SPX Archives - Cboe Blogs

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Election & VIX | Oct 24, 2016, 4:58 PM

    "Election Certainty" Not Showing Up In SPX Options Market

    "Election Certainty" Not Showing Up In SPX Options Market

    So we keep hearing that the market is unconcerned with respect to the upcoming election or stated another way the stock market is discounting a victory by Hillary Clinton.  I am always skeptical when being told that the market thinks one thing or another without some sort of numbers to back up the statement.  With respect to the market discounting a pending event as being a non-event I always turn to volatility.  Specifically, implied volatility. If stock market participants are discounting[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Aug 29, 2016, 4:55 PM

    Trade Analysis - Short Term Bullish Spread With SPX Monday Weeklys

    Trade Analysis - Short Term Bullish Spread With SPX Monday Weeklys

    On Friday I received an email from a student who had recently attended one of the CBOE Options Institute courses.  They (I’m gender neutral to protect their identity) wanted to let me know that they had made the jump into SPX Monday Weeklys.  With the S&P 500 at 2166 they expressed a bullish outlook with respect to the stock market through initiating a bull call spread.   The specific trade involved buying the SPX Aug 29th 2160 Call for 10.80 and selling the SPX[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Futures | Aug 29, 2016, 11:26 AM

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - August 29, 2016

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - August 29, 2016

    Unable to resist the weight of its 9% gain since its late-June low, the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) finally started to buckle last week. The index only lost 0.68% for the five-day span, but that was the worst weekly performance since June, and could end up serving as the profit-taking excuse some traders have been waiting for. We'll look at the matter in more detail after a closer look at last week's and this week's economic numbers. They matter more than usual now, with the prospect of rising interest[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Aug 24, 2016, 11:15 AM

    The Buffett Put Trade - 2Q2016 Update

    The Buffett Put Trade - 2Q2016 Update

    Each quarter Berkshire Hathaway, like all investment firms, files their holdings with the SEC.  Most people scramble to see what stocks Warren Buffett has been adding to his portfolio.  I usually scramble as well, but I’m looking for something hardly discussed in the dozens of pages that make up Berkshire Hathaway’s 10-Q.  I go looking for an update on what I commonly call The Buffett Put Trade.  Back in April I wrote an explanation of what this trade is all about. [...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Aug 8, 2016, 10:56 AM

    Weekly Market Outlook - Upside Breakout Amid VIX Lows

    Weekly Market Outlook - Upside Breakout Amid VIX Lows

    Against the odds, though with the bigger-picture tide, last Tuesday's alarming intraday pullback ended up being just the regrouping the bulls needed to finally stage a breakthrough rally.  On the heels of a better-than-expected jobs report for July, the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) pushed up and off a key short-term moving average line to finally punch through a resistance line that had been nagging it since mid-July. Do we take the clue at face value and treat it as a breakout?  Or, was[...]

  • Trader Talk | Education | Jul 26, 2016, 2:30 AM

    Happy Birthday to Mick Jagger Who Told Us "Time is on our side"

    Happy Birthday to Mick Jagger Who Told Us "Time is on our side"

    Today is the 73rd birthday for Rolling Stones front man Sir Michael Philip ‘Mick’ Jagger.  His accomplishments would take up more space that I have available in this posting, but the statement, “one of the most dominant cultural figures of our time” about sums it up.  One of my favorite Rolling Stones songs is “Time Is on My Side” which I believe is a great statement with respect to potential success trading options.  I always think of that song[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Futures | Jul 25, 2016, 9:38 AM

    Weekly Market Outlook - Where We Stand As Fed Approaches & Earnings Seasons Is Underway

    Weekly Market Outlook - Where We Stand As Fed Approaches & Earnings Seasons Is Underway

    Despite starting last week out overbought and near all-time highs, the bulls decided by the end of the week they were still buying more.  Friday's close of 2175.03 was not only 0.6% higher than the prior week's close, it was a record high close for the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY). No, it's not a giant gain, but it's an impressive one all things considered - however there are plenty of opportunities for profit-taking right now. The $64,000 question: Can the current rally last?[...]

  • Education | Jul 20, 2016, 7:54 AM

    How Judy Greer Might Suggest Cheryl Tunt Hedge Her Portfolio

    How Judy Greer Might Suggest Cheryl Tunt Hedge Her Portfolio

    I’m using my blogging ability to wish a happy birthday to an American Treasure, Judy Greer.  Greer first caught my eye as the younger sister in the under-appreciated classic Chicago movie, Kissing a Fool.  Many people may remember her as Jennifer Garner's enemy in 13 Going on 30 (I was rooting for Judy's character).  She’s also appeared in many TV shows such as Arrested Development and Two and a Half Men.  My favorite role, however, just uses Judy’s voice as[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jul 13, 2016, 12:13 AM

    When VIX and SPX Rise Together - the 2016 Version

    When VIX and SPX Rise Together - the 2016 Version

    On July 11 and July 12 both the S&P 500 and VIX rose on the day.  This brought out an old blog I wrote in 2013 discussing what the stock market has historically done when both the S&P 500 and VIX rise two days in a row.  I updated the numbers from that last study and now we have 92 occurrences where both indexes rose two days in a row (today was number 93 and the jury is still out on the subsequent market action.  The table below summarizes what the S&P 500 did on average[...]

  • Market News | Education | Trade Ideas | Jul 12, 2016, 10:31 AM

    New SPX Monday-Expiring Weeklys Options To Launch Next Month

    New SPX Monday-Expiring Weeklys Options To Launch Next Month

    CBOE recently announced that it plans to list S&P 500® Index (SPX) Monday-expiring Weeklys options, beginning August 15, pending regulatory approval.  With the expected introduction of SPX "Monday Weeklys," CBOE will offer SPX options with Monday, Wednesday and Friday expirations. SPX Weeklys are one of CBOE's fastest-growing products, with volume in 2015 setting a 10th consecutive annual record. The chart below shows that SPX Wednesday-expiring weekly options set new volume[...]

  • Market News | Jul 9, 2016, 9:54 AM

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 7/8/2016

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 7/8/2016

    The Weekly News Roundup is your weekly recap of CBOE features, options industry news and VIX Index and volatility-related articles from print, broadcast, online and social media outlets. More Tools for “Target Outcome Investing” CBOE announced this week that it has created a series of 13 “enhanced growth indexes,” the second in a family of options-based strategy performance benchmarks designed to target the outcomes of specific investment strategies. These benchmarks measure[...]

  • Cboe Benchmark Indexes | Jul 8, 2016, 11:32 AM

    Managing Risk and Return with CLLZ and Zero-Cost Put Spread Collar - Blog #5 on 30-Year Price History

    Managing Risk and Return with CLLZ and Zero-Cost Put Spread Collar - Blog #5 on 30-Year Price History

    [This is the fifth in a series of nine blogs to be published in early July at the CBOE Options Hub on nine CBOE benchmark indexes which have price histories that begin on June 30, 1986.] In recent years I have heard from some money managers that the put-spread collar strategy is becoming more popular, and in 2015 CBOE introduced the CBOE S&P 500 Zero-Cost Put Spread Collar Index (CLLZ). The CLLZ Index now has more than 30 years of price history. FEWER BIG DOWNSIDE MOVES FOR CLLZ The histogram[...]

  • Cboe Benchmark Indexes | Jul 7, 2016, 4:00 PM

    Enhanced Risk-Adjusted Returns with BXMD Index - Blog #4 on 30-Year Price History

    Enhanced Risk-Adjusted Returns with BXMD Index - Blog #4 on 30-Year Price History

    [This is the fourth in a series of nine blogs that are being published in early July at the CBOE Options Hub on nine CBOE benchmark indexes which have price histories that begin on June 30, 1986, more than three decades ago.] Over the past thirty-year time period (ending June 30) the CBOE S&P 500 30-Delta BuyWrite Index (BXMD) rose 1955%, with higher returns and lower volatility than the S&P 500®, MSCI EAFE®, and S&P GSCI indexes. Note in the line chart below that the BXMD index[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Jun 16, 2016, 6:18 PM

    A Quick Look at Options versus Futures

    A Quick Look at Options versus Futures

    When short dated options were introduced on stocks and ETFs I made an assumption. We all know assumptions may be wrong, and that is the case here. I thought the major use of short dated options would be to take advantage of at the money time decay.   I was actually half wrong as we do see option short sellers come into the market place fairly frequently when expiration is approaching. The use I did not foresee involves using a short dated options as a substitute for a futures trade. A few[...]

  • VIX | Education | Futures | Jun 10, 2016, 4:43 PM

    Russell 2000 Index: Re-Pricing Risk

    Russell 2000 Index: Re-Pricing Risk

    Russell 2000 Index (RUT) Hits a 2016 High The bellwether benchmark for U.S. small-caps, the Russell 2000 Index tracks the performance of U.S. companies that derive most of their revenues domestically. Since the middle of May, as the Russell 2000 Index moved to its year’s high (1190.17) on June 8th.  In comparison to the S&P 500 the Russell 2000 slightly outperformed on a year-to-date basis (+2.33% vs. 2.27%) as of today. Please note the Russell 2000 Index ticker is (RTY) in the Bloomberg[...]