TYVIX Archives - CBOE Blogs

  • Market News | Jan 7, 2017, 11:27 AM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/3 - 1/6

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/3 - 1/6

    S&P 500 implied volatility was lower across all four time periods that are measured by CBOE Volatility Indexes last week.  VXST finished the week at 9.19 which is actually a tad higher than the low for 2016.  VIX also finished near the 2016 low of 11.27 but finished 0.05 above that level.  As a Trump presidency looms over the markets, with all the rhetoric and fear of what this means for the world, it’s a bit amazing market volatility is so low. The table below[...]

  • Market News | Dec 18, 2016, 9:58 AM

    Weekend Review Volatility Indexes and ETPs 12/12 - 12/16

    Weekend Review Volatility Indexes and ETPs 12/12 - 12/16

    I always lead off this blog with a chart showing the week over week change in the four volatility indexes based on S&P 500 Index (SPX) option pricing.  Just for the heck of it I took a look at what the VXST – VIX – VXV – VXMT curve did this time last year when we also experienced a rate hike.  On the left below is last year’s price change and on the right is what happened last week.  It is like night and day, in fact based on week over week changes in implied[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Election & VIX | 2016 Recap | Nov 15, 2016, 3:46 PM

    If a Trump Presidency Is Scary Why Is VIX So Low?

    If a Trump Presidency Is Scary Why Is VIX So Low?

    The world continues to adjust to the idea of a Trump presidency and there seems to be a lot of fear abounding.  For instance, I recently heard an economist state that he didn’t think even Donald Trump knows what action he’ll take as President.  We will all know the answers to what he’s going to do soon enough.  A question I recently got was, “If Trump is so scary why is VIX low?”  That’s a question I can answer. There are two types of government[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Election & VIX | 2016 Recap | Nov 13, 2016, 12:12 PM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/7 - 11/11

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/7 - 11/11

    Regardless of the outcome, we all expected VXST to get routed last week and that’s exactly what happened.  I’ve worn this out, but the election was like an earnings announcement with respect to the broad-based equity markets.  We see volatility crushes occur on short dated options when a company reports and we saw that for SPX options this past week. The highlight of the table below is TYVIX.  Uncertainty came out of stocks, but made its way into the fixed[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Oct 23, 2016, 8:04 AM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 10/17 - 10/21

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 10/17 - 10/21

    In a bear market we refer to market bounces as ‘relief rallies’.  The drop in volatility last week may be attributed to some sort of relief, whether with respect to expectations around the coming election or that a good part of earnings season has passed without any catastrophic results.  Whatever the reason the curve moved lower as the S&P moved up slightly and the shape is a little less steep. The long volatility funds had a tough time last week with VXX losing[...]

  • Market News | Jul 4, 2016, 6:58 AM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 6/24 - 7/1

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 6/24 - 7/1

    In hindsight volatility definitely overshot to the upside in response to Brexit and the price action on Monday where VIX and the S&P 500 both moved lower together was a sign of things to come last week. The 42.66% drop in VIX was the biggest week over week drop on record (going back to 1990). The whole VXST – VIX – VXV – VXMT underwent a shift from one extreme to the other last week. SKEW put in an all-time high and then backed off to more normal levels. TYVIX also[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | May 15, 2016, 2:09 PM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/9 - 5/13

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/9 - 5/13

    There was a slight twist in the VXST – VIX – VXV – VXMT curve last week as the shorter dated indexes rose and the two long dated indexes dropped slightly. Although unusual, I am not reading too much into this as the curve was already pretty steep and remains so after relatively small changes across the board last week. While updating the numbers below the first thing that stood out to me was the continued elevated level of VVIX. With VIX up a bit, but still in the 15’s[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | May 1, 2016, 11:30 AM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 4/25 - 4/29

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 4/25 - 4/29

    The weakness in the S&P 500 last week, although not really dramatic, did result in pretty big moves out of the four S&P 500 related volatility indexes. They were coming off pretty low levels which attributes to the large moves, at least on a percentage basis. The curve remains steep, which indicates the market remains concerned about whether stocks can move to the upside this year. On the table below VVIX continues to stand out finishing the week over 90.00. Two weeks ago TYVIX[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Feb 26, 2016, 4:20 PM

    February 26, 2016 Weekly Report on CBOE VIX Index Suite

    February 26, 2016 Weekly Report on CBOE VIX Index Suite

    Foreign Exchange Volatility Remains a Hot Spot The chance of divergence between monetary policies and the impact of oil prices and China factors on international trade continues to sustain volatility in foreign exchange VIX indexes: CBOE/CME FX Euro Volatility IndexSM (Ticker: EUVIX); CBOE/CME FX Yen Volatility IndexSM (Ticker: JYVIX)  and CBOE/CME FX British Pound Volatility IndexSM (Ticker: BPVIX). In contrast, this week the CBOE VIX Index stabilized as stock markets rallied[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Jan 22, 2016, 2:40 PM

    TYVIX Weekly Report - January 22, 2016

    TYVIX Weekly Report - January 22, 2016

      VIX Indexes Moderate Despite Little Closure on Global Economic Outlook The bleak outlook for world economic growth, oil prices and low inflation drove equity markets lower for most of this week, although stock prices trimmed losses Friday on a bounce in oil prices and talk of possible central bank easing in Europe and Japan. VIX benchmarks for volatility in equity, fixed income and currency rates moderated (with the exception of JYVIX). Figure 1.  Statistical update   Looking[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Futures | Jan 15, 2016, 1:34 PM

    Twists and Turns In VIX and TYVIX Indexes

    Twists and Turns In VIX and TYVIX Indexes

    The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) and the CBOE/CBOT 10-year U.S. Treasury Note Volatility Index (TYVIX), benchmarks of volatility for the U.S. equity and Treasury markets, have had some interesting twists and turns this week after another decline in the Shanghai stock market pushed global equities lower and the price of crude oil dipped below $30 a barrel. The TYVIX Index has been heading up since December 24, 2015, but still shows no clear trend from a longer-run perspective. The VIX Index, on the[...]

  • Market News | Education | Futures | Strategy | Dec 31, 2015, 10:02 AM

    A Look Backward and Forward: CBOE VIX Indexes in 2015 and 2016

    A Look Backward and Forward: CBOE VIX Indexes in 2015 and 2016

    2015 Retrospective: There was no shortage of financial crises or investor alarm over central bank monetary policies, OPEC’s oil policy, and the generally anemic state of the global economy in 2015. Each CBOE VIX Index recorded the level of stress in its underlying sector. As the graphs below illustrate, different triggers struck panic across markets. VIX Index, Volatility Gauge for U.S. Equity Market: The uptrend in expected volatility of the U.S. equity market continued in 2015. The peak[...]

  • Market News | Dec 18, 2015, 3:13 PM

    TYVIX Weekly Report: FOMC Meeting Aftermath: Treasury Volatility Falls to Near Lows for Year

    TYVIX Weekly Report: FOMC Meeting Aftermath: Treasury Volatility Falls to Near Lows for Year

    The volatility of 10-Year Treasuries approached its lows for 2015 late Friday morning, December 18, when TYVIX fell to 4.68 on an intraday basis. On a closing basis, the TYVIX Index had not fallen this low since October 6, 2014, when it closed at 4.68. To put these numbers in perspective, the median TYVIX value since 2003 is 6.20. One might conclude that the Treasury market has settled down on assurances by the Federal Open Market Committee that additional increases in the target federal fund[...]

  • Market News | Dec 11, 2015, 1:21 PM

    TYVIX Weekly Review: Volatilities Drift Up to October Levels as Markets Await Tighter Monetary Policy Cycle

    TYVIX Weekly Review: Volatilities Drift Up to October Levels as Markets Await Tighter Monetary Policy Cycle

    The markets are pondering the effect the first target rate change in seven years will have on volatility (Fed rates have hovered between zero and one-quarter percent since December 2008). The Federal Open Market Committee meets on December 15-16 and is widely expected to announce a rate increase at the conclusion of the two-day meeting. Thus far, the imminent prospect of tighter monetary policy has made few waves.  In the equity market, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX Index) is up for the week,[...]

  • Strategy | Dec 4, 2015, 12:25 PM

    Divergent Monetary Policies Widen Euro/U.S. Equity Volatility Spread, Bolster Euro Volatility

    Divergent Monetary Policies Widen Euro/U.S. Equity Volatility Spread, Bolster Euro Volatility

    Central banks made the headlines this week. On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen affirmed that the U.S. appears ready for the first of a sequence of federal fund rate increases, while on Thursday, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi announced the ECB would ramp up quantitative easing. The divergence between transatlantic monetary policies has widened the spread between VSTOXX and VIX and increased the volatility of the Euro. Figure 1.  VSTOXX vs. VIX indexes  Figure[...]