Trader Talk Archives - CBOE Blogs

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Dec 4, 2016, 5:05 AM

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 11/28 - 12/2

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 11/28 - 12/2

    VIX gained over 14% last week as volatility rose in reaction to a 1% drop in the S&P 500.  It is hard to quantify, but I’m thinking that a part of the rise is VIX can be attributed to the vote going on in Italy this weekend.  Note that the curve shift was not exactly uniform and the futures lagged the move in the index.  Barring a volatility spike in reaction to this weekend or some other unforeseen market moving event, I would not be surprised to see the VIX curve return[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Trade Ideas | Dec 1, 2016, 2:59 AM

    Volatility Panel Discussion at CBOE RMC

    Volatility Panel Discussion at CBOE RMC

    The final session at the 2nd Annual CBOE RMC Asia featured a panel discussion hosted by Steven Sears from Barrons.  The participants were: David Dredge from City Financial Investment Company Pte Ltd Richard Johnston from Albourne Partners (Asia) Limited Benoit Meulot from Nine Masts Capital Limited Laurent Poirot from GF Asset Management Some highlighted quotes from the panel – “For long volatility strategies you have to have some sort of management plan” “There is[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Dec 1, 2016, 2:47 AM

    Long Volatility Discussion at CBOE RMC

    Long Volatility Discussion at CBOE RMC

    Govert Heijboer from True Partner Advisor and James Murray from NSW Treasury Corporation split the duties for a discussion titled Implementing Long Volatility Exposures for Hedging and Alpha today in Hong Kong. Murray led off by discussing risk management and the objectives of long volatility risk management strategies.  He noted that there is no free lunch when getting long volatility exposure and strategies are a trade-off between convexity, timing, basis and time decay.  A final thought[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Trade Ideas | Dec 1, 2016, 12:02 AM

    Short Volatility Strategies Discussed at CBOE RMC

    Short Volatility Strategies Discussed at CBOE RMC

    Tanuj Dutt, CFA from Nikko Asset Management and Selim Piot from Barclays Capital teamed up to deliver a session on Implementing Short Volatility Strategies at the 2nd Annual CBOE RMC in Hong Kong today. Piot led things off by discussing how short volatility strategies may be implemented.  He noted the diversification benefits of substituting a part of equity risk with short volatility exposure and followed that thought stating that a portfolio of short volatility across regions and different[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Trade Ideas | Nov 30, 2016, 11:32 PM

    Discussion of Market Dislocations at RMC Asia

    Discussion of Market Dislocations at RMC Asia

    The keynote speaker this morning for the 2nd Annual Risk Management Conference Asia was Rebecca Cheong who is Head of Americas Equity Derivatives Strategy for UBS Securities.  She also grew up in Hong Kong so this was a special treat for her as well as the attendees. Rebecca’s presentation was titled Cross-Asset Dislocations and Market Signal.  She started out discussing the difference between a true Cross-Asset Dislocation and a Temporary Dislocation.  A Temporary Dislocation[...]

  • Trader Talk | Education | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Nov 29, 2016, 11:49 PM

    Dan Passarelli Discusses Getting a Volatility Edge

    Dan Passarelli Discusses Getting a Volatility Edge

    The first presentation at the 2nd Annual Asian version of CBOE’s Risk Management Conference featured an informative tutorial from Dan Passarelli of Market Taker Mentoring.  Dan’s talk was titled Directional Options Strategies and Trade Management. He kicked things off with a quick review of the option greeks and then dove into directional strategies.  He emphasized that trades can start with a directional outlook, but there are other factors that come into play with respect[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 26, 2016, 6:01 AM

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 11/21 - 11/25

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 11/21 - 11/25

    Small cap stocks seem to love the outcome of the election.  Since the market close on election-day the Russell 2000 (RUT) is up over 12% while the Russell 1000 (RUI) has gained just over 3%.  The 10% lead that RUT has on RUI has just about all come from the post-election rally for small caps.   The CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) over VIX premium finished just under 47% this past week.  This is the second highest level for 2016.  A combination of higher[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Nov 22, 2016, 8:16 PM

    Block Trade Analysis - MDT Earnings

    Block Trade Analysis - MDT Earnings

    Shares of Medtronic (MDT) took it on the chin Tuesday in response to their most recent earnings report.  The average move for the stock over the last three years was up or down about 2% and the biggest drop over that time period was just over 4%.  Those numbers truly contrast with the recent 8.7% drop. Midday Monday, someone who had a pretty bearish outlook for MDT shares purchased 2500 MDT Nov 25th 79 Puts for 0.38.  To help pay for those options they also sold 2500 MDT Nov 25th 84[...]

  • Trader Talk | Futures | Nov 21, 2016, 9:02 AM

    Bond Market Moves May Lead to - 'Normal Markets'?

    Bond Market Moves May Lead to - 'Normal Markets'?

    The amazing sell off in the bond market over the past couple weeks since the election ended did not go unnoticed by market players. I've seen a ton of articles now proclaiming the 'bull market in bonds is over', and the 'bear is going to growl over bonds'. Yet, the long bond has not even reached the highest levels seen in 2015! All the sudden, the calls for the end of the bond bull are everywhere? It might be true, but color me skeptical (so far). How many calls for this bond market bull to end?[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 20, 2016, 8:08 AM

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 11/14 - 11/18

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 11/14 - 11/18

    The Russell 2000 (RUT) widened its lead on the Russell 1000 (RUI) after trouncing the large cap index the previous week.  For the year, RUT is up about 15.8% while RUI is up one basis point under 7%.  If you had been fortunate enough to pick the bottom in RUT you would be up just shy of 38% since February of this year. Volatility spreads, as measured by the CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) divided by VIX have widened out as they tend to do so in periods of low volatility. [...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 19, 2016, 12:48 PM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/14 - 11/18

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/14 - 11/18

    The short end of the VXST – VIX – VXV – VXMT curve took it on the chin as the holiday effect took a toll on VXST.  We may see a bit of a rise in VXST relative to the rest of the SPX oriented indexes as we get the Thanksgiving holiday behind us. VIX is what everyone watches when assessing market risk.  VVIX is what the volatility traders look to when trying to gauge how other volatility traders are feeling about the markets.  VVIX has dropped a bit, but[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Election & VIX | 2016 Recap | Nov 19, 2016, 11:57 AM

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 11/14 - 11/18

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 11/14 - 11/18

    VIX returned to being a ‘tween’ this week finishing with a twelve handle.  The rest of the curve shifted lower as all fear with respect to a Trump administration seems to have dissipated.  At least for the moment.  There are some risk events between now and the end of 2016 which I’ll address after the table below. CBOE’s partner LiveVol has a great option analyzing tool and one of the features is that you can easily see At-the-Money implied volatility for different[...]

  • Block Trade Analysis - Bearish RUT Broken Wing Butterfly

    Block Trade Analysis - Bearish RUT Broken Wing Butterfly

    I got a heads up this morning about a pretty darn interesting trade that came into the Russell 2000 (RUT) pit this morning.  With RUT around 1300 there was a put butterfly that is looking for the small cap benchmark to be about 100 points lower on January 20th of next year.  Not only is that standard option expiration date it is also the day we will inaugurate our next president. The specific trade involved buying 7,000 RUT Jan 1240 Puts for 20.50, selling 14,000 RUT Jan 1200 Puts at 12.80,[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Election & VIX | 2016 Recap | Nov 15, 2016, 3:46 PM

    If a Trump Presidency Is Scary Why Is VIX So Low?

    If a Trump Presidency Is Scary Why Is VIX So Low?

    The world continues to adjust to the idea of a Trump presidency and there seems to be a lot of fear abounding.  For instance, I recently heard an economist state that he didn’t think even Donald Trump knows what action he’ll take as President.  We will all know the answers to what he’s going to do soon enough.  A question I recently got was, “If Trump is so scary why is VIX low?”  That’s a question I can answer. There are two types of government[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 14, 2016, 7:05 PM

    A Quick Look at Market Risk Through the End of 2016

    A Quick Look at Market Risk Through the End of 2016

    As the recent election drew near I would periodically post a chart showing the implied volatility for ATM SPX options over the many expirations we have available for trading.  Just for the heck of it I checked in on SPX implied volatility for every expiration available until the end of 2016.  The shape was interesting with a couple of bumps that occur around known events which may impact the equity market.  I decided to get out a calendar and see what other potentially market moving[...]