Technical Analysis & Charts Archives - Cboe Blogs

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Education | Futures | Dec 15, 2014, 5:00 PM

    Capitulation Or Acceleration? - Weekly Market Outlook

    Capitulation Or Acceleration? - Weekly Market Outlook

    Stocks toyed with the idea two weeks ago, but pulled the trigger last week.  What's that?  A significant stumble.  After the bullish momentum slowed the first full week back after Thanksgiving, it reversed - in spades.  The S&P 500's (SPY) (SPX) 3.5% pullback last week was actually the worst single calendar-week performance since August of 2011. Ironically, the sheer size of the selloff may also be the best thing going for the market this week, as it may inspire a short-term[...]

  • Weekly Market Commentary 12.12.14

    Weekly Market Commentary 12.12.14

    Various indicators have been turning bearish since mid-November.  But until this week, $SPX itself had not broken down, and since price is "king," that was quite important.  However, now $SPX has broken down, as it has fallen below support at 2050.  This completes a bearish pattern, and a full-fledged correction is underway. This could be sharp and short-lived, and since it is taking place late in the calendar year (when seasonal bullishness occurs), that is probably the[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Education | Dec 8, 2014, 10:22 AM

    Can The Nasdaq Comp & Russell 2k Give The Next Boost? - Weekly Market Outlook

    Can The Nasdaq Comp & Russell 2k Give The Next Boost? - Weekly Market Outlook

    Though the market may have gotten off  to a bad start with Monday's 0.7% stumble, the bulls took charge again the very next day to hammer out a gain for the week.  Granted, it was less than a 0.4% gain when all was said and done, but a gain is a gain. On the other hand, it didn't take long after last week's turnaround from Monday's dip for the lethargy to set in again (some of which is likely due to the winter holiday season).  Once again, the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) is bumping around new-high[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | Dec 5, 2014, 10:08 AM

    Weekly Market Commentary 12.05.14

    Weekly Market Commentary 12.05.14

    The stock market, as measured by the Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($SPX), sold off for a couple of days and then rebounded quickly to new all-time intra-day and closing highs.  However, sell signals and overbought conditions abound, so all is not bullish. With $SPX making new all-time highs, its chart is bullish, and the trend of the market is higher. Price is the most important indicator. That has not changed. Both of the equity-only put-call ratios have rolled over to sell signals. [...]

  • Fill 'Er Up... No, Just Check the Oil

    Fill 'Er Up... No, Just Check the Oil

    Last week I did something I haven’t done for 5 years; I filled my gas tank for under $3 gallon. This got me to thinking about ways to lock in current prices without pumping and storing hundreds of gallons of explosive liquids in my garage. We know the cliché, “there’s an app for that!” the same can be said for ETFs, “there’s an ETF for that!”. Doing a quick search for Exchange Traded Fund and “unleaded fuel” I found the UGA the United States[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Education | Dec 1, 2014, 7:15 PM

    Grinding Higher Economy & Stocks - Weekly Market Outlook

    Grinding Higher Economy & Stocks - Weekly Market Outlook

    As is usually the case, Thanksgiving week proved to be a rather tepid one for stocks, with most of the trading crowd choosing to check out around the middle of the week.  Volume for last week as about half the norm. Nevertheless, where we left off on Friday is where we'll restart things on Monday, so it's still worth figuring out where we are and where we're likely to go from here for the broad stock market. We'll do exactly that below and look at one interesting sector long-term setup,[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Dec 1, 2014, 10:54 AM

    Weekly Market Outlook 11.28.14

    Weekly Market Outlook 11.28.14

    (Editors Note: We got this Friday from Larry. Enjoy) The stock market, as measured by the Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($SPX) continues to march upward at a dizzying pace.  The market is overbought, and if $SPX violates support at 2060, we could finally see a correction. Equity-only put-call ratios remain on buy signals.  You can see from the ratios are still trending downward.  That is bullish. Both of the breadth indicators remain on buy signals, and they are modestly in overbought[...]