• Earnings | Feb 8, 2017, 12:49 PM

    Earnings Week of 2/13 - 2/17

    As always the data below is based on the last three years of earnings results unless the ticker is in italics.  The columns show the biggest rally, biggest drop, average move, and what the stock did last quarter in reaction to earnings.  Finally, double check the earnings dates as not all were confirmed.
  • Feb 8, 2017, 10:29 AM

    42% Rise for the SMLC Sentiment-Based Index That Analyzes Twitter Traffic

    In recent months many press stories have covered the topic of how Twitter tweets possibly could influence the prices of stocks or the direction of the economy. News reports indicate that there are hundreds of millions of tweets posted per day. One challenging question for investors could be – can useful actionable information be gleaned from Twitter postings to identify stocks that have positive bullish sentiment? One tool that has potential to be useful to investors is the CBOE-SMA Large Cap[...]
  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Feb 7, 2017, 1:14 PM

    Finding Volatility in the US Equity Markets

    VIX is low, we all know VIX is low.  I type that and feel I need to stop channeling Dr. Seuss.  However, there are some pockets of volatility in the US equity markets, we just need to know where to look.  Since CBOE quotes several volatility indexes that are based on the US markets I went searching for places where the market is still pricing in a little concern about the future.  Two areas that stood out –  tail risk and small cap risk.  Let’s start with[...]
  • Feb 6, 2017, 3:07 PM

    Breaking Some Bad Trading Habits - Part 2

    Last week we gave out a few bad trading habits that many of us seem to suffer from.  However, we are all different and have certain habits that make us feel comfortable.  Yet, some habits should be broken and not encouraged, as they will make us vulnerable.  I asked some of my close colleagues in the chat room what habits they could identify that hinder their performance, and which ones they need to break.  Some of these are below.  Your job - if you identify with any of[...]
  • Earnings | Feb 6, 2017, 9:49 AM

    Earnings Week of 2/6 - 2/10

    As always the data below is based on the last three years of earnings results unless the ticker is in italics.  The columns show the biggest rally, biggest drop, average move, and what the stock did last quarter in reaction to earnings.  Finally, double check the earnings dates as not all were confirmed.
  • Market News | VIX | Trade Ideas | Feb 6, 2017, 9:14 AM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/30 - 2/3

    VXST dropped while the other three volatility indexes based on S&P 500 index option pricing rose slightly.  This all happened despite a rise in the S&P 500 last week.  Probably the most notable thing on the table below is the rise in VVIX despite the stock market and VIX not doing much last week.  Focusing on the VIX related ETPs shows that the trend of short volatility being the place to be in 2017 continues to hold up. Looking outside the broad-based index volatility[...]
  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Feb 6, 2017, 9:08 AM

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 1/30 - 2/3

    VIX rose slightly last week while all standard futures contracts lost value.  February settlement is a week and a half off so the longer VIX remains in the 10’s the more drift lower we should expect out of the front month future.  As the front month starts to approach settlement date, VIX option traders start to focus on farther dated contracts, normally rolling to the following month.  However, it seems skipping March is in vogue among VIX traders with many of last week’s[...]
  • Market News | Feb 6, 2017, 8:55 AM

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 2/5/2017

    The Weekly News Roundup is your weekly recap of CBOE features, options industry news and VIX Index and volatility-related articles from print, broadcast, online and social media outlets.        CBOE Launches S&P 500 Range-Bound Premium Income Index On Tuesday, CBOE announced the launch of the CBOE S&P 500 Range-Bound Premium Income Index (SPRI).  The index, which is designed to serve as a benchmark for investors aiming for consistent income distributions[...]
  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Feb 6, 2017, 7:44 AM

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 1/30 - 2/3

    Small caps continue to close the gap on large cap stocks as the Russell 2000 (RUT) gained 0.52% last week while the Russell 1000 (RUI) was up by 0.18%.  On the volatility front the CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) remains at the historical high end of value relative to VIX.  This can be attributed to VIX hovering around multiyear lows as much as RVX not following VIX to the lowest end of the range.   On Monday, as the first trading day of the week came to a close one trader[...]
  • Feb 6, 2017, 7:21 AM

    Unexpected and Vicious

    Today's saga starts on January 24th, just two days ago but it seems like last week.  I had just, the day prior, added to my core short TVIX position to raise the number of shares from 2,000 to 2,500 as you see in the portfolio graphic below.  The price for that lot of 500 was $6.26.  This will be revisited later in the post. First, let's dispose of the TNA story.  You'll see that standing out at the top of the graphic like the subject of a "which of these things is not like the[...]
  • Education | Strategy | Jan 30, 2017, 3:38 PM

    Trading to Win? Break Those Bad Habits

    We are all creatures of habit, and with so much going around us in our lives at the speed of light we tend to fall into some set routines. That is often the case for us as option traders, and while some routines are efficient and allow us to make quick decisions, others can be quite harmful and cause some dangerous missteps.  Many of us are unaware of these habits, they become instinctual.  When that occurs the bad habits become tough to break. Our habitual characteristics are different[...]
  • Jan 29, 2017, 1:32 PM

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 1/23 - 1/27

    Small cap stocks rebounded with the Russell 2000 (RUT) gaining 1.4% last week which places RUT at up 1% for 2017.  Large caps, as represented by the Russell 1000 (RUI) were up just over 1% for the week which places RUI at up 2.59% for 2017.   The CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) is hovering around very low levels.  However, when compared to VIX, things look a little different as the relative premium continues to loom around the highest levels seen in some time. [...]
  • Jan 29, 2017, 12:44 PM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/23 - 1/27

    All four of the S&P 500 related volatility indexes quoted by CBOE were lower last week.  The price action resulted in the usual cries that VIX is too low, but after this first chart I’m going to show where volatility has been lower and not just decades ago, but much more recently. To get a historical perspective I compared all four volatility indexes to their 2016 lows as well as lowest prices since 2008.  The asterisk on the chart for post 2008 lows is there since we only have[...]
  • Jan 29, 2017, 11:59 AM

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options 1/23 - 1/27

    VIX fell to multi-year lows last week which reflects quantitatively a lack of concern in the equity markets.  What I found interesting with respect to the numbers below was how the February future lost more than spot VIX last week.  This sort of price behavior is usually associated with expiration rapidly approaching or little in the way of economic events on the horizon.  That’s not the case here as February contracts expire in a couple of weeks and the coming week brings us[...]
  • Jan 27, 2017, 2:05 PM

    Earnings Week of 1/30 - 2/3

    We have a full earnings calendar next week.   As always the data below is based on the last three years of earnings results unless the ticker is in italics.  The columns show the biggest rally, biggest drop, average move, and what the stock did last quarter in reaction to earnings.  Finally, double check the earnings dates as not all were confirmed.