• Market News | Aug 13, 2016, 1:42 PM

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 8/8 - 8/12

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 8/8 - 8/12

    VIX was higher last week, but on the chart and table below that’s all that moved up.  The entire curve was lower as the steep contango that everyone has been talking about got a little less steep. On Friday, the biggest VIX option trade appears to be expecting VIX to rally sometime in the next few weeks and take the September futures with it.  With spot VIX around 11.50 and the September VIX futures around 15.00 someone came in and purchased the VIX Sep 17 Calls for 1.24[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Aug 13, 2016, 7:00 AM

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 8/8 - 8/12

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 8/8 - 8/12

    The race between large cap and small cap stocks came down to a photo finish last week as the Russell 1000 (RUI) was up 0.06% while the Russell 2000 (RUT) ended up losing 0.13%.  This slight win for RUI didn’t do much as far as the year to date performance comparison goes as RUT is still ahead of RUI by 1.4% as RUT is up 8.27% in 2016 while RUI is up only 6.87%. The CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) was lower last week while VIX gained a little.  The result when[...]

  • Market News | Aug 12, 2016, 2:01 PM

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 8/12/2016

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 8/12/2016

    The Weekly News Roundup is your weekly recap of CBOE features, options industry news and VIX Index and volatility-related articles from print, broadcast, online and social media outlets. Another Expiration to Trade CBOE’s suite of Weeklys options offerings on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) continues to grow with Wednesday, Friday and now -- Monday -- expirations.  The first series in CBOE’s new SPX Monday Weeklys will be listed tomorrow, Monday, August 15.  Time to get that weekend[...]

  • Market News | Aug 12, 2016, 12:43 PM

    VIX Futures Record Open Interest of 543,192, as VIX Index Hits 2-Year Low

    VIX Futures Record Open Interest of 543,192, as VIX Index Hits 2-Year Low

    On August 5 the CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX®) closed at 11.39 (its lowest daily close in more than two years) and the VIX futures established a new all-time record high open interest of 537,201. On August 9 the VIX Index closed at 11.66, and the VIX futures open interest hit a new all-time record of 543,192.  RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN VIX INDEX AND OPEN INTEREST While many market watchers believe that trading activity often picks up at times when volatility and the VIX Index rise, it[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Aug 11, 2016, 5:47 PM

    Earnings Next Week - 8/15 - 8/19

    Earnings Next Week - 8/15 - 8/19

    Next week we start to reach the end of a pretty uneventful earnings season.  The week is dominated by retailers which is always a signal that earnings season is coming to a close.  As always the data below is based on the last three years of earnings results unless the ticker is in italics.  The columns show the biggest rally, biggest drop, average move, and what the stock did last quarter in reaction to earnings.

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Aug 11, 2016, 4:54 PM

    New SPX Monday-Expiring Weeklys Options To Launch on August 15

    New SPX Monday-Expiring Weeklys Options To Launch on August 15

    CBOE plans to list S&P 500® Index (SPX) Monday-expiring Weeklys options, beginning August 15, pending regulatory approval. SPX Weeklys are one of CBOE’s fastest-growing products, with volume in 2015 setting a 10th consecutive annual record. With the expected introduction of SPX “Monday Weeklys,” CBOE will offer SPX options with Monday, Wednesday and Friday expirations. AVAILABLE EXPIRATIONS The table below shows the S&P 500 options expirations (through Sept. 9) that[...]

  • Strategy | Aug 11, 2016, 9:59 AM

    How Admiral Beat Maury at His Own Game

    How Admiral Beat Maury at His Own Game

    Maury felt pretty smug about taking the Admiral’s FB trade, however, he was not prepared for BIDU. The Admiral had his mojo working as he went stalking an uber Maury trade, and it ended up a doozie! On 7/28, BIDU was scheduled to report earnings after the close. The Admiral sent out a Bearish 3x9x6 AUG Put Vertical Ratio Spread: +160/-145/+140 strikes, paying $2.35 x 3 While EPS was slightly above expectations, BIDU opened down and the Admiral sent an order for a partial exit #732A: Sell[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Aug 8, 2016, 10:56 AM

    Weekly Market Outlook - Upside Breakout Amid VIX Lows

    Weekly Market Outlook - Upside Breakout Amid VIX Lows

    Against the odds, though with the bigger-picture tide, last Tuesday's alarming intraday pullback ended up being just the regrouping the bulls needed to finally stage a breakthrough rally.  On the heels of a better-than-expected jobs report for July, the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) pushed up and off a key short-term moving average line to finally punch through a resistance line that had been nagging it since mid-July. Do we take the clue at face value and treat it as a breakout?  Or, was[...]

  • Market News | Strategy | Aug 8, 2016, 10:15 AM

    Noise Levels Rising - Time to Turn it Down

    Noise Levels Rising - Time to Turn it Down

    The pitch level of noise surrounding the markets is starting to elevate, and wouldn't you know it - right near the all time highs.  Right on cue!  As we saw markets take out resistance on Friday following the strong jobs report, we continue to hear the drumbeat from the bearish side, that this most unbelievable market rally has to end soon.  Of course, no time estimate on that prediction - like the old economist's saw, 'give em a number or a date, but never both'.  Especially[...]

  • Market News | Aug 7, 2016, 10:58 AM

    The Weekly Options News Roundup –8/5/2016

    The Weekly Options News Roundup –8/5/2016

    The Weekly News Roundup is your weekly recap of CBOE features, options industry news and VIX Index and volatility-related articles from print, broadcast, online and social media outlets. Ready…Set…Ring On Wednesday, CBOE hosted representatives from The Decathlon Organization and Rush University Medical Center for an opening bell-ringing ceremony commemorating the inaugural Chicago Decathlon.  This event unites amateur athletes from around the world to compete in a series of world-class[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Aug 7, 2016, 10:00 AM

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 8/1 - 8/5

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 8/1 - 8/5

    VIX was down 4% last week and is currently hovering around two year lows. This is not exactly what many volatility observers were expecting for 2016 (including the author). VIX has been at pretty low levels for a couple of weeks and since there’s been no real spike VIX futures are finally working lower. Friday was the one-year anniversary of the first VIX Weeklys Futures settlement. On August 5th last year the first VIX Weeklys Futures contracts settled on the open at 12.16. Apparently[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Aug 7, 2016, 8:50 AM

    Earnings Next Week - 8/8 - 8/12

    Earnings Next Week - 8/8 - 8/12

    The list is starting to shrink as we get toward the end of earnings season.  As always the data below is based on the last three years of earnings results unless the ticker is in italics.  The columns show the biggest rally, biggest drop, average move, and what the stock did last quarter in reaction to earnings.  

  • Market News | Aug 6, 2016, 4:00 PM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 8/1 - 8/5

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 8/1 - 8/5

    When S&P 500 implied volatility is already low there’s not much room for a further drop.  That was the case going into this past week and as seen below with the S&P 500 climbing all four of the S&P 500 related volatility indexes were lower, but not by much. VVIX in the mid 80’s remains high, but believe it or not that may reflect VIX Put buying instead of VIX Call purchasing.  Demand for puts on any VIX strength or to take advantage of steep contango[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Aug 6, 2016, 10:06 AM

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 8/1 - 8/5

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 8/1 - 8/5

    Last night we were (somewhat) entertained by the opening ceremonies for the Summer Olympics and for the next 17 days will be subjected to story enhanced competitions.  I have been monitoring a competitive struggle already this year.  The battle between small cap and large cap stocks.  It has been like a marathon with the Russell 2000 (RUT) falling way back, but pacing itself relative to the Russell 1000 (RUI).  RUI had quite a lead after the first six weeks or so of 2016. [...]

  • Maury Meets Mark

    Maury Meets Mark

    In the lively chat rooms of Hamzei Analytics, Maury tales are abound.  Saying Maury (a fictitious character) is frugal, is an understatement.  His motto is “What’s for free, is for me”.  At the very least, he hates wholesale prices and want to buy below cost, thus negotiates for the best bargain. He has set the standard for getting the most out of our options trades. We have come to appreciate the “Maury” trades in the HFT Options Trading Chatroom. Old[...]