• Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Strategy | Sep 19, 2016, 9:35 AM

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - Fed Wednesday Looms

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - Fed Wednesday Looms

    As much as the bulls tried last week, they could never get the market back above a key hurdle. The threat of a September rate hike just continued to circulate, and never gave the buyers a chance to get traction. Then again, the bears didn't make any progress either. They had several opportunities to deal a short-term death blow to the market, but could never get the job done. With the a key rate hike decision looming on Wednesday, odds are good traders aren't going to make any major push before then.[...]

  • Market News | Sep 19, 2016, 9:13 AM

    Central Bankers Paying Lip Service

    Central Bankers Paying Lip Service

    How much longer must we pay heed to lip service of central bankers, who continuous whine and plead their case but seem unable to pull the trigger on a policy directive?  Just over a week ago some Fed Governors came out and sent obligatory warnings to markets saying 'rate hikes may come sooner than you think, so take heed'.  Just days later, a couple of other Fed Governors turned that around 180 degrees and said 'not so fast on a rate hike, let's watch the data'.  This recent comment[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Sep 18, 2016, 2:53 PM

    Weekend Review - VIX Futures and Options - 9/12 - 9/16

    Weekend Review - VIX Futures and Options - 9/12 - 9/16

    VIX gave up a little over 12% while the futures were lower, but not nearly to the extent that spot VIX lost value.  We are back to contango in the blink of an eye. VIX options and futures trade until 3:15 Chicago time each day.  Late Friday, after the official stock market closing time of 3:00, someone came in and did a pretty interesting trade in VIX.  The trade involved a purchase of 3,000 VIX Sep 21st 20 Calls at 0.19 each and then sold 10,000 VIX Sep 21st 23 Calls[...]

  • Market News | Sep 18, 2016, 1:00 PM

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 9/18/2016

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 9/18/2016

    The Weekly News Roundup is your weekly recap of CBOE features, options industry news and VIX Index and volatility-related articles from print, broadcast, online and social media outlets. Global Index Options Emerging On Thursday, CBOE announced plans to launch options on the FTSE Emerging Index (FTEM) beginning September 26th.   The FTSE Emerging index is a market-capitalization weighted index that represents the performance of large and mid-cap companies from advanced and secondary emerging[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Sep 18, 2016, 7:25 AM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 9/12 - 9/16

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 9/12 - 9/16

    After a lot of zigging and zagging VIX and the other S&P 500 related volatility indexes finished lower on a week over week basis.  The curve depicting the relationship among VXST, VIX, VXV, and VXMT even returned to a historically normally shape. I found VVIX remaining over 100 interesting despite last week's drop in VIX.  Also, the drop in TYVIX is noteworthy as it occurred in front of a week where we get a Fed decision. In the exchange traded product space the long funds[...]

  • Market News | Sep 17, 2016, 12:19 PM

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 9/12 - 9/16

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 9/12 - 9/16

    Both the Russell 100 and Russel 2000 were up 0.48% last week.  For the year RUT maintains a lead of 3.10% (7.83% vs. 4.73%). Both VIX and the CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility index (RVX) lost value last week.   This took the RVX / VIX premium down to under 20% for the first time since June. First thing Friday, with the Russell 2000 around 1225, someone came into the RUT pit with a trade that is targeting a fairly wide range for the Russell 2000 at the end of the month.  The trade[...]

  • VIX | Sep 17, 2016, 10:09 AM

    Back to VIX Specials

    Back to VIX Specials

    Summer didn't draw to a close without telling us it was doing so.  If any VIX-watchers were sleeping, they're awake now. Most of the summer seemed flat and long as a football field, and while that should've been easy, I made it difficult for myself by trying from July 19th onward to profit from something that simply wasn't happening just because I wished it and staked it out repeatedly:  The return of any kind of volatility or at least the end of the silent, somnolent, stubbornly-immobile[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Futures | Sep 12, 2016, 10:50 AM

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - Key Levels To Watch Here

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - Key Levels To Watch Here

    Things were going fine last week... until Friday, when it all came completely unraveled.  Friday's 2.45% stumble in the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) was not only the biggest single-day loss since June when the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union, it carried the market to its lowest close since early-July. Some key support levels were snapped too. Bad news? Maybe, though ironically, the sheer size of Friday's meltdown has a shot at spurring a dead-cat bounce (not unlike the post-Brexit[...]

  • VIX | Education | Sep 12, 2016, 10:00 AM

    Market Volatility Does Live

    Market Volatility Does Live

    With respect to the old Christmas folklore story, 'Yes Virginia, there is Volatility'.  The massive move this past Friday was not telegraphed, but then the first big move down hardly ever is.  Nobody rings a bell at the top, nor at the bottom.  Navigating the markets without the proper instruments becomes a very dicey proposition, and certainly with the right tools there is no guarantee of success, certainly with the timing. For instance, the overbought sentiment has been frothy for[...]

  • Market News | Sep 11, 2016, 3:08 PM

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 9/5 - 9/9

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 9/5 - 9/9

    Stocks across the board had a tough week (or Friday) with both the Russell 2000 (RUT) and Russell 1000 (RUI) losing value.  Friday was especially tough on RUT with the small cap benchmark losing 3.3% while RUI was down 2.5%.  For the week RUT lost 2.8% while RUI was down 2.5% for the first ‘win’ by the large cap index in a few weeks.  For the year RUT is still in the lead, up 7.34% while RUI is now up 4.24% for 2016. In the volatility space the gap between[...]

  • Market News | Sep 11, 2016, 1:00 PM

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 9/11/2016

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 9/11/2016

    The Weekly News Roundup is your weekly recap of CBOE features, options industry news and VIX Index and volatility-related articles from print, broadcast, online and social media outlets. Portfolio Buffer This week, CBOE Vest announced it launched the CBOE Vest S&P 500 Buffer Protect Strategy Fund (BUIGX), the first mutual fund designed to provide investors with index-based buffer protection.  The fund follows the CBOE S&P 500 Buffer Protection Index Balanced Series, providing a risk[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Sep 10, 2016, 2:17 PM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 9/5 - 9/9

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 9/5 - 9/9

    VXST more than doubled as a function of the index being depressed in front of the three-day weekend and then in reaction to Friday’s SPX sell off.  As would be expected, the rest of the VXST-VIX-VXV-VXMT curve moved higher as well, but outside of VXST relative to VIX we are still in a state of contango. The 2.39% drop in the S&P 500 all came from Friday’s price action as did just about everything else on the table below.  Note that VXX rose 11% and UVXY gained[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Sep 10, 2016, 9:30 AM

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 9/5 - 9/9

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 9/5 - 9/9

    The streak of SPX doldrums came to an end on Friday with the orderly drop of over 50 points for which resulted in VIX rising to 17.50.  Everything worth noting happened on Friday which may have added to the angst that resulted in the S&P 500 closing near the daily lows and VIX closing near the daily highs. Early Friday when VIX was at 13.93 and the big move was just getting started there was a split strike trade that came into the pit.  With the October future at 16.35[...]

  • Market News | Sep 9, 2016, 4:15 PM

    Emerging & European Equity Performance since Brexit

    Emerging & European Equity Performance since Brexit

    By: Richard Rosenthal - CBOE Director, Business Development Investor interest has been growing in the European and Emerging equity markets as evidenced by significant rallies in some of the major indexes, particularly the FTSE 100 and FTSE China 50. Comparing the performances of the offshore equity markets to the U.S., the outperformance has been impressive since the results of the Brexit announcement on June 24th.   The S&P 500 has rallied +6.6% compared to FTSE 100 +10.5% and FTSE[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Futures | Strategy | Sep 6, 2016, 9:43 AM

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - Two Month Range Continues

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - Two Month Range Continues

    Despite a couple of scares, stocks ended last week intact, and even up just a bit thanks to Friday's gain. On the other hand, last week's action still left the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) along with the other indices overvalued and overbought. Whether or not that matters remains to be seen, though it's interesting that the bears had more than ample opportunity to push the market over the cliff -- but they just never did it. All the same, the first full week of the worst month of the year for stocks[...]