Strategy Archives - CBOE Blogs

  • Market News | Strategy | Jan 9, 2017, 4:53 PM

    Technical Resistance in AMZN?

    Technical Resistance in AMZN?

    It's pretty clear that AMZN has been in a buy mode recently.  It is possible that we do see even higher prices in this stock.  I do however want to throw up a caution flag here for a couple of reasons.  First, we have met the initial upside targets off our last trade setup in this stock.  Second, we are moving into a couple of key resistance clusters defined by Fibonacci price relationships.  They come in at 801.31-807.55 and then 813.95-819.00.  Third, I'm seeing a[...]

  • Market News | Education | Strategy | Dec 19, 2016, 9:33 AM

    Learn Trading in Different Dimensions

    Learn Trading in Different Dimensions

    As traders and investors, we often see outcomes through the prism of win or lose. We will all have both over time, trading is not a game of perfect.The goal of course is to win more than you lose. Some measure their success where they make it into the win/loss column, and while it's true we can only grow our accounts with more wins than losses, to me it's not the only measure of success. But one of the toughest emotions to overcome is a bias toward direction, when what really needs to be examined[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Dec 8, 2016, 1:11 PM

    Block Trade Analysis - Buyer of 250,000 XLF Jan 20th 25 Calls

    Block Trade Analysis - Buyer of 250,000 XLF Jan 20th 25 Calls

    All of equity market sectors the financial sector seems to have benefited the most since Donald Trump was elected President back on November 8th.  Note on the price chart below that as of mid-day today the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) is up about 19% since election day. Apparently one trader expects this bull run for XLF to continue into the new year.  This morning, less than 90 minutes into the trading day, there was a buyer of 250,000 XLF Jan 20th 25 Calls for 0.13. [...]

  • Market News | Strategy | Dec 5, 2016, 9:06 AM

    A Market Under Distribution Has No Mercy

    A Market Under Distribution Has No Mercy

    After a robust market rise on good turnover after the election, we find ourselves a month later wondering what is next.  Many thought a Trump victory was indeed the elixir needed to get the economy and markets moving, and that sentiment was pronounced immediately with a bullish market response.  Further, bonds were trashed, an amazing allocation shift that happened swiftly and with bold strokes. Markets tend to punish complacency when you least expect it.  As the volatility was sucked[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Dec 4, 2016, 5:05 AM

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 11/28 - 12/2

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 11/28 - 12/2

    VIX gained over 14% last week as volatility rose in reaction to a 1% drop in the S&P 500.  It is hard to quantify, but I’m thinking that a part of the rise is VIX can be attributed to the vote going on in Italy this weekend.  Note that the curve shift was not exactly uniform and the futures lagged the move in the index.  Barring a volatility spike in reaction to this weekend or some other unforeseen market moving event, I would not be surprised to see the VIX curve return[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Dec 1, 2016, 2:47 AM

    Long Volatility Discussion at CBOE RMC

    Long Volatility Discussion at CBOE RMC

    Govert Heijboer from True Partner Advisor and James Murray from NSW Treasury Corporation split the duties for a discussion titled Implementing Long Volatility Exposures for Hedging and Alpha today in Hong Kong. Murray led off by discussing risk management and the objectives of long volatility risk management strategies.  He noted that there is no free lunch when getting long volatility exposure and strategies are a trade-off between convexity, timing, basis and time decay.  A final thought[...]

  • Market News | Education | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Nov 30, 2016, 1:12 AM

    Wide Variety of CBOE Benchmark Indexes Discussed at RMC

    Wide Variety of CBOE Benchmark Indexes Discussed at RMC

    Matt Moran and Bruce Traan, both from CBOE, delivered the second session at this year’s CBOE Risk Management Conference in Hong Kong.  Bruce kicked things off with a discussion titled “New Developments in Options and Volatility-Based Benchmarks”.  Matt followed with “Options and Volatility Based Benchmark Indexes”. Bruce noted that demand for passive investing is growing and smart-beta is the fastest growing segment of passive investing.  He highlighted[...]

  • Trader Talk | Education | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Nov 29, 2016, 11:49 PM

    Dan Passarelli Discusses Getting a Volatility Edge

    Dan Passarelli Discusses Getting a Volatility Edge

    The first presentation at the 2nd Annual Asian version of CBOE’s Risk Management Conference featured an informative tutorial from Dan Passarelli of Market Taker Mentoring.  Dan’s talk was titled Directional Options Strategies and Trade Management. He kicked things off with a quick review of the option greeks and then dove into directional strategies.  He emphasized that trades can start with a directional outlook, but there are other factors that come into play with respect[...]

  • Market News | Strategy | Election & VIX | 2016 Recap | Nov 29, 2016, 11:24 AM

    Election Night Option Liquidity

    Election Night Option Liquidity

    CBOE’s Extended Trading Hours (ETH) options session reached a significant milestone in the wake of the surprising U.S. election results, surpassing 100,000 contracts for the first time on November 9. CBOE introduced the ETH options session in 2015 on our SPX and VIX products. The primary motivation for offering these products during off-market hours was to provide market participants with the opportunity to react to global events at the time of those events taking place, rather than having[...]

  • Market News | Strategy | Nov 28, 2016, 9:15 AM

    Metals and Mining: Buyers Transition to New Groups

    Metals and Mining:  Buyers Transition to New Groups

    Over the past several years we have seen selling pressure intensify in metals and mining names as policy directives shifted away from this group. Not only was less money invested in coal, copper, materials and the like but costly regulations put some of these companies against the wall, and in many cases out of business totally. Stocks like Cliffs Natural, Freeport McMoran and US Steel are a shadow of their former selves. Once boasting robust stock prices and strong balance sheets, these and many[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Nov 22, 2016, 8:16 PM

    Block Trade Analysis - MDT Earnings

    Block Trade Analysis - MDT Earnings

    Shares of Medtronic (MDT) took it on the chin Tuesday in response to their most recent earnings report.  The average move for the stock over the last three years was up or down about 2% and the biggest drop over that time period was just over 4%.  Those numbers truly contrast with the recent 8.7% drop. Midday Monday, someone who had a pretty bearish outlook for MDT shares purchased 2500 MDT Nov 25th 79 Puts for 0.38.  To help pay for those options they also sold 2500 MDT Nov 25th 84[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Strategy | Nov 14, 2016, 12:45 PM

    BigTrends.com Post-Election Weekly Market Outlook

    BigTrends.com Post-Election Weekly Market Outlook

    To call last week as wild week would still be an understatement of epic proportions. The S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) gained 3.8% last week, which was big, but it was a victory made even more amazing by the fact that a Trump victory was supposed to be bad for the market (and for a few hours before Wednesday's open, it was very bad for stocks). A few hours after Donald Trump was confirmed as the next President though, the S&P 500 was not only up, but had cleared a key technical hurdle. The bulls don't[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | Futures | Strategy | Oct 31, 2016, 10:03 AM

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - October 31, 2016

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - October 31, 2016

    Stocks tried to get the market back in a bullish groove, staging a pretty solid advance on Monday of last week. It wasn't meant to be though. That rally effort petered out beginning on Tuesday, and then accelerated as the week wore on with the weight of a big Q2 rally still getting in the way. By the time Friday's closing bell rang most of the indices were within easy reach of a major support level. One stumble this week could finally pop this fragile (albeit short-term) bubble. And if there was[...]

  • Trader Talk | Strategy | Oct 24, 2016, 9:13 AM

    The Time to Listen to Market Prophets? Not EVER!

    The Time to Listen to Market Prophets?  Not EVER!

    With so much uncertainty in the world most investors/traders get anxious and worried over losing money and start listening to market sages and so-called prophets.  That is typical and quite natural, yet when the underwear starts getting tight and we begin to sweat because the markets are misbehaving, well we tend to reach for whatever (or, whomever) makes the most sense.  To top the list of uncertainties include the upcoming election, which many are starting to believe is to be a Hillary[...]

  • Strategy | Trade Ideas | Oct 24, 2016, 9:10 AM

    Admiral SPO Puts his Mark on Microsoft

    Admiral SPO Puts his Mark on Microsoft

    Maury, Maury, Maury! Admiral SPO Puts his Mark on Microsoft. Knowing Maury’s thirst for shekels and his motto of "the best things in life are FREE" the Admiral launched a timely pre-earnings trade, a call time back spread. Maury, known for his Pavlovian behavior jumped in!  On Thursday, October 20th, the day Microsoft earnings were scheduled to come out after the bell, one day prior to OCT options expiration Admiral sent out the mother of all Maury trades at 2:56 PM CT: Sell[...]