price-headley

Price Headley

Price Headley was inducted into the Traders' Hall of Fame in 2007 and is the Founder and President of BigTrends.com, which has been providing investors with real-time stock and options strategies (including trade recommendation newsletters) since 1999.

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | Futures | Apr 28, 2015, 2:41 PM

    Not The Perfect Bullish Breakout, But - Weekly Market Outlook

    Not The Perfect Bullish Breakout, But - Weekly Market Outlook

    The S&P 500 Index (SPX) (SPY) hit a new record high last week and the close of 2117.69 was the highest close we've ever seen from the index -- and the NASDAQ Composite's (COMP) (QQQ) close of 5092.08 was above the recent ceiling around 5044.  The overall technical analysis picture is bullish for stocks.   But, we can't ignore the fact that there have been multiple bullish runs over the past 6 months that looked on the verge of a clear upside breakout only to reverse[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Apr 20, 2015, 10:45 AM

    Trading Range Should Be Settled Soon - Weekly Market Outlook

    Trading Range Should Be Settled Soon - Weekly Market Outlook

    Once again a rally effort that managed to pull the market within reach of a breakout was quelled as the eleventh hour, putting stocks back in the middle of a recent trading range. This third failure - and potential triple top - is likely discouraging to bulls on the sidelines who were waiting for that one last convincing bullish hint before pouring back in.  What are the key market levels to watch here?  We'll dissect the market's current situation, after looking at last week's[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | Education | Apr 14, 2015, 10:00 AM

    Bullish Momentum Meeting High Valuations - Weekly Market Outlook

    Bullish Momentum Meeting High Valuations - Weekly Market Outlook

    The odds may have been a bit stacked against stocks heading into last week, but the market clearly overcame them.  All told, the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) gained about 1.7% last week, crossing above some key moving average lines in the process, rekindling the bigger-picture rally. Can it last? There are certainly some hurdles ahead, not the least of which is the market's valuation, which is getting a bit frothy by some measures.  Higher highs are not out of the picture though, because[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Apr 6, 2015, 10:00 AM

    Key SPX & VIX Levels to Watch: Weekly Market Outlook

    Key SPX & VIX Levels to Watch: Weekly Market Outlook

    Despite the solid start to the trading week on Monday of last week, Tuesday's and Wednesday's dips cast a shadow of doubt on stocks.  Yes, the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) ended the holiday-shortened week with a small gain. But, once again the bulls have a big hurdle right in front of them they'll need to clear first before we can seriously entertain bullish ideas. We'll analyze the current shape of things below, after painting the bigger picture with some broad economic data brushstrokes. Economic[...]

  • Blogging Options | Mar 30, 2015, 2:54 PM

    Where We Stand Now - Weekly Market Outlook

    Where We Stand Now - Weekly Market Outlook

    Even with Friday's bounce, the bulls couldn't do anywhere near enough to undo Wednesday's damage. All told, the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) lost 2.2% last week. The results look grim, and several of our key technical indicators are at or near bearish conditions. The breakdown hasn't truly taken hold yet though, and we have to entertain the possibility that the bulls may well take charge again before any pullback is allowed to materialize. We'll look at both sides of the coin below. The first thing we[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Mar 23, 2015, 2:10 PM

    The Fed Gives A Boost - Weekly Market Outlook

    The Fed Gives A Boost - Weekly Market Outlook

    Thanks to a little help from the Federal Reserve on Wednesday, the market broke out of a three-week-old bearish rut, and in the process may have rekindled a bigger uptrend.  In fact, technically speaking, the uptrend is back underway. We'll handicap the market below.  First, let's run down last week's and this week's economic news. Economic Data There's little doubt as to last week's economic focal point... the release of the minutes from the most recent FOMC meeting. It was an interesting[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Education | Mar 16, 2015, 1:30 PM

    Between A Rock & A Hard Place - Weekly Market Outlook

    Between A Rock & A Hard Place - Weekly Market Outlook

    The third weekly loss in a row has brought the broad market down 2.4% from its recent peak.  In the grand scheme of things, it's not much... not even enough to call a full corrective move.  Even so, there are glimmers of hope that the selloff has run its full course (though bear in mind the short-term momentum is technically near bearish). The good and the bad are dissected below, right after a quick examination of last week's economic news and a preview of this week's economic[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Education | Mar 10, 2015, 12:46 PM

    Will Friday's Selloff Have Legs? - Weekly Market Outlook

    Will Friday's Selloff Have Legs? - Weekly Market Outlook

    (Editors Note:  We meant to put this up yesterday morning, very apropos with today's move lower. Though it wasn't necessarily a bullish week (last week), the market was holding up well enough... until Friday's implosion. That one bad day pulled the market under some key support levels, and as such we now have to entertain the possibility that some selling weakness has been opened. And yet, there's still a beacon of hope for a quick rebound. We'll dissect the broad market's odds[...]

  • Watching Closely Here - Weekly Market Outlook

    Watching Closely Here - Weekly Market Outlook

    Believe it or not, the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) lost ground last week. It was a "just barely" situation, and the Russell 2000 (RUT) (IWM) as well as the NASDAQ Composite (COMP) (QQQ) both ended the week higher even with Friday's pullbacks. The across-the-board weakness to close out the week, however, is something to think about even if it's not yet something to worry about. The odds are weighed below. Let's first dissect last week's economic numbers and preview what's coming up this week. Economic[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Feb 23, 2015, 1:45 PM

    Pretty Clear Breakout Amid Valuation Challenges - Weekly Market Outlook

    Pretty Clear Breakout Amid Valuation Challenges - Weekly Market Outlook

    It wasn't necessarily a huge gain for the market last week, but it was an important one. Most indices tiptoed into new-high (record high) territory on Tuesday, and after stalling for a couple of days then made a bold thrust into record high territory again on Friday. All told, last week's close of 2110.3 for the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) translated into a 0.6% gain for the holiday-shortened week. Though valuation challenges are going to make it tough for stocks to continue rallying, from the technical[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Education | Feb 17, 2015, 9:45 AM

    Textbook Breakout, Will It Confirm? - Weekly Market Outlook

    Textbook Breakout, Will It Confirm? - Weekly Market Outlook

    While most everyone knows last week was a good one for the market, it may not be clear just how eventful it really was.  The S&P 500's (SPX) (SPY) 2.0% gain last week carried the index to record highs and a record high close. On the surface it's technically bullish, so we'll take the clue at face value.  We'll also point out, however, most of the recent surges like last week's ended up turning tail pretty quickly.  We'll still need to keep things on a short leash until this breakout[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Feb 9, 2015, 1:45 PM

    SPX Range & Oil Key Juncture - Weekly Market Outlook

    SPX Range & Oil Key Juncture - Weekly Market Outlook

    Despite Friday's modest stumble, last week was clearly a good one for the market, bringing it back from the brink of a significant correction and putting it back within reach of a significant breakout.  Yet, as has been the case too many times over the past couple of months, the bulls just couldn't deliver the knockout blow to the bears when they needed to the most.  This isn't to say it's not going to happen.  It is to say, however, it's definitely not a done deal and a move back[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Education | Feb 2, 2015, 1:30 PM

    Bearish Signs Continue - Weekly Market Outlook 2.2.15

    Bearish Signs Continue - Weekly Market Outlook 2.2.15

    While there's no denying last week was a rough one for the market, from one perspective, stocks still look like they've got a chance at recovering again. From another perspective though, the floor has already been broken, opening the door to a much more substantial dip. We'll take a look at how the market may already be past the point of no return in a moment. Let's first take a look at the economic numbers that ultimately spurred the sell-off last week. Economic Data Last week was relatively busy[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Jan 26, 2015, 10:00 AM

    The Fed, Earnings Season & GDP - Weekly Market Outlook 1.26.15

    The Fed, Earnings Season & GDP - Weekly Market Outlook 1.26.15

    Despite Friday's lull, the market took a pretty big bullish step last week, following through on the reversal hints it was dropping before the three-day weekend. It's still not over its biggest hurdles, but at least it's not knocking on the door of a rather serious breakdown. On the other hand, the hurdles ahead are very big, and backed by stress-inducing fundamentals. We'll take a technical and fundamental look below. Let's first paint some broad brush strokes with last week's economic numbers and[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Education | Jan 20, 2015, 3:00 PM

    Volatility Remains A Concern - Weekly Market Outlook

    Volatility Remains A Concern - Weekly Market Outlook

    After five straight days of losses for the market, even Friday's big gain wasn't enough to leave the market higher for the week.  That makes the third consecutive week of lost ground for stocks, though there are some hints that the bulls are sensing there's something of a floor materializing near last week's lows (which were pretty well aligned with the previous week's lows). Don't misunderstand that observation - the bulls still have a ton of work to do if they want to convincingly put the[...]