Market News Archives - CBOE Blogs

  • Market News | Nov 14, 2016, 9:20 AM

    Why A Trump Presidency is Fed Positive

    Why A Trump Presidency is Fed Positive

    Many were scared of the reaction to a Donald Trump presidency, even the Federal Reserve open market committee. How do we know that? They telegraphed the uncertainty in their statement following the November 2 meeting. Well, not in so many words but they certainly telegraphed their intention to hold off in November raising rates, fearing some sort of backlash and financial calamity could ensue post election. This was a similar stance as before the Brexit vote, and while there was a decent amount of[...]

  • Market News | Nov 14, 2016, 9:15 AM

    Admiral SPO Delivers 439% Without a Chase!

    Admiral SPO Delivers 439% Without a Chase!

    On October 13, the eve of JPM’s Earnings Announcement, Admiral found a great trade opportunity: Buy a 1x4 67.50/70 Call BackSpread. Maury followed the Admiral without hesitation. Before the market opened, JPM’s earnings beat the estimates and revenue. However, the price action was fairly muted for the balance of October. Maury had the jitters, along with the market, due to the upcoming general elections. He was not used to waiting to get paid on a trade, but Admiral already had that[...]

  • Market News | Nov 13, 2016, 2:00 PM

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 11/13/2016

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 11/13/2016

    VIX FIX: The Volatility Event No One Saw Coming   Volatility jolted from its long slumber Tuesday night after a jaw-dropping win in the U.S. Presidential election by Donald Trump. Global markets were reacting to the surprise as state by state results came in, causing Dow futures to plunge approximately 750 points at one point during the night, while the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX Index) soared 55%, topping the 23 mark. VIX futures contracts also made history, setting a new volume record of 263,663[...]

  • Earnings Week of 11/14 - 11/18

    Earnings Week of 11/14 - 11/18

    Earnings moves to being all about retail - I personally am looking forward to company outlooks for the holiday shopping season.  As always the data below is based on the last three years of earnings results unless the ticker is in italics.  The columns show the biggest rally, biggest drop, average move, and what the stock did last quarter in reaction to earnings.  Finally, double check the earnings dates as not all were confirmed.  

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 12, 2016, 2:40 PM

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 11/7 - 11/11

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 11/7 - 11/11

    Last week the Russell 2000 (RUT) beat the Russell 1000 (RUI) down like a college football team trying to make a statement and qualify for a spot in the playoff.  RUT was up over 10% in reaction to the outcome of the US election while the large cap (and more internationally focused) RUI gained just under 4%.  The race to the end of the year was close, but now RUT has about a 7% lead on RUI. In an interesting twist, the CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) moved up relative[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Election & VIX | 2016 Recap | Nov 7, 2016, 4:40 PM

    On Election Eve, Volatility Indexes for Stocks, Gold, Currencies & Volatility Fall By More than 8% (after Record 9-Day Up-Streak)

    On Election Eve, Volatility Indexes for Stocks, Gold, Currencies & Volatility Fall By More than 8% (after Record 9-Day Up-Streak)

    Last week I heard about quite a bit of new interest in portfolio protection strategies, and on November 4 the CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX®) rose on a ninth consecutive day (a new all-time record for the VIX Index over its price history dating back to January 1990). However, on November 7, the date before the U.S. national elections, the S&P 500® Index rose 2.2%, and the percentage changes for some key volatility indexes were as follows: ·         -16.9% [...]

  • Market News | Election & VIX | 2016 Recap | Nov 7, 2016, 10:22 AM

    Election Update - Volatility Still Abundant Despite S&P 500 Rally

    Election Update - Volatility Still Abundant Despite S&P 500 Rally

    As I write this the S&P 500 is up 40.00 points on the nose and volatility is dropping.  I ran a quick update on different charts I have been using to discuss the markets and the election.  All three appear to be saying despite the stock market rally, there’s still some uneasiness with respect to tomorrow’s election. First, I’ve been watching the at the money implied volatility of SPX options expiring in November.  We have options expiring on the close today, but[...]

  • Market News | Nov 6, 2016, 4:00 PM

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 11/6/2016

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 11/6/2016

    The Weekly News Roundup is your weekly recap of CBOE features, options industry news and VIX Index and volatility-related articles from print, broadcast, online and social media outlets. Industry Professionals Set Sail for CBOE RMC Asia Last Tuesday, CBOE announced the agenda for the 2nd annual CBOE Risk Management Conference Asia, a two-day event featuring discussions covering volatility products, and the latest risk management tools and tactics from top traders and strategist.  One of this[...]

  • Market News | Nov 6, 2016, 12:17 PM

    Earnings Week of 11/7 - 11/11

    Earnings Week of 11/7 - 11/11

    Earnings season is starting to wind down, but there are plenty of stocks with Weeklys reporting this week.  As always the data below is based on the last three years of earnings results unless the ticker is in italics.  The columns show the biggest rally, biggest drop, average move, and what the stock did last quarter in reaction to earnings.  Finally, double check the earnings dates as not all were confirmed.

  • Market News | Nov 5, 2016, 7:57 PM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 10/31 - 11/4

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 10/31 - 11/4

    Short dated volatility in the form of VXST was up over 70% last week.  The uncertainty around this election has reached a frenzied point.  That combined with the S&P 500 dropping about 2% resulted in the whole curve shifting higher.  I discussed the 2012 before and after curves in an earlier blog which can be read here.  I do expect short dated volatility to fall back in line, but where the rest of the indexes will be is anyone’s guess and depends heavily on the reaction[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 5, 2016, 8:00 AM

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 10/31 - 11/4

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 10/31 - 11/4

    It’s a stretch, but the race to the end of 2017 is shaping up like the most recent World Series that captivated my home town.  Early this year the Russell 1000 (RUI) dominated performance, then it looked like the Russell 2000 was going to run away with the out performance crown.  Suddenly, a couple of weeks ago, RUI got a second wind and is making a run at RUT.  Last week RUI closed the gap a tad losing 1.92% while RUT was down 2.08%.  For the year RUT is up 2.43% and RUI[...]

  • Market News | Election & VIX | 2016 Recap | Nov 4, 2016, 2:11 PM

    Big Week for New Inquiries Re: Portfolio Protection, as Daily Volume Spikes for SPX Puts (992k), VIX Calls (590k), and VIX Futures (319k)

    Big Week for New Inquiries Re: Portfolio Protection, as Daily Volume Spikes for SPX Puts (992k), VIX Calls (590k), and VIX Futures (319k)

    This week has been a big week regrading new interest in tools for portfolio protection. We spoke with a Wall Street Journal reporter to provide information on the VIX and VVIX indexes that was used in a story entitled “Election Fear Creeps Into the Market.” In addition, I spoke with multiple investment advisers who said that this was the busiest week of the year in terms of new client inquiries on protective strategies. Both the VIX and CBOE VIX of VIX (VVIX) indexes have risen each[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Election & VIX | 2016 Recap | Nov 1, 2016, 4:16 PM

    Volatility and the Election Update

    Volatility and the Election Update

    Usually by this time in the election season we have a pretty good idea of who is going to win the election.  However, like everything associated with this election, it is different this time.  Things changed on a dime late last week and I'm having a hard time figuring out what to highlight with respect to the volatility markets.  So forgive me if I miss a thing or two here... Last Monday I showed the chart below and highlighted that implied volatility for SPX options expiring just[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | Futures | Strategy | Oct 31, 2016, 10:03 AM

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - October 31, 2016

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - October 31, 2016

    Stocks tried to get the market back in a bullish groove, staging a pretty solid advance on Monday of last week. It wasn't meant to be though. That rally effort petered out beginning on Tuesday, and then accelerated as the week wore on with the weight of a big Q2 rally still getting in the way. By the time Friday's closing bell rang most of the indices were within easy reach of a major support level. One stumble this week could finally pop this fragile (albeit short-term) bubble. And if there was[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Oct 31, 2016, 9:41 AM

    Uncertainties Create a Pause For Market Participants

    Uncertainties Create a Pause For Market Participants

    These next eight to ten days will be quite interesting as the outcome of some events will unfold, as the Fed policy and election uncertainties will create headaches for market players. The Fed has a meeting this week and it is widely held they will not make a move on interest rates, rather they will continue to provide clues toward a December rate hike.  Whether that is good policy shift is open to debate, but certainly there is a swarm of support to hike the rate before the end of 2016. [...]