Education Archives - CBOE Blogs

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Trade Ideas | Apr 3, 2016, 11:11 AM

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 3/28 - 4/1

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 3/28 - 4/1

    VIX closed on the 2016 lows last week and flirted with a 12 handle. I was asked at a seminar in Scottsdale, AZ on Thursday night how long it will take for VIX to touch 12. I responded that I had a hard time seeing a 12 handle this year. It won’t take much for me to be proven wrong. Something that keeps me in the higher volatility regime camp is the relative level of VIX futures to spot VIX. Note below that the April futures are at a hefty premium to spot VIX despite getting the monthly employment[...]

  • Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 3/28 - 4/1

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 3/28 - 4/1

    Don’t fight the Fed. That’s a rule we must all live by and long volatility is a fight that isn’t winning these days. Note the drop in the week over week curves below and keep in mind that on March 24th there was a three day weekend in front of VXST which makes that drop even more dramatic. The curve is steep, which can be taken as longer term concerns prevail, but for the near term those looking for higher volatility have stopped fighting. The long funds on the table[...]

  • Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Index and Volatility - 3/28 - 4/1

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Index and Volatility - 3/28 - 4/1

    The Russell 2000 (RUT) had a great week rising 3.5% while the large cap focused Russell 1000 (RUI) also did pretty well gaining about 1.9%. For the year RUI went from down to up and is now in the green by 1.23% while the Russell 2000 is still in the red by 1.60%. A repeat of last week and RUT will join RUI in positive territory for 2016. I put lots of charts together every weekend and there’s always one or two that catch my eye. This week’s is below as despite the outperformance[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Education | Futures | Mar 28, 2016, 2:48 PM

    Weekly Market Outlook - At A Crucial Juncture

    Weekly Market Outlook - At A Crucial Juncture

    After five straight weeks of gains, the market finally buckled. It wasn't a big pullback last week - only 0.6% - but all big trends start out with that first small step. We at least have to acknowledge the possibility that last week's weakness may be the beginning of something bigger. And that possibility isn't just the result of one losing week. The S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) bumped into a major resistance line, and if the bears were/are going to make a stand anywhere, it's where the index peaked last[...]

  • Education | Strategy | Mar 28, 2016, 9:28 AM

    Trading Lessons: Bull or Bear? These Labels Are Useless

    Trading Lessons:  Bull or Bear? These Labels Are Useless

    Some trading lessons are invaluable.  One of the best is to be agnostic and without a bullish or bearish bias. As the markets move up and down we often find ourselves positioned in one camp or the other.  Naturally, on the sidelines technically means we are neutral, but often it is 'bullish with a bias to wait'.  I'm not into labels.  Why?  Because it puts us all in a frame of mind where we have bias, and in this market if you are biased then you lose your quickness and flexibility. Having[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Mar 25, 2016, 9:19 AM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 3/21 - 3/24

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 3/21 - 3/24

    The S&P 500 was slightly lower last week, ruining a five week winning streak.  This gave three of the four volatility indexes on the chart below a chance to rebound from 2016 lows.  The exception is VXST, but we give this one a break since three day weekends are always tough on VXST. The choppiness in the volatility space last week, along with the front month future actually losing a little value did no favors for the VIX related ETPs.  UVXY was up almost 9% for the week early[...]

  • VIX | Education | Futures | Mar 18, 2016, 12:57 PM

    VIX Volatility Indicators Cool as FOMC Joins the Dovish Bandwagon

    VIX Volatility Indicators Cool as FOMC Joins the Dovish Bandwagon

    CBOE’s indicators of expected volatility for Treasuries, equities and foreign exchange rate -- TYVIX, VIX, EUVIX, JYVIX, BPVIX) -- turned cooler this week. All but BPVIX are below their historical median values since 2003. The driver of the move was the decidedly more dovish tone of the FOMC’s announcement on Thursday. The Fed policymakers also announced their decision not to change (raise) the fed fund target rate – but that decision had been fully anticipated. The FOMC’s[...]

  • Market News | Education | Mar 14, 2016, 3:43 PM

    March 22 Panel at CBOE on Accessing the Volatility Risk Premium with Cash-Secured Put Writing

    March 22 Panel at CBOE on Accessing the Volatility Risk Premium with Cash-Secured Put Writing

    Presentations and a panel discussion on the topic of - Accessing the Volatility Risk Premium with Cash-Secured Put Writing will occur on Tuesday March 22, 2016 from 5:00 PM to 6:45 PM at Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), 400 So. La Salle St., (enter on Van Buren Street), Chicago, 60605   http://bit.ly/CAIA-March22 ISSUES Issues to be discussed include – Has there been a Volatility Risk Premium that can facilitate enhanced risk-adjusted returns for index options-selling[...]

  • VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Trade Ideas | Mar 13, 2016, 10:04 AM

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 3/7 - 3/11

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 3/7 - 3/11

    After stumbling a bit last week both the Russell 1000 (RUI) and Russell 2000 (RUT) moved higher with RUI up by about 1% and RUT rising 0.5%.  this is the first week in a while where RUT under performed RUI and the small cap benchmark is now lagging the large cap Russell 1000 by 3% for 2016. The relative implied volatility ticked up a bit for the CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index when compared to VIX.  The 2016 closing high for the RVX / VIX ratio occurred on February 1st and[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Education | Strategy | Mar 12, 2016, 8:40 AM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs 3/7 - 3/11

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs 3/7 - 3/11

    Three out of the four S&P 500 based volatility indexes dropped last week with the longer term focused VXMT rising slightly.  I went on a data fishing expedition with respect to weeks where VXMT and the S&P 500 rose, but couldn’t find a definitive patters.  I even looked at the predictive power going out as far as six months and got nada.  I did find out that both the S&P 500 and VXMT have risen in sync 52 times since 2008, which is interesting and a bit surprising,[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Mar 2, 2016, 5:29 PM

    Cross-Region Volatility Analysis for Investing and Hedging

    Cross-Region Volatility Analysis for Investing and Hedging

    The final presentation at CBOE’s Risk Management Conference in Bonita Springs, FL was a discussion of Cross-Region Volatility Analysis for Investing and Hedging.  Vishnu Kurella, Portfolio Manager at Caxton Associates and Ramon Verastegui, Managing Director, Head of Flow Strategy & Solutions Americas for Societe Generale.  Both are favorite presenters at RMC and drew a very large crowd. Their presentation covered a variety of important topics such as how natural derivative flows[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Trade Ideas | Mar 2, 2016, 9:13 AM

    CBOE RMC - Using Correlation to Enhance Directional Trading

    CBOE RMC - Using Correlation to Enhance Directional Trading

    // Ryan McRandal, Portfolio Manager from One River Asset Management and Nitin Saksena head of US Equity Derivatives Research at Bank of America Merrill Lynch teamed up for a discussion titled How to Improve Directional Trading Using Correlation Information. Saksena started things off noting that even highly correlated markets may diverge in performance over time.  One example of this is the S&P 500 and Emerging Markets[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Mar 1, 2016, 8:30 PM

    CBOE RMC Day 2 Recap

    CBOE RMC Day 2 Recap

    When you attend a conference like CBOE Risk Management you hope to have the opportunity to hear a variety of speakers.  This has always been true for RMC.  However, there are usually market themes that persist from presentation to presentation.  For instance at RMC in Europe a few months ago there was a lot of discussion about the markets moving to a higher volatility regime.  What is interesting about this conference is that the variety of market outlooks matches the variety[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Mar 1, 2016, 4:19 PM

    Volatility of Volatility and Other Facets of VIX Options Discussed at CBOE RMC

    Volatility of Volatility and Other Facets of VIX Options Discussed at CBOE RMC

    One of the final discussions today at CBOE RMC focused on the Volatility of Volatility and Other Facets of VIX Options.  The three presenters were Joe Aiken, Portfolio Manager, Malachite Capital Management, Art Lu, Director, Equity Quant Trading Strategy, Citigroup, and a RMC favorite Dominic Salvino, VIX Specialist, Group One, LLC. Highlights for each speaker’s presentation appear below – Dominic Salvino He noted that VIX Weeklys seem to be catching on quite well with the futures[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Trade Ideas | Mar 1, 2016, 4:07 PM

    Risk Hedging Frameworks: Governance Concerns and Equity Derivative Strategies Discussion at RMC

    Risk Hedging Frameworks:  Governance Concerns and Equity Derivative Strategies Discussion at RMC

    // One of the final presentations during Day 2 of CBOE’s Risk Management Conference teamed up Ari Paul, CFA, Portfolio Manager at The University of Chicago Office of Investments and Rebecca Cheong, Head of Americas Equity Derivatives Strategy, UBS Securities.  They separately discussed aspects related to Risk Hedging Frameworks: Governance Concerns and Equity Derivative Strategies. Paul began listing sources of[...]