Trader Talk Archives - Cboe Blogs

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Dec 16, 2017, 5:03 PM

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 12/11/2017 - 12/15/2017

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 12/11/2017 - 12/15/2017

    VIX worked its way lower Friday as the stock market rallied.  We have grown accustomed to VIX below 10.00 and settlements below 10.00 as well.  However, for the first time I can recall, we had a VIX futures contract close below 10.00 with the December future that expires next week settling at 9.925. Thursday, with VIX around 10.05 and the Dec 27th future at 10.65 someone came in and put on a bearish VIX trade using the Dec 27th Weekly options.  They sold 300 of the VIX Dec 27th 12[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Dec 16, 2017, 2:44 PM

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 12/11/2017 - 12/15/2017

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 12/11/2017 - 12/15/2017

    Large and small cap stocks had a good week, thanks to a big rally on Friday.  The Russell 2000 (RUT) was up by 0.61% while the Russell 1000 (RUI) gained 0.89%.  The RUI performance for 2017 is approaching 17% while RUT is now lagging by just over 6.5%.  Both VIX and the Cboe Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) were under pressure with equity market strength last week.  The RVX to VIX premium dropped some, but still remains at pretty high levels which has been the norm in 2017[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Dec 10, 2017, 12:57 PM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 12/4/2017 - 12/8/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 12/4/2017 - 12/8/2017

    Stocks ended the week on a strong note and the result was S&P 500 related volatility indexes doing what they do in 2017 after even a slight move to the upside and lost value.  The curve shifted lower and back into contango. Again, VVIX remains a bit elevated, something that was pointed out a couple of times last week in Hong Kong at our Risk Management Conference.  Steve Sears also discusses the use of VIX options this weekend in his column noting the most common use is hedging. [...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Dec 9, 2017, 2:56 PM

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 12/4/2017 - 12/8/2017

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 12/4/2017 - 12/8/2017

    Large cap stocks had a solid week with the Russell 1000 (RUI) gaining 0.34% while small cap stocks were down by just over 1% as measured by the Russell 2000 (RUT).  RUT is now up just over 12% while RUI has had quite a year gaining over 18% for 2017. The Cboe Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) remained as very elevated levels when compared to VIX as the market is pricing in a little more risk for small cap stocks relative to large cap stocks.  One trader decided the Russell 2000 will[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Dec 9, 2017, 1:35 PM

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 12/4/2017 - 12/8/2017

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 12/4/2017 - 12/8/2017

    VIX and the curve has been in a sort of zig zag pattern over the past few weeks with there being a couple of head fakes to the upside followed by a drop back down to the 2017 norm.  The 2017 norm has been all time lows and at last check it will take an average VIX close over 32.00 between now and the end of the year for 2017 to not go down as the lowest average VIX close on record.  At least one trader would be very happy if something occurred to push VIX higher, but maybe not to the[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Dec 2, 2017, 7:50 PM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/27/2017 - 12/1/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/27/2017 - 12/1/2017

    S&P 500 volatility was higher across the four indexes that measure expected volatility over different time frames.  Keep an eye on the VIX3M to VIX relationship if VIX remains at higher levels.  VIX3M can be an early indicator for a rise in VIX. The long funds rose a bit with VMAX getting a big bump as the weighting is focused on a shorter time frame than the other unleveraged long funds.  Also note VVIX in the mid-90’s, like VIX3M VVIX can be a leading indicator of a higher[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Dec 2, 2017, 7:38 PM

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 11/27/2017 - 12/1/2017

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 11/27/2017 - 12/1/2017

    Despite a rough patch for about 45 minutes on Friday broad based indexes had a good week.  Large caps were up 1.53% for the week when being measured by the Russell 1000 (RUI) while the small cap benchmark Russell 2000 (RUT) was higher by 1.24%. In the volatility space the relationship between the Cboe Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) and VIX remained at pretty elevated levels, despite the rise in VIX last week.    On Friday we got a dip in broad based indexes as news came out[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Dec 1, 2017, 9:07 PM

    Weekend Review of VIX Options and Futures - 11/27/2017 - 12/1/2017

    Weekend Review of VIX Options and Futures - 11/27/2017 - 12/1/2017

    VIX had a good week based on news out of Washington, DC.  This seems to be the only type of event that get VIX moving.  The December contract is still at a bit of a premium which may be taken as traders bracing for a little follow through.  On Friday, we got part three of a trade that was commenced back in July.  If you want some more history on this trade I wrote up the last rolling transaction back in September.  http://www.cboe.com/blogs/options-hub/2017/09/25/block-trade-analysis---vix-roll-trade The[...]

  • Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Cboe Benchmark Indexes | Nov 27, 2017, 6:47 PM

    Warren Buffett Put Sale Third Quarter 2017 Update

    Warren Buffett Put Sale Third Quarter 2017 Update

    A few years ago, I was asked to co-author the study guide that accompanies the 3rd version of The Warren Buffett Way. While doing research for this project I came across a discussion of a handful of index put options that Berkshire Hathaway had sold between 2004 and 2008. Every year when the Berkshire Hathaway annual report comes out, I dig in to see how these trades are doing. I’ve fielded a few questions about this work in the past few weeks so I decided to dig through Berkshire Hathaway[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 25, 2017, 1:44 PM

    Weekend Review of VIX Options and Futures - 11/20/2017 - 11/24/2017

    Weekend Review of VIX Options and Futures - 11/20/2017 - 11/24/2017

    After showing some signs of life VIX fell back to a single digit closing handle three out of four days last week.  The curve shifted in a very parallel fashion as even the longer dated futures gave up some ground.  The trade of the week is a simple yet effective strategy.  ON Monday morning as VIX was trading around 11.20 there was a buyer of the VIX Nov 22nd 13 Puts for 1.70.  Remember VIX options are priced off the corresponding futures contract, but settle in a calculation[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 25, 2017, 1:38 PM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/20/2017 - 11/24/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/20/2017 - 11/24/2017

    The VXST – VIX – VIX3M – VXMT curve shifted lower with even VXST, which was under extra holiday week pressure going into the 11/17 close, losing value last week.  Looking at VIX3M and VXMT one might think traders expect 2018 to be a continuation of what we’ve had in 2017, at least to start the year. The long funds resumed their downward move while the short funds bounced as they do following any short lived strength in volatility (I have a hard time calling a move to[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 25, 2017, 10:42 AM

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 11/20/2017 - 11/24/2017

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 11/20/2017 - 11/24/2017

    Small cap stocks finished the week up about 1.8% when measured by the Russell 2000 (RUT) while large caps had a good week as well with the Russell 1000 (RUI) moving up by about 1%.  For the year RUI is still ahead of RUT, but small caps are trying to close the gap. We got quite a move higher in the relationship between the Cboe Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) and VIX.  Sometimes this is attributed to a rise in RVX, but more often it is due to a drop in VIX and that was the case last[...]

  • Trader Talk | Education | Nov 20, 2017, 10:42 AM

    Pricing Ratio Spreads - Comparing Expirations and Strikes with SPX and CMG

    Pricing Ratio Spreads - Comparing Expirations and Strikes with SPX and CMG

    Wednesday I conducted a webinar for Interactive Brokers discussing ratio spreads.  During the presentation I was asked about initiating 1 x 2 and what expirations and strike combinations would result in a credit.  Another stipulation was that the trade would buy one at-the-money option and sell two out-of-the-money options.  I wasn’t asked for a call or put spread, so I did both with each expiration.  With so many moving parts to that question I responded that I would investigate[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 18, 2017, 3:17 PM

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 11/13/2017 - 11/17/2017

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 11/13/2017 - 11/17/2017

    VIX showed signs of life last week with a move to the lower teens.  November settlement Wednesday morning came in at the highest level (13.79) since April.  However, when the week came to an end VIX finished only 0.14 higher.  The VIX futures rose slightly as well, with the farther dated futures uncharacteristically gaining more than the nearer dated contracts.  Monday with VIX around 11.50 and the November 29th VIX future at 11.90 a trader put on a position that looks like[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 18, 2017, 3:11 PM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/13/2017 - 11/17/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/13/2017 - 11/17/2017

    What the heck is going on with VXST on the chart below?  Basically Thanksgiving.  As a nine-day measure of SPX implied volatility this index takes into account options that have their implied volatility under pressure to adjust for extra time decay since we have Thursday off and a half day this coming Friday.  I have a funny feeling this time next week VXST will have fallen back in line (or contango) with the other indexes below.  The long funds were a bit lower last[...]