Futures Archives - Cboe Blogs

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Jan 9, 2016, 9:00 AM

    Weekly Review - VIX Futures and Options 1/4 -1/8

    Weekly Review - VIX Futures and Options 1/4 -1/8

    The VIX curve moved from flat to backwardation as the S&P 500 dropped almost 5% to begin the year.  We finished the previous week with the curve pretty flat which is often considered an indication of uncertainty among volatility traders.  As a stretch of a visual I think about a flat volatility curve replicating a ‘fair coin’ which is the proper academic way to introduce a true 50 / 50 prospect.  That coin toss turned out to be extremely bearish for the equity markets[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Jan 8, 2016, 7:30 PM

    Weekly Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/4 - 1/8

    Weekly Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/4 - 1/8

    The S&P 500 experienced the second worst week in performance since 2011.  For those with short memories, the worst week came about four months ago in late August.   What both these weeks have in common is China which continues to experience financial market woes and, despite their leader’s best efforts, there seems to be no end to the volatility coming out of that part of the world for the foreseeable future. The market action pushed all four S&P 500 related volatility[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Education | Futures | Jan 8, 2016, 2:40 PM

    It’s Déjà VIX All Over Again

    It’s Déjà VIX All Over Again

    The same up-and-down vibes that marked the end of 2015 lifted volatility in the first week of 2016. The Shanghai stock market plunged on Monday. Oil prices were on a downward trend all through the week, and on Friday the U.S. Labor Department reported an additional 292,000 nonfarm payroll jobs were added in December. On Thursday, the economic malaise in China pushed the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) to a weekly high of 25.86, 42 percent higher than at the close of 2015. The upbeat job report on Friday[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Jan 3, 2016, 9:24 AM

    Five Volatility Market Takeaways from 2015

    Five Volatility Market Takeaways from 2015

    2015 is behind us and the S&P 500 dropped (more than a rounding error) for the first time since 2008.  If you want to put a positive spin on the year you can say with dividends the S&P 500 was higher.  It was a fun year to be a market participant as we experienced some things that could be considered new or at least different relative to recent market history.  Since everyone loves lists, or gets easily sucked into them, here are five takeaways from the volatility markets in[...]

  • Market News | Education | Futures | Strategy | Dec 31, 2015, 10:02 AM

    A Look Backward and Forward: CBOE VIX Indexes in 2015 and 2016

    A Look Backward and Forward: CBOE VIX Indexes in 2015 and 2016

    2015 Retrospective: There was no shortage of financial crises or investor alarm over central bank monetary policies, OPEC’s oil policy, and the generally anemic state of the global economy in 2015. Each CBOE VIX Index recorded the level of stress in its underlying sector. As the graphs below illustrate, different triggers struck panic across markets. VIX Index, Volatility Gauge for U.S. Equity Market: The uptrend in expected volatility of the U.S. equity market continued in 2015. The peak[...]

  • Market News | Futures | Dec 21, 2015, 3:19 PM

    Russell 2000® Index Options (RUT) - “Weeklys” New PM-settled Expirations

    Russell 2000® Index Options (RUT) -  “Weeklys” New PM-settled Expirations

    The Russell 2000® Index (RUT) Weeklys options are listed to provide expiration opportunities every week. Weeklys are typically listed on Thursdays and expire on Fridays, provided that such expirations were not previously listed (i.e. Weeklys are not listed if they would expire on a 3rd Friday or if a Quarterly option would expire on the same day). Trading Activity RUT “Weeklys” The daily and monthly trading activity in the RUT “Weeklys” average approximately 30% of the[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Trade Ideas | Dec 20, 2015, 10:44 AM

    Weekly Review - VIX Futures and Options - 12/14 - 12/18

    Weekly Review - VIX Futures and Options - 12/14 - 12/18

    VIX gave up 15% last week, despite the S&P 500 losing a little and this index trading in a range of greater than 80 points for the second consecutive week.  Consensus thinking is that with the Fed finally hiking rates a little uncertainty came out of the markets.  Of course Janet Yellen’s press conference was still in full swing when market pundits started discussing when the next potential rate hike may occur. The curve depicting the short dated VIX futures contracts[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Trade Ideas | Dec 19, 2015, 9:46 AM

    Weekly Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 12/14 - 12/18

    Weekly Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 12/14 - 12/18

    Finally, the Fed raised rates.  I’m reading Ben Bernanke’s book and it is interesting that this was being debated when he was still the chairman.  The equity market loved it and then hated it with the result being a roller coaster of a week.  The VXST – VIX – VXV – VXMT curve was on heightened alert this time last week and returned to normal to end the week.  It is rare, but we seem to have experienced an earnings like volatility crush in SPX volatility[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Dec 1, 2015, 12:00 AM

    Hedge Funds and Volatility-Based Strategies Discussion at RMC Asia

    Hedge Funds and Volatility-Based Strategies Discussion at RMC Asia

    The first post-lunch presentation in Hong Kong was actually a hybrid presentation / discussion panel.  Things started off with the Chairman of Eurekahedge, Satoshi Iwanaga from Eurekahedge which created and calculates four indexes to measure the performance of different volatility oriented strategies.  This segmentation is logical since strategies that focus on volatility can vary greatly in their process. The four CBOE Eurekahedge Volatility Indexes are: CBOE Eurekahedge Short Volatility[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Nov 30, 2015, 9:31 PM

    Volatility and the Allegory of the Prisoner's Dilemma

    Volatility and the Allegory of the Prisoner's Dilemma

    Chris Cole from Artemis Capital delivered a presentation with the title, Volatility and the Allegory of the Prisoner’s Dilemma.  In a nutshell the Prisoner’s Dilemma relates to game theory and explores why two rational individuals might not cooperate even if it appears that it is in their best interest to do so. There were three points that Cole wanted to get across during his presentation – Investors are trapped in a Prisoner’s Dilemma Volatility is the only real asset[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Trade Ideas | Nov 30, 2015, 8:03 PM

    Presentation Discussing the Current Volatility Environment at CBOE RMC Asia

    Presentation Discussing the Current Volatility Environment at CBOE RMC Asia

    Buzz Gregory, Equity Derivatives Strategist at Goldman Sachs, delivered a very informative session on VIX and SPX option trading today in Hong Kong.  His speech hit on a topic that was frequently mentioned at RMC Europe a couple of weeks ago, the current shift in volatility regimes. Highlights of Buzz’s presentation include – It was noted that both SPX and VIX option volumes continue to steadily grow with volume experiencing dramatic increases occurring around market events About[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Nov 30, 2015, 1:16 PM

    RMC Asia Day 1 Recap

    RMC Asia Day 1 Recap

    The first day of the inaugural CBOE Risk Management Conference in Asia was jam packed with information that has me with a new ‘to do’ list that’ll keep my spring intern hopping until May. The conference commenced with a primer on VIX delivered by me.  As I said in the original post, it’s a little strange blogging a recap of your own presentation.  I feel a bit like the Rickey Henderson of options if I speak about myself in the third person so I just can’t do[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Nov 30, 2015, 12:18 AM

    Primer on Options and Volatility Trading at RMC Asia

    Primer on Options and Volatility Trading at RMC Asia

    The first presentation at the first ever CBOE Risk Management Conference to be held in Asia kicked off with a primer on options and volatility delivered by me.  I couldn’t figure out if I wanted to refer to myself in the third person or err on the side of possibly sounding presumptuous.  I decided to go with the latter. Over the course of 75 minutes I discussed several things that relate to the option market with a focus on volatility and VIX related derivatives.  My presentation[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Trade Ideas | Nov 21, 2015, 1:37 PM

    The Week in VIX - 11/16 - 11/20

    The Week in VIX - 11/16 - 11/20

    The VIX term structure returned to normal from slight backwardation last week as the S&P 500 rose over 3%.  Two years ago a 3% move in the S&P 500 probably would have resulted in VIX under 12.00, but these are different times and with a rate hike looming down to the mid 15’s is the best we can expect. The short dated term structure ended the week in slight contango which has been the norm when VIX drops since the futures were launched back in July.  The curve[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Nov 15, 2015, 10:40 AM

    The Week in VIX - 11/9 - 11/13

    The Week in VIX - 11/9 - 11/13

    VIX managed a finish over 20 as Friday’s market action raised the level of concern among market participants.  You have to wonder if Friday August 21st and the follow through on the 24th is still fresh in trader’s minds. The short term curve flattened out which seems to be the norm when VIX move higher, since VIX Weeklys are relatively new. Mid-day on Friday while VIX was still under 20.00 (19.60 to be exact), there was a buyer of the VIX Dec 25 Calls who paid 1.10 and[...]