VIX Archives - Cboe Blogs

  • VIX | Education | Futures | Jun 10, 2016, 4:43 PM

    Russell 2000 Index: Re-Pricing Risk

    Russell 2000 Index: Re-Pricing Risk

    Russell 2000 Index (RUT) Hits a 2016 High The bellwether benchmark for U.S. small-caps, the Russell 2000 Index tracks the performance of U.S. companies that derive most of their revenues domestically. Since the middle of May, as the Russell 2000 Index moved to its year’s high (1190.17) on June 8th.  In comparison to the S&P 500 the Russell 2000 slightly outperformed on a year-to-date basis (+2.33% vs. 2.27%) as of today. Please note the Russell 2000 Index ticker is (RTY) in the Bloomberg[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Jun 9, 2016, 4:34 PM

    Block Trade Analysis - VIX July Ratio Call Spread

    Block Trade Analysis - VIX July Ratio Call Spread

    June VIX futures and options settle next Wednesday on the open so we are starting to see traders look ahead to July standard expiration. Of course those that want to be more strategic can explore the VIX Weeklys, but that is an argument for another blog. This morning, exactly an hour into the trading day there was a buyer of 8,500 VIX Jul 17 Calls at 1.99 who then sold 17,000 VIX Jul 21 Calls for 1.03 each and a net credit of 0.07 per spread. The result is a small credit and a payoff at July expiration[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Jun 8, 2016, 3:11 PM

    All-Time Record High Open Interest for VIX Futures – 501,835 on June 7

    All-Time Record High Open Interest for VIX Futures – 501,835 on June 7

    Futures on the CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX®), which launched in 2004, experienced some milestones regarding open interest in recent days – *   VIX futures open interest surpassed 500,000 for the first time on June 6; *   VIX Futures open interest hit a new all-time record high of 501,835 on June 7; *   VIX Futures open interest is up 98.7% year-to-date (through June 7). VIX FUTURES VOLUME DURING EUROPEAN HOURS VIX futures are available for trading more[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jun 7, 2016, 2:41 PM

    Plans are Meant for Re-Planning

    Plans are Meant for Re-Planning

    At my last writing on Tuesday, May 17th, I had just sold to open SVXY 55.50 puts for the May 20th expiration at 1.45 per contract.  My pledge was to stick to my plan and that's what I did:  I let those expire and realized full profit over the weekend when the contract expired worthless to the buyer.  It was rough going, though, with the high, low, and close of SVXY over the intervening days as shown below:   SVXY's closing price on Friday, May 20th was over $55.50,[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jun 5, 2016, 1:55 PM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/31 - 6/3

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/31 - 6/3

    The whole curve shifted a bit higher last week. We have to attribute the rise to the three-day weekend effect. At least in the case of VXST and VIX. Typically, VXV and VXMT are not impacted as much as the shorter dated volatility indexes. I might attribute the rise of longer dated volatility to the expected date for the next rate hike being pushed down the road. Despite the rise in VIX last week, the long volatility oriented ETPs were lower on the week. This is a function of the futures[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jun 4, 2016, 5:54 PM

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 5/31 - 6/3

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 5/31 - 6/3

    The S&P 500 was slightly higher last week and so was VIX, but we put an asterisk next to that number based on the three-day holiday weekend. The futures tell more of the story and as you can see below as with the exception of the February 2017 contract all the futures moved lower. Friday morning the stock market was weak and VIX was higher in reaction to the employment numbers. With VIX at 13.93 and the Jun VIX futures contract at 15.10 someone came in and bought 2500 of the VIX Jun[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jun 4, 2016, 12:05 PM

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Index and Volatility - 5/31 - 6/3

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Index and Volatility - 5/31 - 6/3

    The Russell 2000 - How about that??? I hear Mel Allen’s voice as I type that. Small caps went on a relative tear last week with the Russell 2000 (RUT) rising 1.19% last week while the large cap focused Russell 1000 was up 0.10%. This places RUT up 2.49% for 2016, within striking distance of the Russell 1000 which is up 2.73% year to date. More impressive is the relative performance since the lows in February. RUT has rebounded 22.1% off this year’s closing low and RUI is up 15.6% over[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | May 29, 2016, 9:26 AM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/23 - 5/27

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/23 - 5/27

    The S&P 500 rally along with the three-day weekend effect pushed VXST to finish Friday below 10.00 for the first time since July of last year. The VXST - VIX - VXV - VXMT curve moved lower and steepened a bit based on the calendar and the strength in the market. Looking at the table below it is like several indexes and instruments are playing limbo seeing how low they can go. VXX and the unleveraged long ETPs lost 10% while the leveraged funds gave up almost 20%. Check[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | May 28, 2016, 2:41 PM

    Weekend Review - VIX Futures and Options - 5/23 - 5/27

    Weekend Review - VIX Futures and Options - 5/23 - 5/27

    With the strength in stocks last week VIX finished the week just 0.02 higher than the 2016 closing low of 13.10. Always remember that part of the equation on Fridays when looking at VIX performance relates to a weekend impact where the market is closed for two days. This is accentuated when we have a three day holiday weekend so don’t be surprised if VIX rebounds a little on Tuesday regardless of what the stock market is doing. About 20 minutes after the open on Wednesday last week someone[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | May 28, 2016, 9:18 AM

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Index and Volatility - 5/23 - 5/27

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Index and Volatility - 5/23 - 5/27

    Small cap stocks continue to show some strength with the Russell 2000 (RUT) beating the Russell 1000 (RUI) for the second week in a row. Is this the beginning of a streak? RUT rose 3.43% last week while the large cap focused RUI gained 2.28%. For the year RUT is now up 1.28%, still lagging RUI which is up 2.63%. The RVX / VIX premium remains at the high end of this year’s range, despite the strong performance from small cap stocks. It may be that the uncertainty about the Fed’s[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | May 26, 2016, 3:41 PM

    VIX History Lesson - The Fiscal Cliff of 2012

    VIX History Lesson - The Fiscal Cliff of 2012

    I got a question on Twitter today about the potential for a volatility short squeeze. I think the question was rooted in how much activity and open interest there is in volatility oriented derivatives, but the instance I recall that felt like the move was overdone occurred in late 2012. As the end of 2012 approached it appeared that the President and Congress were at an impasse over extending the Bush Tax Cuts from 2001. The pending result was commonly referred to as the ‘fiscal cliff’.[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Strategy | Trade Ideas | May 22, 2016, 6:00 AM

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 5/16 - 5/20

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 5/16 - 5/20

    The combination of VIX moving lower and June becoming the front month put some pressure on the June futures last week. I think maybe the lack of news flow expected over the next couple of weeks has something to do with that as well. Note the bifurcated futures performance from last week with many longer dated futures rising, which maybe could be the risk of higher rates or an ‘interesting’ presidential election hovering over the markets. Finally, I always like to periodically point out[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | May 21, 2016, 12:47 PM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/16 - 5/20

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/16 - 5/20

    With the S&P 500 zig zagging this week, but finishing up by just over a quarter of one percent the curve was little changed. With one exception, VXST dropped 10% after we got past the FOMC minutes and the markets started to look forward to nothing for the next couple of weeks. VIX and VXMT rose and VXV was lower. I can’t remember the curve shifting like this ever, but since three out of the four moves were pretty small I wouldn’t read too much into it. The long VIX related[...]

  • Market News | May 17, 2016, 1:46 PM

    Rinse and Repeat

    Rinse and Repeat

    At my last writing on Monday, May 9th, my position was ten short SVXY puts for the March 13th expiration at the 54 strike, sold at $1.40 per contract, or $1,385.20 received.  My choices in disposing of the position (or allowing it to be disposed for me) was to either buy these puts back before Friday or allow the contracts to expire and accept assignment of shares at $54, should conditions dictate. On Tuesday, May 10th at 9:40 AM, I noticed that SVXY opened above $56 and, not knowing what would[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Futures | May 16, 2016, 10:45 AM

    Weekly Market Outlook - On The Verge Of A Bigger Pullback?

    Weekly Market Outlook - On The Verge Of A Bigger Pullback?

    The market may have started the previous week on a bullish foot, but it certainly didn't end the week on one. Not only did the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) log three straight losing days to end last week's trading, but it broke below a key support level it couldn't really afford to break. Stocks still aren't past the point of no return yet, but it's alarmingly close. We'll dissect the odds below after running down last week's and this week's major economic headlines. Economic Data Not a lot of economic[...]