Market News Archives - CBOE Blogs

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Mar 5, 2017, 8:08 AM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 2/27/2017 - 3/3/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 2/27/2017 - 3/3/2017

    Textbook and parallel are two terms that come to mind to described the shift in the VXST – VIX – VXV – VXMT curve below.  Also, steep comes to mind as the longer dated indexes are pretty elevated when compared to VIX and VXST. The long funds below benefited from volatility increasing a bit on Tuesday last week, with VIX even putting in a 2017 high, before resuming their downward trajectory.  Note TYVIX giving up 10% which puts the volatility of 10-Year Treasury Note options[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Feb 25, 2017, 5:22 PM

    Update on The Warren Buffett Put Trades

    Update on The Warren Buffett Put Trades

    A few years ago, I was asked to co-author the study guide that accompanies the 3rd version of The Warren Buffett Way.  While doing research for this project I came across a discussion of a handful of index put options that Berkshire Hathaway had sold between 2004 and 2008.  Every year when the Berkshire Hathaway annual report comes out, I dig in to see how these trades are doing.  Here’s the update as of the end of 2016. Back in 2008, as the financial world was falling apart,[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Feb 25, 2017, 2:14 PM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 2/21 - 2/24

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 2/21 - 2/24

    VIX was the only S&P 500 related volatility index that lost value last week.  VXST rose, probably getting a boost from coming off a long weekend.  The longer dated volatility indexes mirrored the action in longer dated VIX futures by moving to the upside.  April seems to be the next month of concern among volatility players with the pending election in France.  Other pockets of volatility are showing up in the table below.  SKEW finished the week near recent highs and[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Feb 25, 2017, 10:46 AM

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 2/21 - 2/24

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 2/21 - 2/24

    To say that volatility was flat last week is misstating the facts.  Sure, VIX was lower, but wow, look at the rest of the curve.   All contracts were higher with April and May futures leading the way at up over 6%.  For this we will blame France, which I will explain after the VIX Table / Term Structure below. VSTOXX is basically VIX for the European markets.  Specifically, it is an index that calculates a consistent measure of implied volatility as indicated by options[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Feb 19, 2017, 9:29 AM

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 2/13 - 2/17

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 2/13 - 2/17

    We’ve experienced several twists in the volatility markets this year where the futures don’t move in sync or in line with spot VIX.  This occurred again last week as VIX rose almost 6% while the futures markets moved lower.  Part of this may be attributed to February going off the board, at least with respect to March, but the farther date futures had been a bit elevated this year, but with the lack of any sort of volatility event appear to have started to weigh on the farther[...]

  • Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 2/13 - 2/17

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 2/13 - 2/17

    The Russell 1000 (RUI) gained about 1.5% last week and is now up over 5% for the year while the Russell 2000 (RUT) was up 0.8% and is trailing RUI up a tad more than 3% for 2017. The relative implied volatility of Russell 2000 options dropped to a historically more normal level last week after spending most of this year at the top end of the historical range. On Wednesday RUT managed to close over 1400 which bought out at least one trader with a short term bearish outlook.  With about 30[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Feb 15, 2017, 7:40 PM

    Block Trade Analysis - Large RUT Bear Call Spread

    Block Trade Analysis - Large RUT Bear Call Spread

    As the Russell 2000 (RUT) continues to move into uncharted territory at least one trader believes 1500 is not achievable.  At least not through standard March (3/17) expiration.  Early today when RUT was around 1393 (much lower than today’s close) a pretty big trade came into the RUT post.  Specifically, they was a seller of 37,601 RUT Mar 1490 Calls at 1.42 who then purchased 37,601 RUT Mar 1510 Calls for 0.95.  The result is a net credit of 0.47 and a payoff at RUT AM[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Feb 14, 2017, 5:18 PM

    VIX and Three Day Weekends

    VIX and Three Day Weekends

    Another three-day weekend is sneaking up on us.  The result for those of us that have an unhealthy obsession with VIX is to talk about how a three-day weekend provides a headwind for VIX performance.  It has been awhile since I looked at the impact of holiday weekends so I downloaded data and got to work.  The reason we believe in the three-day weekend effect stems from how VIX is calculated.  VIX is a calendar day measure, so when we are approaching a day where the markets[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Feb 12, 2017, 12:20 PM

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 2/6 - 2/10

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 2/6 - 2/10

    Both the Russell 1000 (RUI) and Russell 2000 (RUT) were up about 0.80% for the week.  For the year, RUI still holds a performance lead of about 1.3%.  Just for fun and because it was a year ago this weekend that the US equity markets put in the 2016 lows I decided to see where things stood at that time.  As of February 11th of last year RUT was down 16.0% and RUI was down only 11.3%.  Man what a difference a year makes.  In the volatility space, the Russell 2000 Volatility[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Feb 12, 2017, 11:27 AM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 2/6 - 2/10

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 2/6 - 2/10

    There was a slight and uniform shift lower in the term structure of S&P 500 related volatility indexes last week.  One might say this is a case of all indexes not having much more room to drop.  An ETN I don’t mention too much was interesting to me this week.  VXZ was unchanged on the week as the longer end of the VIX futures curve was mixed.  TYVIX also rebounded a bit at concerns over interest rates had been trending lower.  The March Fed meeting concludes on[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Feb 12, 2017, 8:15 AM

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 2/6 - 2/10

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 2/6 - 2/10

    VIX was little changed last week as the S&P 500 moved higher.  When VIX has a ‘10’ handle and stocks move higher we tend not to see the sort of reaction we might see if VIX were at higher levels.  The most interesting thing below is the front two month futures contracts.  February, which goes off the board this coming week, lost 6% playing catch up with spot VIX.  March dropped almost 4%, but is still at a premium of about 2.50 to spot VIX. We get a heads up[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Feb 7, 2017, 1:14 PM

    Finding Volatility in the US Equity Markets

    Finding Volatility in the US Equity Markets

    VIX is low, we all know VIX is low.  I type that and feel I need to stop channeling Dr. Seuss.  However, there are some pockets of volatility in the US equity markets, we just need to know where to look.  Since CBOE quotes several volatility indexes that are based on the US markets I went searching for places where the market is still pricing in a little concern about the future.  Two areas that stood out –  tail risk and small cap risk.  Let’s start with[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trade Ideas | Feb 6, 2017, 9:14 AM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/30 - 2/3

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/30 - 2/3

    VXST dropped while the other three volatility indexes based on S&P 500 index option pricing rose slightly.  This all happened despite a rise in the S&P 500 last week.  Probably the most notable thing on the table below is the rise in VVIX despite the stock market and VIX not doing much last week.  Focusing on the VIX related ETPs shows that the trend of short volatility being the place to be in 2017 continues to hold up. Looking outside the broad-based index volatility[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Feb 6, 2017, 9:08 AM

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 1/30 - 2/3

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 1/30 - 2/3

    VIX rose slightly last week while all standard futures contracts lost value.  February settlement is a week and a half off so the longer VIX remains in the 10’s the more drift lower we should expect out of the front month future.  As the front month starts to approach settlement date, VIX option traders start to focus on farther dated contracts, normally rolling to the following month.  However, it seems skipping March is in vogue among VIX traders with many of last week’s[...]

  • Market News | Feb 6, 2017, 8:55 AM

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 2/5/2017

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 2/5/2017

    The Weekly News Roundup is your weekly recap of CBOE features, options industry news and VIX Index and volatility-related articles from print, broadcast, online and social media outlets.        CBOE Launches S&P 500 Range-Bound Premium Income Index On Tuesday, CBOE announced the launch of the CBOE S&P 500 Range-Bound Premium Income Index (SPRI).  The index, which is designed to serve as a benchmark for investors aiming for consistent income distributions[...]