Market News Archives - Cboe Blogs

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Feb 11, 2016, 12:26 PM

    Earnings Next Week 2/15 - 2/19

    Earnings Next Week 2/15 - 2/19

    We have a holiday shortened week and earnings season is approaching the end of the heavy period, but there are plenty of companies left to report.  Thirty six companies with short dated options available for trading release numbers next week.  The numbers below represent three years of history with a couple of exceptions which have not been around long enough to provide a full three years of history.  In those cases the data appears in italics.   After the ticker the columns show[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Education | Trade Ideas | Feb 10, 2016, 1:00 PM

    Record Open Interest of 2,333 Contracts for Options on MSCI Emerging Markets Index (MXEF)

    Record Open Interest of 2,333 Contracts for Options on MSCI Emerging Markets Index (MXEF)

    The open interest for options on the MSCI Emerging Markets Index (MXEF) recently rose to a record 2,333 contacts. Several institutional investors have expressed interest in the potential for a liquid MXEF options contract, particularly because the MXEF options contract is cash-settled and has a notional size that is about 24 times larger than options on the EEM ETF. IMPORTANT MSCI GLOBAL INDEXES In mid-2015 the total market capitalizations were $13 trillion for MSCI EAFE (MXEA) and $4 trillion for[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Futures | Strategy | Feb 8, 2016, 10:15 AM

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - Hanging By A Thread?

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - Hanging By A Thread?

    Although stocks were never significantly into profitable territory at any point last week, at the very least on Thursday it looked like we might stabilize with just a very minor loss.  The bears had other plans on Friday, however, sending the market 1.85% lower that day to the lowest close in nearly two weeks. And yet, it's worth noting that neither the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) nor the NASDAQ Composite (COMP) broke under their most critical floors; we're still not past the point of no return[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Strategy | Feb 8, 2016, 9:21 AM

    Market in Distribution Continues

    Market in Distribution Continues

    We started a new month this past week, but it was like déjà vu all over again.  The Groundhog declared an early Spring on Tuesday, a change in weather.  But regarding markets, you could have fooled me.  It was the same action we have seen for weeks on end, and it doesn't seem to be letting up.  The vicious selling last week was magnified on Friday after a jobs report that seemed indicate the Fed may be trapped.  I'm not so sure about that, but the market speaks[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Feb 7, 2016, 12:15 PM

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 2/1 - 2/5

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 2/1 - 2/5

    Friday provided our first glimpse into how the economy was faring in January and the stock market apparently didn’t like what it saw.  VIX finished the day up 7% which was just under half the over 15% rise we got last week.  The February future managed an 11% gain to finish higher than spot VIX.  However, backwardation is still in place with the February contract higher than the March contract.  More on this after the chart and table below. I’ve been obsessively[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Feb 6, 2016, 3:50 PM

    Weekly Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 2/1 - 2/5

    Weekly Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 2/1 - 2/5

    VIX rose last week as did the rest of the volatility indexes that based their levels on S&P 500 Index (SPX) option pricing.  Usually in times of panic VXST (9-day volatility) rises above VIX (30-day volatility), but that was not the case this past week.  You can read this two ways – traders think stocks will rebound or traders are mentally prepared for more downside in the market.  I’m leaning toward the latter. I decided to leave the year to date numbers[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Feb 6, 2016, 9:38 AM

    Weekly Review - Russell 2000 Index and Options - 2/1 - 2/5

    Weekly Review - Russell 2000 Index and Options - 2/1 - 2/5

    Small cap stocks continue to take it on the chin as the Russell 2000 (RUT) dropped almost 5% (4.81% for the quants) last week while the Russell 1000 (RUI) was down 3.16%.  I love how I am conditioned to a 3% drop in a broad based index feeling kind of normal.  My how times have changed. In times of panic the implied volatility of S&P 500 (SPX) options often elevates compared to the implied volatility of RUT index options.  That has not been the case in 2016 and in fact VIX closed[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Education | Feb 5, 2016, 5:00 PM

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 2/5/2016

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 2/5/2016

    The Weekly News Roundup is your weekly recap of CBOE features, options industry news and VIX and volatility-related articles from print, broadcast, online and social media outlets. VIX: Overnight Access Granted CBOE announced this week that it will begin overnight dissemination of the CBOE Volatility Index next month, enabling market participants to “view volatility during that period through the same lens used in regular U.S. trading hours.” “CBOE Extends VIX Index Overnight for[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Futures | Feb 5, 2016, 1:52 PM

    VIX Measures of Volatility Boosted by Muddled Economic Outlook

    VIX Measures of Volatility Boosted by Muddled Economic Outlook

    Figure 1. TYVIX, VIX and Foreign Exchange Volatility Indicators VIX volatility indicators for Treasury, equity and foreign exchange markets edged up this week as central bankers and investors appeared equally bemused by the crosscurrents in global economic news. Adding to ongoing concerns about China, low commodity prices, lack of inflation and lackluster growth, yields on sovereign bonds in Europe and Japan turned negative. Negative yields are sometimes viewed as a possible precursor to recession.[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Feb 4, 2016, 6:09 PM

    Block Trade Analysis - Bearish SPX Trade in Front of Employment Report

    Block Trade Analysis - Bearish SPX Trade in Front of Employment Report

    Tomorrow we get the first look at how the economy fared in January.  This insight comes with the release of the January Non-Farm Payrolls number.  I went searching for a trade or two executed late Thursday that may indicate a bullish or bearish market outlook in front of the number. I didn’t have to look too much to find an interesting trade..  Just before the SPX option market closed at 3:15 pm Chicago time there was a buyer of about 500 SPX Feb 26th 1920 Puts at 41.70. [...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Jan 30, 2016, 4:20 PM

    Weekly Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/25 - 1/29

    Weekly Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/25 - 1/29

    The equity market came to life last week and avoided what could have been the worst January in most of our lifetimes for stocks.  In response the four volatility indexes that are based on SPX option pricing were lower, but all four are also well above where they were to end 2015. I included a year-to-date performance column in this week’s table.  A big part of the motivation was to show the stellar performance of VXX and UVXY (along with the comparable funds) for 2016. [...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Jan 30, 2016, 11:00 AM

    Weekly Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 1/25 - 1/29

    Weekly Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 1/25 - 1/29

    The Russell 1000 (RUI) and Russell 2000 (RUT) both put up a respectable week.  However despite the positive week, RUT finished January down 8.85% while RUI was down 5.49%. In an interesting twist, RVX climbed to what is considered a normal premium to VIX last week.  As VIX moved lower, RVX did as well, but not as rapidly.  The result is an RVX to VIX premium of around 20% which is close to the average for the past few years. At least one trader is bullish on small caps[...]

  • Market News | Jan 29, 2016, 4:14 PM

    The Weekly Options News Roundup - 1/29/2016

    The Weekly Options News Roundup - 1/29/2016

    The Weekly News Roundup is your weekly recap of CBOE features, options industry news and VIX and volatility-related articles from print, broadcast, online and social media outlets. CBOE Vector Revs Its Engines Preparations continue for the roll out of CBOE’s next generation trade engine technology – CBOE Vector – which is expected to go live at the CBOE Futures Exchange in the third quarter of 2016. “CBOE Gears Up for Crucial Tech Project” – Luke Jeffs, FOW http://bit.ly/1SfWGhp “CBOE[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Futures | Jan 29, 2016, 1:51 PM

    January 29, 2016 Weekly Report on CBOE VIX Indexes

    January 29, 2016 Weekly Report on CBOE VIX Indexes

    Negative Japanese Interest Rates Revive JYVIX Index The JYVIX Index rose to 11.77 at the close on Thursday, ahead of the Bank of Japan’s move to press the Japanese short rate of interest into negative territory early Friday. It was the first time the Japanese central bank adopted a negative interest rate, and this unusual decision propped up global equities as well as the volatility index. The JYVIX Index measures the volatility of the Yen/Dollar rate of exchange. The action was the high note[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Trader Talk | Jan 29, 2016, 1:37 PM

    Weekly Stock Market Commentary 1/29/16

    Weekly Stock Market Commentary 1/29/16

    The market has finally stabilized to some extent.  Even though $SPX had wide swings in the past week, there was a net gain over the past five trading days. There is strong support at 1820 (see Figure 1), because that is where this January's decline halted, and where the declines of April and October 2014 also halted.   A breach of that area would be quite negative. Equity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals.  There have been some attempts by the computer analysis programs[...]