VIX Archives - CBOE Blogs

  • Market News | Dec 4, 2015, 2:50 PM

    Weekly Stock Market Commentary: SPX Chart Now Has Heavy Resistance in the 2080-2100 Area

    Weekly Stock Market Commentary: SPX Chart Now Has Heavy Resistance in the 2080-2100 Area

    The $SPX chart now has heavy resistance in the 2080-2100 area, where it spent most of the previous two weeks. The support at 2020 (November lows) is still in place as well, and will likely be tested in the coming days. Both equity-only put-call ratios are on sell signals, and they are now beginning to race higher on their charts. Market breadth made a valiant attempt to get back on track last week. However, that strength in breadth was fleeting, and now both breadth oscillators have rolled over to[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Blogging Options | Dec 4, 2015, 2:31 PM

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 12/4/2015

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 12/4/2015

    The Weekly News Roundup is your weekly recap of CBOE features, options industry news and VIX and volatility-related articles from print, broadcast, online and social media outlets. CBOE’s Continued Innovation Evolution Throughout the year, CBOE has demonstrated its commitment to product innovation by creating a diverse mix of products suitable for a broad range of customer needs.  The exchange continued down this path with its recent announcement that it will soon list options on the FTSE[...]

  • Market News | Nov 30, 2015, 7:30 PM

    CBOE CEO Edward Tilly on New Initiatives, Expanding Customer Reach in Asia

    CBOE CEO Edward Tilly on New Initiatives, Expanding Customer Reach in Asia

    CBOE CEO Edward Tilly began day two of CBOE RMC Asia in Hong Kong with a tribute of sorts to the growth and expansion of CBOE’s Risk Management Conferences. Years of success in the U.S. and Europe have paved the road to CBOE’s inaugural event in Asia this year. Turning to product news, Tilly highlighted the recent launches of VIX Weeklys futures in July and VIX Weeklys options in October. “We worked closely with our VIX user base to develop a short-term volatility product that more[...]

  • Market News | Nov 30, 2015, 4:58 PM

    Weekly Market Outlook - Jobs, Sentiment & Gold

    Weekly Market Outlook - Jobs, Sentiment & Gold

    It was a typical Thanksgiving week last week... very quiet. Don't get used to it though. The market's activity will perk up again this week as traders get back to their posts. As for which direction that volatility will carry the market, that's a tougher question to answer. The BigTrends TrendScore for stocks currently rests at 82.7 (out of 100), above 60 means the market is in a bullish trend overall on a Daily/Weekly time basis. On the flipside, the indexes are very much stuck in the middle of[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 29, 2015, 12:00 PM

    Weekly Review - Russell 2000 Index and Volatility - 11/23 - 11/27

    Weekly Review - Russell 2000 Index and Volatility - 11/23 - 11/27

    Last week I noted that December has traditionally been a good month for stocks, especially small cap stocks.  That blog can be found at The Week in Russell 2000 Trading - 11/16 - 11/20.  RUT appeared to get a head start on things last week by rallying over 2% while the Russell 1000 (RUI) was up by only about 2 points.  RUT is now a rounding error from up on the year and still lags RUI by about 1.5%. With the relative rally in RUT the RVX / VIX premium dropped to levels[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 29, 2015, 3:44 AM

    Weekly Review - VIX Futures and Options - 11/23 - 11/27

    Weekly Review - VIX Futures and Options - 11/23 - 11/27

    The S&P 500 was hardly changed on the week last week and the same may be said for VIX and the monthly term structure.  The lines don’t overlap, but if I am not wearing my reading glasses the chart below almost looks like the same line. The only thing of interest to report about the short term futures chart is the dip that shows up on the orange line below.  That’s the contract that expires just before Christmas which may be discounting several holidays which[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 28, 2015, 11:59 PM

    Weekly Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/23 - 11/27

    Weekly Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/23 - 11/27

    Very quiet holiday week.  There really isn’t much else to say, but it is interesting that VIX remains over 15.00.  I’m also attributing the rise in VXST to getting a holiday shortened week behind us.  Man I’m glad it’s not my job to fill up a business network with programming which must have been a heck of a challenge last week, especially on Friday. The funds were quiet as well, but you have to snicker when a 2.7% change (see VXX below) is considered[...]

  • Market News | Nov 24, 2015, 11:44 AM

    Discussion of Volatility of Volatility at RMC in Hong Kong on Dec. 1

    Discussion of Volatility of Volatility at RMC in Hong Kong on Dec. 1

    On December 1st in Hong Kong at the First Annual CBOE Risk Management Conference (RMC) Asia, two expert speakers - William Chan, Equity Derivatives Strategist, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, and Michael Fagan, Chairman, Levitas Capital - will discuss the topic of Volatility of Volatility, and (1) Historical observations and interpretations for "vol-of-vol" surfaces, (2) Trading and hedging applications, depending on client objectives, and (3) A case study approach. Below is some analysis[...]

  • Market News | Nov 23, 2015, 10:27 AM

    Weekly Market Outlook - Bullish, But Facing A Wall

    Weekly Market Outlook - Bullish, But Facing A Wall

    Last week a diametrical opposite to the action from two weeks ago. Two weeks ago, the bears were firmly in charge, and picking up steam. Something happened over the prior weekend though, and stocks hit the ground running higher last week... and never looked back. When all was said and done, the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) finished the week up 3.6%, having hurdled two key moving averages along the way. And yet, the finish on Friday was anything but convincingly bullish. This week could go either[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Nov 22, 2015, 2:13 PM

    The Week in Russell 2000 Trading - 11/16 - 11/20

    The Week in Russell 2000 Trading - 11/16 - 11/20

    Large caps ruled the week with the Russell 1000 (RUI) gaining over 3%.  Small cap stocks were no slouches, but the Russell 2000 did lag the Russell 1000 gaining 2.5%.  For the year RUI is up 1.21% and RUT is down 2.45%.  However, at the end of this blog I’ll note some statistics that show RUT still has a shot at victory in 2015. Both the CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) and VIX were lower last week based on the rally in the equity markets.  RVX dropped[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Trade Ideas | Nov 21, 2015, 1:37 PM

    The Week in VIX - 11/16 - 11/20

    The Week in VIX - 11/16 - 11/20

    The VIX term structure returned to normal from slight backwardation last week as the S&P 500 rose over 3%.  Two years ago a 3% move in the S&P 500 probably would have resulted in VIX under 12.00, but these are different times and with a rate hike looming down to the mid 15’s is the best we can expect. The short dated term structure ended the week in slight contango which has been the norm when VIX drops since the futures were launched back in July.  The curve[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Nov 21, 2015, 11:37 AM

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/16 - 11/20

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/16 - 11/20

    The shift for the VXST – VIX – VXV – VXMT curve was dramatic, but sort of what we have become use to in this buy on the dip culture.  VIX finished the week under 16.00, which voids a prediction that I had for the rest of the year.  I felt concerns about a December rate hike and the impact on stocks into 2016 would keep VIX elevated for the final few weeks of the year. VXX and the other long funds came under pressure based on the drop in VIX and VIX futures[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Blogging Options | Nov 20, 2015, 2:35 PM

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 11/20/2015

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 11/20/2015

    The Weekly News Roundup is your weekly recap of CBOE features, options industry news and VIX and volatility-related articles from print, broadcast, online and social media outlets. RMC Heads East CBOE will hold the first-ever CBOE Risk Management Conference (RMC) Asia in Hong Kong, November 30th and December 1st.  The conference will feature presentations by experts in the industry discussing the latest products and strategies for managing risk, enhancing yield and lowering portfolio volatility.[...]

  • Market News | Nov 20, 2015, 12:14 PM

    TYVIX Weekly Review: Term Structure of Treasury Volatility Flattens Along With Curve as Rate Hike Looms

    TYVIX Weekly Review: Term Structure of Treasury Volatility Flattens Along With Curve as Rate Hike Looms

      Market participants have observed that the expected December increase in the federal fund target rate is flattening the term structure of Treasury yields as investors shift from the short to the long end of the curve.  However, fewer market observers have noted that the same scenario is playing out on the volatility side.  As TYVIX continues to decrease, the expected volatility of shorter-dated Treasuries, such as one-year Treasuries, is rising, pushing the spread between the two[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Nov 17, 2015, 3:15 PM

    Block Trade Analysis - VIX Weeklys Option Trades

    Block Trade Analysis - VIX Weeklys Option Trades

    Tomorrow is November VIX settlement, but that hasn’t stopped some short term VIX traders from putting on new positions, in fact it may have encouraged them to do some trading. I ventured down to the trader floor late today to see what may be going on in the VIX Weeklys options set to settle on the open next Tuesday.  For those that know VIX well, you know that VIX futures and options normally settle on a Wednesday, 30 days before an expiration Friday.  However, December 25th is a[...]