Trade Ideas Archives - Cboe Blogs

  • Strategy | Trade Ideas | Dec 11, 2015, 12:11 PM

    RUT Play into the FOMC

    RUT Play into the FOMC

    With the FOMC meeting scheduled for next Tuesday, December 15, and the announcement of a possible rate hike on 2016 on Wednesday, we are seeing inflated volatility levels across equity markets. VIX (spot) is currently 21.65, whereas the Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) is 22.33. Next week is also expiry, further heightening volatility levels.  The at-the-money SPX Dec 2025 Straddle is priced 53.05, implying a move of about 2.6 percent between now and next Friday’s expiration. [...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Dec 1, 2015, 12:00 AM

    Hedge Funds and Volatility-Based Strategies Discussion at RMC Asia

    Hedge Funds and Volatility-Based Strategies Discussion at RMC Asia

    The first post-lunch presentation in Hong Kong was actually a hybrid presentation / discussion panel.  Things started off with the Chairman of Eurekahedge, Satoshi Iwanaga from Eurekahedge which created and calculates four indexes to measure the performance of different volatility oriented strategies.  This segmentation is logical since strategies that focus on volatility can vary greatly in their process. The four CBOE Eurekahedge Volatility Indexes are: CBOE Eurekahedge Short Volatility[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Nov 30, 2015, 9:31 PM

    Volatility and the Allegory of the Prisoner's Dilemma

    Volatility and the Allegory of the Prisoner's Dilemma

    Chris Cole from Artemis Capital delivered a presentation with the title, Volatility and the Allegory of the Prisoner’s Dilemma.  In a nutshell the Prisoner’s Dilemma relates to game theory and explores why two rational individuals might not cooperate even if it appears that it is in their best interest to do so. There were three points that Cole wanted to get across during his presentation – Investors are trapped in a Prisoner’s Dilemma Volatility is the only real asset[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Trade Ideas | Nov 30, 2015, 8:03 PM

    Presentation Discussing the Current Volatility Environment at CBOE RMC Asia

    Presentation Discussing the Current Volatility Environment at CBOE RMC Asia

    Buzz Gregory, Equity Derivatives Strategist at Goldman Sachs, delivered a very informative session on VIX and SPX option trading today in Hong Kong.  His speech hit on a topic that was frequently mentioned at RMC Europe a couple of weeks ago, the current shift in volatility regimes. Highlights of Buzz’s presentation include – It was noted that both SPX and VIX option volumes continue to steadily grow with volume experiencing dramatic increases occurring around market events About[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 30, 2015, 2:28 AM

    Tim Edwards of SPDJI Covers Unique Performance of VIX-Based Benchmark Indices

    Tim Edwards of SPDJI Covers Unique Performance of VIX-Based Benchmark Indices

    At the First Annual CBOE Risk Management Conference (RMC) Asia in Hong Kong, Tim Edwards, Ph. D., Senior Director of Index Investment Strategy, S&P Dow Jones Indices, delivered a presentation on the design and performance of long, short and dynamic VIX-based benchmark indexes, and covered their utility for longer-term investors and shorter-term traders. While many investors are familiar with the price movements of the spot CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX®), we at CBOE receive many[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 29, 2015, 12:00 PM

    Weekly Review - Russell 2000 Index and Volatility - 11/23 - 11/27

    Weekly Review - Russell 2000 Index and Volatility - 11/23 - 11/27

    Last week I noted that December has traditionally been a good month for stocks, especially small cap stocks.  That blog can be found at The Week in Russell 2000 Trading - 11/16 - 11/20.  RUT appeared to get a head start on things last week by rallying over 2% while the Russell 1000 (RUI) was up by only about 2 points.  RUT is now a rounding error from up on the year and still lags RUI by about 1.5%. With the relative rally in RUT the RVX / VIX premium dropped to levels[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 29, 2015, 3:44 AM

    Weekly Review - VIX Futures and Options - 11/23 - 11/27

    Weekly Review - VIX Futures and Options - 11/23 - 11/27

    The S&P 500 was hardly changed on the week last week and the same may be said for VIX and the monthly term structure.  The lines don’t overlap, but if I am not wearing my reading glasses the chart below almost looks like the same line. The only thing of interest to report about the short term futures chart is the dip that shows up on the orange line below.  That’s the contract that expires just before Christmas which may be discounting several holidays which[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 28, 2015, 11:59 PM

    Weekly Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/23 - 11/27

    Weekly Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/23 - 11/27

    Very quiet holiday week.  There really isn’t much else to say, but it is interesting that VIX remains over 15.00.  I’m also attributing the rise in VXST to getting a holiday shortened week behind us.  Man I’m glad it’s not my job to fill up a business network with programming which must have been a heck of a challenge last week, especially on Friday. The funds were quiet as well, but you have to snicker when a 2.7% change (see VXX below) is considered[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 28, 2015, 6:40 PM

    New Barron's Article and RMC Presentation on Funds' Use of Options

    New Barron's Article and RMC Presentation on Funds' Use of Options

    Use of options by funds has grown tremendously since the 2002 introduction of the first major benchmark for options-based performance - the CBOE S&P 500 BuyWrite Index (BXM). Below are some recent developments and updates re fund use of options that will be covered at the First Annual CBOE Risk Management Asia Conference, which launches on Nov. 30 in Hong Kong. 1. BARRON'S. On page M9 of the Nov. 30 issue of Barron's, Amey Stone devotes the entire column to a review of covered call funds, and[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Nov 22, 2015, 2:13 PM

    The Week in Russell 2000 Trading - 11/16 - 11/20

    The Week in Russell 2000 Trading - 11/16 - 11/20

    Large caps ruled the week with the Russell 1000 (RUI) gaining over 3%.  Small cap stocks were no slouches, but the Russell 2000 did lag the Russell 1000 gaining 2.5%.  For the year RUI is up 1.21% and RUT is down 2.45%.  However, at the end of this blog I’ll note some statistics that show RUT still has a shot at victory in 2015. Both the CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) and VIX were lower last week based on the rally in the equity markets.  RVX dropped[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Trade Ideas | Nov 21, 2015, 1:37 PM

    The Week in VIX - 11/16 - 11/20

    The Week in VIX - 11/16 - 11/20

    The VIX term structure returned to normal from slight backwardation last week as the S&P 500 rose over 3%.  Two years ago a 3% move in the S&P 500 probably would have resulted in VIX under 12.00, but these are different times and with a rate hike looming down to the mid 15’s is the best we can expect. The short dated term structure ended the week in slight contango which has been the norm when VIX drops since the futures were launched back in July.  The curve[...]

  • The "Data Dependent" Fed Continues to Consider the Data

    The "Data Dependent" Fed Continues to Consider the Data

    This afternoon the minutes from the most recent Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting were released. Yesterday the market digested the October CPI (inflation) data. Next week, GDP (Tuesday) and Durable Goods (Wednesday) will be relatively important. Without question, the upcoming Unemployment Report (Non-Farm Payrolls) on 12/4 will be the most influential piece of economic data before the December Fed Meeting where most market participants anticipate the Fed will raise interest rates[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Nov 17, 2015, 3:15 PM

    Block Trade Analysis - VIX Weeklys Option Trades

    Block Trade Analysis - VIX Weeklys Option Trades

    Tomorrow is November VIX settlement, but that hasn’t stopped some short term VIX traders from putting on new positions, in fact it may have encouraged them to do some trading. I ventured down to the trader floor late today to see what may be going on in the VIX Weeklys options set to settle on the open next Tuesday.  For those that know VIX well, you know that VIX futures and options normally settle on a Wednesday, 30 days before an expiration Friday.  However, December 25th is a[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 15, 2015, 5:50 PM

    The Week in Russell 2000 Trading - 11/9 - 11/13

    The Week in Russell 2000 Trading - 11/9 - 11/13

    The tough week for stocks was harder on small caps than large caps as the Russell 2000 (RUT) was down 4.43% and the Russell 1000 (RUI) dropped 3.63%.  RUT has a lot of work to do to catch up with RUI as the gap is at almost 3% between RUI (down 1.92%) and RUT (down 4.83% for the year). We tend to see VIX rise relative to the CBOE Russell 2000 Index (RVX) in times of turmoil.  That happened in August to the point of historically extreme relative RVX – VIX levels. [...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Nov 15, 2015, 10:40 AM

    The Week in VIX - 11/9 - 11/13

    The Week in VIX - 11/9 - 11/13

    VIX managed a finish over 20 as Friday’s market action raised the level of concern among market participants.  You have to wonder if Friday August 21st and the follow through on the 24th is still fresh in trader’s minds. The short term curve flattened out which seems to be the norm when VIX move higher, since VIX Weeklys are relatively new. Mid-day on Friday while VIX was still under 20.00 (19.60 to be exact), there was a buyer of the VIX Dec 25 Calls who paid 1.10 and[...]