VIX Archives - Cboe Blogs

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Trade Ideas | Oct 17, 2015, 12:05 PM

    The Week in VIX - 10/12 - 10/16

    The Week in VIX - 10/12 - 10/16

    It has been a while since I’ve started out saying we had a parallel shift in the VIX curve.  That’s what we got last week as the market calmed down a bit and the S&P 500 advanced.  The October contract settles on the open this coming Wednesday and went out at about a point premium to spot VIX which has been the norm over the past few years when VIX has been in the mid to low teens. The short dated curve shifted a little more into contango last week.  It[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Trade Ideas | Oct 17, 2015, 6:57 AM

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 10/12 - 10/16

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 10/12 - 10/16

    VIX closed under 16.00 for the first time since all the hubbub that occurred in late August as the S&P 500 continued to recover last week gaining 0.90%.  Among the four S&P 500 focused volatility Indexes VIX was the biggest loser shedding almost 12%.  I had been keeping a close eye on VXV as the 3 month time frame that VXV measures comes after the December FOMC announcement.  VXV fell a bit relative to VXMT (6 month volatility) which may be a FOMC indicator and may also be[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Blogging Options | Oct 16, 2015, 2:30 PM

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 10/16/2015

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 10/16/2015

    The Weekly News Roundup is your weekly recap of CBOE features, options industry news and VIX and volatility-related articles from print, broadcast, online and social media outlets. Interest Rate Futures thrown a Curve Ball with CurveGlobal CBOE announced today that it has taken a minority stake in CurveGlobal, a new interest rate trading venue.  CurveGlobal is a joint venture between the London Stock Exchange Group, CBOE and major dealer banks.  CurveGlobal will aim to provide customers[...]

  • Market News | Oct 16, 2015, 2:29 PM

    TYVIX Weekly Review: Consensus for Slower Growth Dims Trading Volumes, Volatilities

    TYVIX Weekly Review: Consensus for Slower Growth Dims Trading Volumes, Volatilities

    As reported earlier this week in the Financial Times, the standard deviation for economic forecasts for the U.S., EK, EU and Japan all are near their lows, with survey firm Consensus Economics reporting very little dispersion of GDP year-ahead forecasts. More generally, there is a consensus that worldwide economic growth looks bleak, and that a Federal Fund target rate hike is improbable in the near future. Accordingly, investors are taking a pause. In particular, the volumes of trading in CBOE[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | Strategy | Oct 16, 2015, 12:28 PM

    Weekly Stock Market Commentary: The Bullish Case is Still Strong

    Weekly Stock Market Commentary: The Bullish Case is Still Strong

    The stock market has taken on a much more bullish tone since the late- September lows.  We had several buy signals on September 30th, and they were well-timed.  The bullish case is still strong, even after $SPX has advanced 150 points this month. The $SPX chart is bullish.  $SPX broke out over 2000 last week, and this week it pulled back to that (general) level before moving to new relative highs once again.  Hence the breakout over 2000 was retested, and that retest was successful. Equity-only[...]

  • Market News | Oct 13, 2015, 3:45 PM

    Some Room To Run Higher - Weekly Market Outlook

    Some Room To Run Higher - Weekly Market Outlook

    Incredibly enough, last week's gain was the biggest weekly gain of the year. The S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) gained 3.22% last week, and though it was mostly just fortunate timing that allowed for the big week-to-week move, the momentum is impressive nonetheless. The question is, can it last? Answer: Maybe. The rally knocked over some fairly important resistance levels, though a few more remain. Also, the advent of Q3's earnings season could either work for the market or against it. Either way,[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Oct 11, 2015, 8:30 AM

    The Week in Russell 2000 - 10/5 - 10/9

    The Week in Russell 2000 - 10/5 - 10/9

    The 4.6% gain for the Russell 2000 (RUT) was the biggest one week gain since late October 2014 when (I think) the market was rebounding from an ebola scare.  Large cap stocks participated in the rally with the Russell 1000 (RUI) rising 3.26%, but this lagged the rebound in small cap stocks.  Despite the ‘win’ for RUT, the Russell 2000 still lags the Russell 1000 by over 1% for 2015 (-3.27 vs. -2.00%). If this past week were homecoming at Volatility High School the[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Oct 10, 2015, 10:22 AM

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 10/5 - 10/9

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 10/5 - 10/9

    In Chicago we are already getting use to the Bears getting pummeled each week.  This past week bears everywhere took it on the chin as the S&P 500 put up the best weekly performance in 2015.  What I find interesting on the chart below relates to VIX, which was down 18.4% for the week, which is actually the fourth worst week for VIX this year, despite VIX beginning the week over 20.00. VXX dropped about 11% and SVXY was up closer to 12% last week.  However, the choppy[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Blogging Options | Oct 9, 2015, 3:00 PM

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 10/9/2015

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 10/9/2015

    The Weekly News Roundup is your weekly recap of CBOE features, options industry news and VIX and volatility-related articles from print, broadcast, online and social media outlets. VIX Weeklys Options Are Here - This Week CBOE added VIX options to its suite of Weeklys contract offerings yesterday.  Volume on the first day was more than 4,300 contracts, while volume through mid-day today was already approaching an estimated 40,000 contracts.  VIX Weeklys options contracts will allow investors[...]

  • Market News | Strategy | Oct 9, 2015, 2:39 PM

    Weekly Stock Market Commentary - The Buy Signals are Piling Up

    Weekly Stock Market Commentary - The Buy Signals are Piling Up

    A week ago, we noted that there were three short-term, oversold buy signals. Now, more buy signals are occurring, and these are of the intermediate-term variety. The last hurdle was cleared today, when the $SPX closed above 2000. Equity-only put-call ratios remain on buy signals, as they continue to decline from recent highs. Market breadth has improved greatly during this most recent rally, and has now reached extremely overbought levels. That is not necessarily a bad thing, for we have often stated[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Futures | Oct 9, 2015, 10:44 AM

    VIX Weeklys Options Launched – In VIX Options Chain; More Precision and Responsiveness

    VIX Weeklys Options Launched – In VIX Options Chain; More Precision and Responsiveness

    Yesterday (October 8) was the first day of trading for the VIX Weeklys options, with reported trading volume topping 1,000 contracts. VIX OPTIONS CHAIN A key feature of the new VIX Weeklys options is that they are in the same options chain as the standard-expiration VIX options.  This screenshot below from Bloomberg on the morning of October 9 shows that there now are VIX options expirations on Oct 21, Oct. 28, Nov. 4, Nov. 18, and Dec. 16 (in addition, there are VIX options with longer dated[...]

  • VIX over 20.00 Streak Ends at 30 Days - So Now What?

    VIX over 20.00 Streak Ends at 30 Days - So Now What?

    Even the VIX tourists were paying attention to the long running streak where VIX closed over 20.00.  The run ended at 30 today with VIX finishing at 19.54.   This was not nearly as fun as watching Pete Rose in the summer of 1978, but for some of us, it was quite a ride.  When Pete didn't get a hit on August 1st he was asked what he would do tomorrow, his response, "I guess start another streak".  Unfortunately we can't stick a microphone in front of VIX and ask what[...]

  • Market News | Strategy | Oct 5, 2015, 11:28 AM

    Signs Of Bullish Hope - Weekly Market Outlook

    Signs Of Bullish Hope - Weekly Market Outlook

    Despite the bearish start to the week on Monday and a bearish initial response to Friday morning's employment report for September, the bulls managed to reversal course Friday afternoon to hammer out a big gain for that day and even a small gain for the week. A couple of the key indices even managed to climb back above their short-term moving average lines. There's still work to be done -- from both sides of the table -- if we're ever going to get out of this rut. But, a bullish break out of the[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Education | Trade Ideas | Oct 4, 2015, 7:30 AM

    The Week in Russell 2000 Trading - 9/28 - 10/2

    The Week in Russell 2000 Trading - 9/28 - 10/2

    For the second week in a row large cap stocks outperformed small cap stocks by about 1.5%.  The big difference this week was that the Russell 1000 (RUI) was higher while the Russell 2000 (RUT) lost value.  The previous week RUI lost less than RUT, but both had pretty lousy weeks.  For the year RUI is now down a little more than 5% while RUT has lost just over 7.5%. The CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility (RVX) index finished the week at a little over a 10% premium to VIX.  This lack[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Oct 3, 2015, 12:00 PM

    The Week in VIX - 9/28 - 10/2

    The Week in VIX - 9/28 - 10/2

    Despite the S&P 500 rising over 1% last week VIX remained over 20.00 for the 30th straight day although it did drop by over 11%.  This run goes back to the beginning of the heightened levels of volatility that began back on August 21st.  The curve below shows that the curve based on standard monthly VIX futures went from backwardation to kind of crooked (that’s not a technical term).  I say crooked because depending on your definition of backwardation or contango the closing[...]