/2017 - 12/1/2017

    S&P 500 volatility was higher across the four indexes that measure expected volatility over different time frames.  Keep an eye on the VIX3M to VIX relationship if VIX remains at higher levels.  VIX3M can be an early indicator for a rise in VIX. The long funds rose a bit with VMAX getting a big bump as the weighting is focused on a shorter time frame than the other unleveraged long funds.  Also note VVIX in the mid-90’s, like VIX3M VVIX can be a leading indicator of a higher[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 25, 2017, 1:38 PM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/20/2017 - 11/24/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/20/2017 - 11/24/2017

    The VXST – VIX – VIX3M – VXMT curve shifted lower with even VXST, which was under extra holiday week pressure going into the 11/17 close, losing value last week.  Looking at VIX3M and VXMT one might think traders expect 2018 to be a continuation of what we’ve had in 2017, at least to start the year. The long funds resumed their downward move while the short funds bounced as they do following any short lived strength in volatility (I have a hard time calling a move to[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 18, 2017, 3:11 PM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/13/2017 - 11/17/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/13/2017 - 11/17/2017

    What the heck is going on with VXST on the chart below?  Basically Thanksgiving.  As a nine-day measure of SPX implied volatility this index takes into account options that have their implied volatility under pressure to adjust for extra time decay since we have Thursday off and a half day this coming Friday.  I have a funny feeling this time next week VXST will have fallen back in line (or contango) with the other indexes below.  The long funds were a bit lower last[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 12, 2017, 4:19 PM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/6/2017 - 11/10/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/6/2017 - 11/10/2017

    S&P 500 volatility rose across the four volatility indexes based on SPX option pricing this past week.  The short side of the equation was up strong and the longer dated indexes (VIX3M and VXMT) had good weeks as well.  It may just be some concern is finally returning to the equity markets.   The long funds had solid weeks with the unleveraged ETPs gaining 3% to 7%, with the big winner being EVIX which is based on VSTOXX futures trading.  The short funds gave up almost the[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 4, 2017, 11:23 AM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 10/30/2017 - 11/3/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 10/30/2017 - 11/3/2017

    VIX closed on an all-time low Friday and VXST was lower on the week as well, but note the right side of the VXST – VIX – VIX3M – VXMT curve where we had a slight rise in both the longer dated S&P 500 related volatility indexes.  The long ETPs were looking good on Monday, but they managed to give it back and more by the end of the week.  Even SKEW and VVIX, which have been holding up relative to VIX most of 2017 are starting to work lower.  Across the spectrum[...]