• Market News | Jan 10, 2017, 4:21 PM

    33rd Annual CBOE RMC Set for March 8 - 10

    33rd Annual CBOE RMC Set for March 8 - 10

    As we turn to a New Year, we all look forward to certain things.  For me, near the top of that list is the spring edition of CBOE’s Risk Management Conference (CBOE RMC).  We now have three versions of RMC with the US version taking place in a warm weather venue each spring for the past 32 years.  The 33rd Annual CBOE RMC will be held in Dana Point, California at the Monarch Beach Resort from March 8th to March 10th.  Although historical information is never a guarantee[...]

  • Market News | 2016 Recap | Jan 10, 2017, 12:00 PM

    Five Volatility Market Lessons from 2016

    Five Volatility Market Lessons from 2016

    To be successful in any field we all need to keep learning.  My job involves staying on top of all things index and volatility related which means I am always gaining new insights about the markets.  Looking back at 2016, VIX settled into lower levels after starting the year hitting the mid-20’s as the stock market sold off.  Despite the relatively tame behavior from VIX, there were some lessons to be learned last year. Number 1 – Non-Fundamental Volatility Spikes Before[...]

  • Market News | Strategy | Jan 9, 2017, 4:53 PM

    Technical Resistance in AMZN?

    Technical Resistance in AMZN?

    It's pretty clear that AMZN has been in a buy mode recently.  It is possible that we do see even higher prices in this stock.  I do however want to throw up a caution flag here for a couple of reasons.  First, we have met the initial upside targets off our last trade setup in this stock.  Second, we are moving into a couple of key resistance clusters defined by Fibonacci price relationships.  They come in at 801.31-807.55 and then 813.95-819.00.  Third, I'm seeing a[...]

  • VIX | Futures | 2016 Recap | Jan 9, 2017, 3:26 PM

    Record Volume and Open Interest in 2016 for CBOE Index Products

    Record Volume and Open Interest in 2016 for CBOE Index Products

    CBOE index products continue to attract growing interest from investors who wish to manage the income and volatility in their portfolios. A recent press release by CBOE Holdings noted that -- “… Several trading records were set [in 2016]. Total volume and average daily volume (ADV) in index options trading at CBOE reached new all-time highs for the fourth consecutive year in 2016 with 430.7 million and 1.7 million contracts, respectively, each up 6 percent from 2015. Total volume and[...]

  • Education | Jan 9, 2017, 10:57 AM

    Master the Four Fears of Trading - Part 2

    Master the Four Fears of Trading - Part 2

    Last week we discussed two of the four fears of trading, specifically the 'fear of missing out' and the 'fear of loss', today we'll discuss the 'fear of being wrong' and the 'fear of letting a gain turn into a loss'.  Famed trader psychologist Mark Douglas talked about these fears in his stellar book 'Trading in the Zone'.  As traders and investors we all become gripped by the violent reactions of our own emotions. There is nobody who is immune to emotional responses to changes in wealth. [...]

  • VIX | Education | Jan 8, 2017, 4:00 PM

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 1/8/2017

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 1/8/2017

    The Weekly News Roundup is your weekly recap of CBOE features, options industry news and VIX Index and volatility-related articles from print, broadcast, online and social media outlets. New Year, New Outlook   The beginning of a new year is an ideal time for investors to assess the state of their portfolios. Besides eating better, joining the health club and cleaning out the closet, here are some resolutions options investors may want to add to their list in 2017. “7 New Year’s[...]

  • Market News | Jan 7, 2017, 5:09 PM

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 1/3 - 1/6

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 1/3 - 1/6

    With the stock market kicking off 2017 on a bullish note VIX tested the 2016 closing low finishing the week 0.05 above last year’s low of 11.27.  The futures followed suit, especially the January contract which goes off the board two days before the 45th man to ascend to the presidency does so on January 20th. I was checking in on the Weekly VIX futures and options activity last week and came across an interesting set of numbers.  The chart below highlights the at-the-money[...]

  • Market News | Jan 7, 2017, 11:27 AM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/3 - 1/6

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/3 - 1/6

    S&P 500 implied volatility was lower across all four time periods that are measured by CBOE Volatility Indexes last week.  VXST finished the week at 9.19 which is actually a tad higher than the low for 2016.  VIX also finished near the 2016 low of 11.27 but finished 0.05 above that level.  As a Trump presidency looms over the markets, with all the rhetoric and fear of what this means for the world, it’s a bit amazing market volatility is so low. The table below[...]

  • Market News | Jan 7, 2017, 9:05 AM

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility 1/3 - 1/6

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility 1/3 - 1/6

    The year started out in a similar fashion to the way it ended in 2016 with the Russell 2000 (RUT) out-performing the Russell 1000 (RUI) after the first two trading days of 2017.  However, the first week of the new year ended with RUI putting up some strong numbers and RUT even losing value on Friday while RUI was higher on the day. I included the last six months of 2016 on the chart below to give some perspective on the relative premium of the CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jan 6, 2017, 10:10 AM

    Earnings Next Week 1/9 - 1/13

    Earnings Next Week 1/9 - 1/13

    One more week until earnings season kicks in.  In the mean time we have three major financials releasing numbers on Friday 13th.  As always the data below is based on the last three years of earnings results unless the ticker is in italics.  The columns show the biggest rally, biggest drop, average move, and what the stock did last quarter in reaction to earnings.  Finally, double check the earnings dates as not all were confirmed.

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jan 5, 2017, 1:28 PM

    Follow the Bouncing...Arrow

    Follow the Bouncing...Arrow

    Yesterday, January 4th, in order to start out the new year with some degree of nail-biting (figuratively) drama, I hatched a little plan involving some short shares of UVXY.  The first thing I did was to buy to close 400 shares, reducing the 1,800 I had opened the previous day to 1,400 in quantity.  My plan was to re-short those 400 shares later in the day or on some upcoming day, along with 200 more which I envisioned as a day trade. Then, thinking about the 1,400 short shares I still[...]

  • Market News | 2016 Recap | Jan 4, 2017, 8:09 AM

    Higher Returns and Lower Volatility for BXMD and PUT Indexes Over 30½ Years

    Higher Returns and Lower Volatility for BXMD and PUT Indexes Over 30½ Years

    Investors now have access to price histories for several CBOE benchmark indexes that date back 30.5 years. The first two charts below show that since mid-1986 both the CBOE S&P 500 30-Delta BuyWrite Index (BXMDSM) and CBOE S&P 500 PutWrite Index (PUTSM) had higher returns than the S&P 500® Index, 30-Year Treasury Bond Index (Citi), MSCI EAFE® Index, and S&P GSCI Index. HIGHER RETURNS AND LOWER VOLATILITY The Annualized Returns and Standard Deviations bar graphs below show[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jan 3, 2017, 11:04 AM

    Earnings Week of 1/3 - 1/6

    Earnings Week of 1/3 - 1/6

    A very small but mighty list with MON and WBA reporting Thursday before the open.  As always the data below is based on the last three years of earnings results unless the ticker is in italics.  The columns show the biggest rally, biggest drop, average move, and what the stock did last quarter in reaction to earnings.  Finally, double check the earnings dates as not all were confirmed.

  • Market News | Education | Jan 3, 2017, 10:23 AM

    Getting Past The Four Fears of Trading - Part 1

    Getting Past The Four Fears of Trading - Part 1

    As we embark on a new year, we can learn from the past to help us bolster our efforts into the future.  Change is always good, but there are some things very tough to alter - our emotions.  Try as we may to check our emotions at the door, as traders/investors there is often too much going on to just be emotionless.  When money is on the line we suffer from the emotional responses of fear and greed.  We are ALL wired this way and find ourselves somewhere on the spectrum - there[...]

  • Market News | 2016 Recap | Jan 2, 2017, 11:26 AM

    18 Volatility Indexes in 2016: BPVIX Rose 277% before Brexit; VIX Futures Rose 55% on Election Night

    18 Volatility Indexes in 2016: BPVIX Rose 277% before Brexit; VIX Futures Rose 55% on Election Night

    CBOE offers more than 25 volatility indexes<http://www.cboe.com/micro/volatility/introduction.aspx> that can serve as valuable tools for investors who wish to gauge intra-day and long-term sentiment changes related to a variety of asset classes. In addition, investors take long and short positions in futures and options on key volatility indexes. The tables and seven graphs below provide an overview of the 2016 performance of 18 of CBOE’s volatility indexes and the CBOE SKEW Index. Key[...]