VIX Archives - Cboe Blogs

  • Market News | Mar 20, 2016, 8:30 AM

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 3/14 - 3/18

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 3/14 - 3/18

    March VIX futures and options settled on the open Wednesday and now the next standard expiration is April.  Of course there are weekly expirations between now and April and this is one of those instances where there five weeks between standard settlement days.  I note this because of the shape of the curve below.  Note that on Friday April futures closed at a premium of just over 3.70.  VIX is admittedly low, but VIX futures traders are reluctant to sell April futures with so[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Mar 19, 2016, 4:29 PM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 3/14 - 3/18

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 3/14 - 3/18

    I’m honestly surprised and admitting that I have been very wrong in trying to guess at the VIX action lately.  I never would have expected a 13 handle for VIX, but low and behold that’s what we got on Friday.  When I return to work on Monday I will spend a little time on the wall of shame. Even the longer dated volatility indexes have given up the fight with VXV and VXMT closing near the respective 2015 averages after remaining at elevated levels for most of 2016. VXX[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Mar 19, 2016, 2:38 PM

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 3/14 - 3/18

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 3/14 - 3/18

    I guess I have to try to work some sort of St. Patrick’s Day theme in here since the Russell 1000 (RUI) went from red to green on the year last week, but I’m too worn out to come up with anything clever.  Also, it is difficult to get too excited over an index that is up 0.05% for the year.  Since I’m trying to be funny, here’s a lame attempt, the Russell 2000 (RUT) remains in a rut for 2016, even after gaining 1.3% last week the small cap benchmark is still 3% lower[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Futures | Strategy | Mar 18, 2016, 1:06 PM

    Weekly Stock Market Commentary 3/18/16

    Weekly Stock Market Commentary 3/18/16

    The completion of the powerful, bottoming "W" formation at the beginning of March was the launchpad for this leg of the rally. It has more room to run. Equity-only put-call ratios continue to remain on buy signals. The standard chart has seen a slight "wiggle" develop this week, but it does not dissuade the computer programs from continuing to say that these ratios are solidly on buy signals. Market breadth continues to be strong. Both oscillators are currently on buy signals,[...]

  • Market News | Mar 14, 2016, 12:28 PM

    Weekly Market Outlook - Cleared Some Hurdles

    Weekly Market Outlook - Cleared Some Hurdles

    Though it didn't hit the ground running last week, a strong Friday session translated into a fourth straight week. of gains. Better still, the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) managed to just clear a major technical hurdle, and though it's ripe for some profit-taking, investors may finally be confident enough in the current rally to keep it going. The beginning of this week, however, is critical if the advance is going to last. We'll weigh the risks and rewards after a quick preview of this week's potentially[...]

  • VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Trade Ideas | Mar 13, 2016, 10:04 AM

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 3/7 - 3/11

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 3/7 - 3/11

    After stumbling a bit last week both the Russell 1000 (RUI) and Russell 2000 (RUT) moved higher with RUI up by about 1% and RUT rising 0.5%.  this is the first week in a while where RUT under performed RUI and the small cap benchmark is now lagging the large cap Russell 1000 by 3% for 2016. The relative implied volatility ticked up a bit for the CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index when compared to VIX.  The 2016 closing high for the RVX / VIX ratio occurred on February 1st and[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Mar 12, 2016, 10:55 AM

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 3/7 - 3/11

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 3/7 - 3/11

    VIX dropped just over 2% which isn’t that much considering we got a 1% rise in the stock market.  The curve remains in a fairly common state of contango.  Standard March futures settle Wednesday on the open and the spread of over a point also makes me wonder if volatility traders are buying into higher stock prices. I did a little more digging on VIX price action, really just looking for the 2016 intraday-low which I assumed occurred last week.  I assumed wrong. [...]

  • Market News | VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Education | Strategy | Mar 12, 2016, 8:40 AM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs 3/7 - 3/11

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs 3/7 - 3/11

    Three out of the four S&P 500 based volatility indexes dropped last week with the longer term focused VXMT rising slightly.  I went on a data fishing expedition with respect to weeks where VXMT and the S&P 500 rose, but couldn’t find a definitive patters.  I even looked at the predictive power going out as far as six months and got nada.  I did find out that both the S&P 500 and VXMT have risen in sync 52 times since 2008, which is interesting and a bit surprising,[...]

  • Market News | Blogging Options | Mar 11, 2016, 4:32 PM

    CBOE Weekly VIX Indexes Report

    CBOE Weekly VIX Indexes Report

    The Curious Effect of ECB’s Stimulus Package on the EUVIX Index On Thursday, ECB President Mario Draghi announced a cut in interest rates and purchases of corporate bonds. In the same breath, Mr. Draghi said he hoped there would be no further cuts.  The Euro promptly dropped to $1.08, then rebounded to $1.12 by the close.   Yet the CBOE/CME FX Euro Volatility Index (Ticker: EUVIX), the expected volatility of the EUR/USD rate, decreased from 12.28 to 10.85 (using closing values) on[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Mar 6, 2016, 7:03 PM

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 2/29 - 3/4

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 2/29 - 3/4

    The Russell 2000 (RUT) continues to show some resilience rising over 4% last week and closing the 2016 performance gap with the Russell 1000 (RUI). The long term average for the CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) relative to VIX has been about 20% which is where we are now.  For some time back in the fourth quarter of last year we spent much more time closer to parity between RVX and VIX. An interesting trade was executed on Friday around lunchtime, with RUT trading near[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Mar 6, 2016, 12:44 PM

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 2/29 - 3/4

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 2/29 - 3/4

    VIX gave up over 14% as the S&P 500 tried to work back to the 2000’s last week, falling short by 0.01.  Note the steepness of the curve below with the standard March contract at over a two point premium to spot VIX. The generic curve is also a bit steep, considering it is normally pretty flat.  VIX may be low, but even the short dated futures are braced for higher levels.   With VIX under pressure on Friday, someone came in to the market using one of my favorite[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Mar 6, 2016, 8:36 AM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 2/29 - 3/4

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 2/29 - 3/4

    The S&P 500 rose about 2.7% last week and shorter term volatility took it on the chin with VXST and VIX both down over 14%.  The longer dated volatility indexes were lower as well, but as show below, remain elevated compared to their respective averages last year.  You can read that as the market still bracing for higher volatility over the balance of 2016 (or at least until 6 months from now). The long and long leveraged VIX realted ETPs were down last week with VXX dropping[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Mar 5, 2016, 9:45 AM

    VIX Death Cross Update

    VIX Death Cross Update

    This past week I got to attend CBOE’s Risk Management Conference in Florida and finished my week at Oklahoma State as a guest lecturer.  When I travel like this I am not watching the markets as closely as I would like and as I updated charts this morning I nervously scanned the numbers used to create the chart below.  I say nervously because I was afraid I had dropped the ball on catching the VIX Death Cross.  It turns out I updated charts just in time. Yesterday (3/4) was the[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Mar 1, 2016, 4:19 PM

    Volatility of Volatility and Other Facets of VIX Options Discussed at CBOE RMC

    Volatility of Volatility and Other Facets of VIX Options Discussed at CBOE RMC

    One of the final discussions today at CBOE RMC focused on the Volatility of Volatility and Other Facets of VIX Options.  The three presenters were Joe Aiken, Portfolio Manager, Malachite Capital Management, Art Lu, Director, Equity Quant Trading Strategy, Citigroup, and a RMC favorite Dominic Salvino, VIX Specialist, Group One, LLC. Highlights for each speaker’s presentation appear below – Dominic Salvino He noted that VIX Weeklys seem to be catching on quite well with the futures[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Feb 27, 2016, 12:36 PM

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 2/22 - 2/26

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 2/22 - 2/26

    For the past few years I’ve struggled with things to write when there has been a parallel shift in the curve.  This week we got the first normal curve change of 2016 so there’s that to say.  Kevin Davitt, who is relatively new to The Options Institute keeps noting that the far end of the curve is as flat as he’s ever seen it.  I have to agree and when he inquire how I read things like that I noted that when the curve is flat it indicates a ton of uncertainty and these[...]