Strategy Archives - Cboe Blogs

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Strategy | Feb 27, 2016, 7:00 AM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 2/22 - 2/26

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 2/22 - 2/26

    This was probably the calmest week we had in the markets in 2016, which is good for the long term investors, but makes my job sort of tough.  VIX put in a 2016 closing low but do note that VXST rose last week.  This past week didn’t really have a lot of the known unknowns such as major economic numbers so short term volatility was pretty tame.  Next week we get an employment number on Friday and I am attributing the rise in VXST to that event. The long funds continued to give[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Futures | Strategy | Feb 26, 2016, 2:19 PM

    Weekly Stock Market Commentary 2/26/16

    Weekly Stock Market Commentary 2/26/16

    The bulls scored a major victory this week, by engineering a breakout and close above 1950 on Thursday. That completes the "W" bottoming formation. So for now, the near-term outlook is bullish. Put-call ratios remain bullish. All three of the put-call ratios gave buy signals right at the February 11th bottom -- an excellent bit of timing, especially considering that these are 21-day moving averages. Even market breadth, which has notoriously been the "weak sister"[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Strategy | Feb 26, 2016, 1:30 PM

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 2/26/2016

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 2/26/2016

    The Weekly News Roundup is your weekly recap of CBOE features, options industry news and VIX and volatility-related articles from print, broadcast, online and social media outlets. CBOE and Vest Financial Last month, CBOE made a majority equity investment in Vest Financial, an asset management firm that provides options-based services through packaged products and develops technology solutions for options-based investments. CBOE’s investment in Vest will allow for enhanced integration of CBOE’s[...]

  • Education | Strategy | Feb 23, 2016, 4:33 PM

    New Study by Black and Szado Analyzes Six CBOE Benchmarks – BXM, PUT, BFLY, BXMD, CMBO, CNDR – Since 1986

    New Study by Black and Szado Analyzes Six CBOE Benchmarks – BXM, PUT, BFLY, BXMD, CMBO, CNDR – Since 1986

    A new study examines six benchmark indexes that write S&P 500® (SPX) index options, comparing their performances with those of traditional stock, bond and commodity benchmark indexes. The study, “Performance Analysis of CBOE S&P 500 Options-Selling Indices,” is the first comprehensive study that examines the performance of options-strategy benchmark indexes that incorporate iron condor and iron butterfly strategies. Commissioned by CBOE and co-authored by Keith Black, Ph.D.,[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Feb 20, 2016, 7:12 PM

    Weekly Review Russell 2000 Options and Volatility 2/16 - 2/19

    Weekly Review Russell 2000 Options and Volatility 2/16 - 2/19

    Small caps had a great holiday shortened week with the Russell 2000 (RUT) rising almost 4%.  RUT also played some catch up with the Russell 1000 (RUI) as the large cap benchmark was up a little less than 3%.  However, RUT has a long way to go to catch up with RUI for 2016.  However, there’s a lot of trading left to be done for 2016. The CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) and VIX both dropped dramatically last week.  However, they dropped in line with each[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Strategy | Feb 16, 2016, 12:21 PM

    What to do When a Stock Crashes

    What to do When a Stock Crashes

    Recently we saw some epic declines of individual stocks after posting shaky earnings reports.  Topping the list was long-time growth name LinkedIn (LNKD), the social networking giant who saw its market value nearly cut in half after reporting weak forward guidance.  Tableau Software (DATA) had it even worse, falling nearly 50% on the same day.  We also witnessed other stocks with smaller but still significant declines (Hanes Brands, HBI and Outerwall, OUTR). This big money selling[...]

  • Is VIX Approaching a Death Cross?

    Is VIX Approaching a Death Cross?

    I began my week updating charts and tables as I am heading to Tampa, FL to speak on options and then I’m off to Trader’s Expo in New York to deliver a couple of presentations.  The chart below, depicting the rolling 1 year and 5 year average closing prices for VIX is a favorite of mine.  I consider it a good depiction of the equity market shifting from a low to high volatility regime as the 1 year average approaches the 5 year average.  However, I noticed today that the[...]

  • Market News | Futures | Strategy | Feb 11, 2016, 12:35 PM

    New Study on Six Russell 2000 Options-Based Benchmarks Finds Higher Premiums and Risk-adjusted Returns for Certain Indexes

    New Study on Six Russell 2000 Options-Based Benchmarks Finds Higher Premiums and Risk-adjusted Returns for Certain Indexes

    A newly published study examines six benchmark indexes that invest in Russell 2000® Index (RUT) options and compares their performances with those of traditional benchmark stock and bond indexes. This is the first comprehensive study that examines the performance of multiple options-strategy benchmark indexes that incorporate Russell 2000 Index options. Written by Mark Shore, an adjunct professor at DePaul University's Kellstadt Graduate School of Business, and sponsored by CBOE, the study,[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Futures | Strategy | Feb 8, 2016, 10:15 AM

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - Hanging By A Thread?

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - Hanging By A Thread?

    Although stocks were never significantly into profitable territory at any point last week, at the very least on Thursday it looked like we might stabilize with just a very minor loss.  The bears had other plans on Friday, however, sending the market 1.85% lower that day to the lowest close in nearly two weeks. And yet, it's worth noting that neither the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) nor the NASDAQ Composite (COMP) broke under their most critical floors; we're still not past the point of no return[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Strategy | Feb 8, 2016, 9:21 AM

    Market in Distribution Continues

    Market in Distribution Continues

    We started a new month this past week, but it was like déjà vu all over again.  The Groundhog declared an early Spring on Tuesday, a change in weather.  But regarding markets, you could have fooled me.  It was the same action we have seen for weeks on end, and it doesn't seem to be letting up.  The vicious selling last week was magnified on Friday after a jobs report that seemed indicate the Fed may be trapped.  I'm not so sure about that, but the market speaks[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Feb 6, 2016, 3:50 PM

    Weekly Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 2/1 - 2/5

    Weekly Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 2/1 - 2/5

    VIX rose last week as did the rest of the volatility indexes that based their levels on S&P 500 Index (SPX) option pricing.  Usually in times of panic VXST (9-day volatility) rises above VIX (30-day volatility), but that was not the case this past week.  You can read this two ways – traders think stocks will rebound or traders are mentally prepared for more downside in the market.  I’m leaning toward the latter. I decided to leave the year to date numbers[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Feb 6, 2016, 9:38 AM

    Weekly Review - Russell 2000 Index and Options - 2/1 - 2/5

    Weekly Review - Russell 2000 Index and Options - 2/1 - 2/5

    Small cap stocks continue to take it on the chin as the Russell 2000 (RUT) dropped almost 5% (4.81% for the quants) last week while the Russell 1000 (RUI) was down 3.16%.  I love how I am conditioned to a 3% drop in a broad based index feeling kind of normal.  My how times have changed. In times of panic the implied volatility of S&P 500 (SPX) options often elevates compared to the implied volatility of RUT index options.  That has not been the case in 2016 and in fact VIX closed[...]

  • Strategy | Trade Ideas | Feb 1, 2016, 9:51 AM

    Trading Tactics: How to Deal With a Slump

    Trading Tactics:  How to Deal With a Slump

    Self-realization is a good place to start in breaking a trading slump.  I know it seems obvious that when you're in a slump and trading poorly your results and account balance will reflect it.  Streaks work both ways of course, and when we are winning it is just as notable as when we are losing.  Understanding what is happening to you is awareness that may help you change some habits, which may also change your fortunes. When in a slump I will often take a break from trading, a 'timeout'. [...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Strategy | Jan 25, 2016, 9:57 AM

    Weekly Market Outlook - Reasons To Be Optimistic Here

    Weekly Market Outlook - Reasons To Be Optimistic Here

    After a scary start to the shortened trading week, Wednesday's intraday turnaround followed-through quite nicely all the way to the end of Friday's trading. By the time the closing bell rang that day, the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) had gained 1.4% after being down as much as 3.6% at one point on Wednesday. Better still, there's room for the market to keep rising. It's still too soon to say this is the beginning of what will be a prolonged rally; there remains an entanglement of resistance lines[...]

  • Market News | Education | Strategy | Jan 25, 2016, 9:12 AM

    Patience Will Pay Off

    Patience Will Pay Off

    Still trying to stab at that bottom?  Not a game I like to play.  Frankly, taking a grab at falling knives has proven more dangerous than fun.  This market is proving there is very little reason to step in and buy for any length of time longer than few hours, maybe a full day.  So many want to get in on this very oversold market.  Why?  Just look at last August and October, or October 2014 where deep oversold conditions existed.  Utilizing patience will serve you[...]