SPX Archives - Cboe Blogs

  • Market News | 2016 Recap | Jan 4, 2017, 8:09 AM

    Higher Returns and Lower Volatility for BXMD and PUT Indexes Over 30½ Years

    Higher Returns and Lower Volatility for BXMD and PUT Indexes Over 30½ Years

    Investors now have access to price histories for several CBOE benchmark indexes that date back 30.5 years. The first two charts below show that since mid-1986 both the CBOE S&P 500 30-Delta BuyWrite Index (BXMDSM) and CBOE S&P 500 PutWrite Index (PUTSM) had higher returns than the S&P 500® Index, 30-Year Treasury Bond Index (Citi), MSCI EAFE® Index, and S&P GSCI Index. HIGHER RETURNS AND LOWER VOLATILITY The Annualized Returns and Standard Deviations bar graphs below show[...]

  • Exploring the Rare Action in the S&P 500 Put / Call Ratio

    Exploring the Rare Action in the S&P 500 Put / Call Ratio

    Yesterday, astute market observer and Options Institute Instructor Kevin Davitt pointed out that the SPX Put Call Ratio had closed under 1.00 three days this month (Dec 7th, Dec 8th, and Dec 13th).  I knew this was a rarity, but didn’t realized how rare it was for this ratio to close below 1.00.  In fact, it has only happened sixteen times since July 2010 (which is how far back the data goes back on CBOE’s website).  Five of those sixteen occurrences happened in 2016 –[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Dec 11, 2016, 2:18 PM

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 12/11/2016

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 12/11/2016

    The Weekly News Roundup is your weekly recap of CBOE features, options industry news and VIX Index and volatility-related articles from print, broadcast, online and social media outlets. VIX FIX: The Volatility If Game    Over the past weeks, there has been myriad of “if” scenarios cited that could potentially trigger long-term volatility to re-emerge.  To-date, macro events including the Brexit vote, a surprise Trump victory in the U.S. presidential election and a consensus[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Election & VIX | 2016 Recap | Dec 10, 2016, 1:56 PM

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 12/5 - 12/9

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 12/5 - 12/9

    VIX is experiencing some seasonal pressure despite the looming FOMC meeting (and expected rate hike) this Wednesday.  VIX finished the week with an 11 handle at 11.75.  Without the final known unknown market event of 2016 coming up next week one can only wonder where VIX would be.  The curve is steep, but that rise doesn’t really kick in until next year when the uncertainty of political change in Washington DC is probably hovering over the equity markets. Things[...]

  • Market News | Strategy | Election & VIX | 2016 Recap | Nov 29, 2016, 11:24 AM

    Election Night Option Liquidity

    Election Night Option Liquidity

    CBOE’s Extended Trading Hours (ETH) options session reached a significant milestone in the wake of the surprising U.S. election results, surpassing 100,000 contracts for the first time on November 9. CBOE introduced the ETH options session in 2015 on our SPX and VIX products. The primary motivation for offering these products during off-market hours was to provide market participants with the opportunity to react to global events at the time of those events taking place, rather than having[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Election & VIX | 2016 Recap | Nov 19, 2016, 11:57 AM

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 11/14 - 11/18

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 11/14 - 11/18

    VIX returned to being a ‘tween’ this week finishing with a twelve handle.  The rest of the curve shifted lower as all fear with respect to a Trump administration seems to have dissipated.  At least for the moment.  There are some risk events between now and the end of 2016 which I’ll address after the table below. CBOE’s partner LiveVol has a great option analyzing tool and one of the features is that you can easily see At-the-Money implied volatility for different[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 14, 2016, 7:05 PM

    A Quick Look at Market Risk Through the End of 2016

    A Quick Look at Market Risk Through the End of 2016

    As the recent election drew near I would periodically post a chart showing the implied volatility for ATM SPX options over the many expirations we have available for trading.  Just for the heck of it I checked in on SPX implied volatility for every expiration available until the end of 2016.  The shape was interesting with a couple of bumps that occur around known events which may impact the equity market.  I decided to get out a calendar and see what other potentially market moving[...]

  • About Last Night

    About Last Night

    So I spent the evening and early part of this morning watching different networks while watching the financial markets at the same time.  The chart below is a 5-minute chart showing the S&P 500 and VIX futures trading during the non-US hours trading session.  Then after 3 hours of sleep I taught my class at Loyola, spending half of that talking my students down from their disappointment at the election results.   There were a couple of things that stand out on the chart from[...]

  • Market News | Election & VIX | 2016 Recap | Nov 7, 2016, 10:22 AM

    Election Update - Volatility Still Abundant Despite S&P 500 Rally

    Election Update - Volatility Still Abundant Despite S&P 500 Rally

    As I write this the S&P 500 is up 40.00 points on the nose and volatility is dropping.  I ran a quick update on different charts I have been using to discuss the markets and the election.  All three appear to be saying despite the stock market rally, there’s still some uneasiness with respect to tomorrow’s election. First, I’ve been watching the at the money implied volatility of SPX options expiring in November.  We have options expiring on the close today, but[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Election & VIX | 2016 Recap | Nov 1, 2016, 4:16 PM

    Volatility and the Election Update

    Volatility and the Election Update

    Usually by this time in the election season we have a pretty good idea of who is going to win the election.  However, like everything associated with this election, it is different this time.  Things changed on a dime late last week and I'm having a hard time figuring out what to highlight with respect to the volatility markets.  So forgive me if I miss a thing or two here... Last Monday I showed the chart below and highlighted that implied volatility for SPX options expiring just[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | Futures | Strategy | Oct 31, 2016, 10:03 AM

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - October 31, 2016

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - October 31, 2016

    Stocks tried to get the market back in a bullish groove, staging a pretty solid advance on Monday of last week. It wasn't meant to be though. That rally effort petered out beginning on Tuesday, and then accelerated as the week wore on with the weight of a big Q2 rally still getting in the way. By the time Friday's closing bell rang most of the indices were within easy reach of a major support level. One stumble this week could finally pop this fragile (albeit short-term) bubble. And if there was[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Election & VIX | Oct 29, 2016, 9:08 AM

    VVIX Index Spikes 21% on News of Federal Investigation

    VVIX Index Spikes 21% on News of Federal Investigation

    OCT. 28 – On Friday afternoon a news story at wsj.com<http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2016/10/28/markets-rattled-by-fresh-fbi-review-of-clinton-email/?mod=djemalertMARKET> noted that – “Worries about a surprise election outcome resurfaced anew in financial markets on Friday afternoon after the Federal Bureau of Investigation uncovered new evidence in its investigation of Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton‘s email server. … The news sent ripples through[...]

  • Cboe Benchmark Indexes | Oct 26, 2016, 3:57 PM

    eVestment adds CBOE Strategy Benchmark Indexes

    eVestment adds CBOE Strategy Benchmark Indexes

    The following headlines appeared in the trade publications Pension & Investments…. “Hawaii assigns $1.6 billion total to 4 managers for options-based strategies” (March 21, 2016) “South Carolina allocates nearly $1.9 billion to equity options, infrastructure strategies” (April 21, 2016) The rationale for Hawaii and South Carolina’s interest in using options strategies to mitigate risk and enhance yields was outlined in the recent article in The Wall St. Journal… “In[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Election & VIX | Oct 26, 2016, 10:47 AM

    Analyzing Equity Market Sector Risk and the Election

    Analyzing Equity Market Sector Risk and the Election

    So, what do Mexico and the Biotech industry have in common?  They both seem to be braced for excess volatility following the US Presidential election.  Before jumping into all that I’ll explain the table that sums all this up. A couple of days ago I posted a blog showing that SPX option implied volatility jumped about 2 points when comparing at the money options.   Our friends at CBOE LiveVol calculates ATM implied volatility for all option markets.  Using that information[...]

  • Election & VIX | Oct 25, 2016, 2:53 PM

    Election Week SPX Expirations on Monday, Wednesday and Friday, with Higher Implied Volatility for SPX Puts on Nov. 9

    Election Week SPX Expirations on Monday, Wednesday and Friday, with Higher Implied Volatility for SPX Puts on Nov. 9

    In the October 22 Striking Price column in Barron’s, Steve Sears wrote --“keep an eye on the CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX. Already, some investors are preparing for significant volatility around the Nov. 8 election. Investors recently bought about 6,000 VIX Nov. 30 calls and about 9,000 Nov. 17 calls.” IMPLIED VOLATILITY FOR S&P 500 PUTS  The table below shows samplings of implied volatility estimates for S&P 500 2100 options with select expiration dates. The Monday,[...]