NDX Archives - CBOE Blogs

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | Futures | Strategy | Oct 31, 2016, 10:03 AM

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - October 31, 2016

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - October 31, 2016

    Stocks tried to get the market back in a bullish groove, staging a pretty solid advance on Monday of last week. It wasn't meant to be though. That rally effort petered out beginning on Tuesday, and then accelerated as the week wore on with the weight of a big Q2 rally still getting in the way. By the time Friday's closing bell rang most of the indices were within easy reach of a major support level. One stumble this week could finally pop this fragile (albeit short-term) bubble. And if there was[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Election & VIX | Oct 26, 2016, 10:47 AM

    Analyzing Equity Market Sector Risk and the Election

    Analyzing Equity Market Sector Risk and the Election

    So, what do Mexico and the Biotech industry have in common?  They both seem to be braced for excess volatility following the US Presidential election.  Before jumping into all that I’ll explain the table that sums all this up. A couple of days ago I posted a blog showing that SPX option implied volatility jumped about 2 points when comparing at the money options.   Our friends at CBOE LiveVol calculates ATM implied volatility for all option markets.  Using that information[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Futures | Jul 25, 2016, 9:38 AM

    Weekly Market Outlook - Where We Stand As Fed Approaches & Earnings Seasons Is Underway

    Weekly Market Outlook - Where We Stand As Fed Approaches & Earnings Seasons Is Underway

    Despite starting last week out overbought and near all-time highs, the bulls decided by the end of the week they were still buying more.  Friday's close of 2175.03 was not only 0.6% higher than the prior week's close, it was a record high close for the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY). No, it's not a giant gain, but it's an impressive one all things considered - however there are plenty of opportunities for profit-taking right now. The $64,000 question: Can the current rally last?[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Strategy | Jan 25, 2016, 9:57 AM

    Weekly Market Outlook - Reasons To Be Optimistic Here

    Weekly Market Outlook - Reasons To Be Optimistic Here

    After a scary start to the shortened trading week, Wednesday's intraday turnaround followed-through quite nicely all the way to the end of Friday's trading. By the time the closing bell rang that day, the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) had gained 1.4% after being down as much as 3.6% at one point on Wednesday. Better still, there's room for the market to keep rising. It's still too soon to say this is the beginning of what will be a prolonged rally; there remains an entanglement of resistance lines[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Jan 19, 2016, 11:30 AM

    Market Outlook - Are Stocks Ready To Pivot?

    Market Outlook - Are Stocks Ready To Pivot?

    Despite a couple of valiant efforts from the bulls, there was just nothing that could stop the raging bear last week. By the time the closing bell rang on Friday, the market was off by 2.2% for the week.... most of which came during Friday's selloff. Was that enough to finally drive the market to a meaningful bottom and let stocks start to recover for a while? Most indices are still on the fence, but yes, there are some clues suggesting stocks are ready to pivot. The question is, can we trust those[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Education | Jan 4, 2016, 2:11 PM

    Eight Charts to Recap 2015 – CNDR Index Rose 10.4%

    Eight Charts to Recap 2015 – CNDR Index Rose 10.4%

    End-of-the-year headlines noted “A Roller Coaster Year Ends with U.S. Markets Mostly Down” (New York Times) and “U.S. Stocks Post Worst Annual Losses Since 2008” (The Wall Street Journal). In this new year on Jan. 4, wsj.com noted “Weaker-than-expected manufacturing data and a falling currency triggered a 7% fall in mainland Chinese stocks that led authorities to halt trading there before the end of the session.” After reading these types of news stories, an inquisitive[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Futures | May 18, 2015, 10:35 AM

    Will The Breakout To New Highs Stick This Time? - Weekly Market Outlook

    Will The Breakout To New Highs Stick This Time? - Weekly Market Outlook

    The S&P 500 Index ended last week at a new high, and the technical trend momentum picture is bullish.  But we've seen similar moves since February reverse several times, as the market has remained in a choppy and grinding narrowing range (with a mild upside bias). The $64,000 question: Do we trust the move we just got by taking it at face value, or is this another potential fakeout? We'll weigh the odds below, after taking a detailed look at some of last week's and this week's[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Trader Talk | May 11, 2015, 4:00 PM

    Will The Nasdaq & Russell 2k Drag The SPX Back Down? - Weekly Market Outlook

    Will The Nasdaq & Russell 2k Drag The SPX Back Down? - Weekly Market Outlook

    You have to give credit to the bulls - they're not going down without a fight. In fact, last week's market rebound right from the brink of disaster was another impressive comeback. On the other hand, as impressive as Friday's bounce was, stocks still aren't over the big hurdle that's been holding them back since February.  Will this be the time we break through past the recent choppiness and trend higher? We'll draw that line in the sand after recapping last week's big economic news[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Jan 1, 2015, 4:15 PM

    Nasdaq-100 Volatility in 2014

    Nasdaq-100 Volatility in 2014

    Of the three broad based market indexes that have tradable volatility markets, the Nasdaq-100 (NDX – 4236.28) was the clear winner in 2014. NDX rose almost 18% on the year while the S&P 500 was up 11.4% and the Russell 2000 gained only 3.5%. With the tech and biotech sector in favor for most of 2014 volatility as priced in by NDX options was relatively low. The first thought I have when I look at the table below is disbelief. I’ve said this many times and I’m truly[...]

  • Trader Talk | Education | Dec 9, 2014, 10:00 AM

    Index & ETF LEAPS To Be Added for 2017

    Index & ETF LEAPS To Be Added for 2017

    On Wednesday, December 24, 2014, trading begins for December 2017 LEAPS® in the below Index and exchange-traded fund (ETF) option products: DJX (Dow Jones Industrial Average) MNX (Mini-NASDAQ 100 Index) NDX (NASDAQ 100 Index) OEF (iShares on the S&P 100 Index Fund) OEX (S&P 100 Index with American Exercise) RUT (Russell 2000 Index)** SPX (S&P 500 Index) SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)** XEO (S&P 100 Index with European Exercise) ** Note: RUT and SPY are the only products identified[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Education | Dec 8, 2014, 10:22 AM

    Can The Nasdaq Comp & Russell 2k Give The Next Boost? - Weekly Market Outlook

    Can The Nasdaq Comp & Russell 2k Give The Next Boost? - Weekly Market Outlook

    Though the market may have gotten off  to a bad start with Monday's 0.7% stumble, the bulls took charge again the very next day to hammer out a gain for the week.  Granted, it was less than a 0.4% gain when all was said and done, but a gain is a gain. On the other hand, it didn't take long after last week's turnaround from Monday's dip for the lethargy to set in again (some of which is likely due to the winter holiday season).  Once again, the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) is bumping around new-high[...]