• Market News | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Trade Ideas | Nov 11, 2015, 8:01 AM

    Five Things I'm Looking Forward to at RMC Asia

    Five Things I'm Looking Forward to at RMC Asia

    The air was cold this morning as I headed to the train which means two things.  Thanksgiving is just around the corner and right after that CBOE will be in Hong Kong for our first annual CBOE Risk Management Conference in Asia.  The schedule is out and I’m excited about the whole docket, but five things in particular have me counting the days to November 30th. Ed Tilly, CEO of CBOE Holdings, will be speaking at the beginning of the second day to welcome attendees and give an update[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Nov 9, 2015, 4:00 PM

    Eye Catching RUT Put Spread from Today

    Eye Catching RUT Put Spread from Today

    Surveying the market as the sellers took the Russell 2000 Index lower today, a large trade stood out. There was a Vertical Put spread in RUT traded approximately 12,000 contracts with the trader buying the Nov. 13th 1020 Puts for 0.12 and selling the RUT Nov. 13th 1000 Puts at 0.04 for a net .08 debit.  This was done in a few lots with the underlying Russell 2000 Index trading between 1180 – 1182.55. Noting that the trader was buying the higher strike put and recognizing this position[...]

  • Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 9, 2015, 8:02 AM

    Earnings Week of 11/9 - 11/13

    Earnings Week of 11/9 - 11/13

    Earnings season is coming to a close, but there are still a few interesting names reporting this week.  The numbers below represent stock price reaction over the last 3 years, unless in italics (W this week).  Max is the biggest up move, Min is the biggest stock drop, Abs Avg is the average move (higher or lower for you straddle traders) off earnings, and Last Q is what happened three months ago.  

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Strategy | Nov 8, 2015, 8:13 AM

    The Week in Russell 2000 Trading - 11/2 - 11/6

    The Week in Russell 2000 Trading - 11/2 - 11/6

    The first thing that popped in my mind when I created the first chart in this blog was the story “The Little Engine that Could”.  This was a pre-Thomas the Tank Engine story of a little locomotive that achieves a great feat while telling himself “I think I can” repeatedly.  My mental analogy relates to the Russell 2000 (RUT) line below which pushed higher by over 3% last week closing the 2015 YTD gap with the Russell 1000 and also moved very close to positive territory[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Futures | Nov 7, 2015, 1:58 PM

    The Week in VIX - 11/2 - 11/6

    The Week in VIX - 11/2 - 11/6

    VIX finished the week closer to 14 than 15 based on a muted response to the employment number and a lack of known potential volatility events on the horizon.  The fear index did manage to spend a little time on Monday and Tuesday under 14.00 which is a level that many consider the new ‘floor’ for VIX since we are about to enter a period of increasing interest rates.    The futures all followed the index lower which would be expected with smooth sailing for the stock[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Nov 7, 2015, 11:22 AM

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/2 - 11/6

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 11/2 - 11/6

    The S&P 500 quietly rose just under 1% last week and VIX worked lower.  Across the board S&P 500 focused volatility indexes dropped with the possibility that any threat of increased volatility in the markets has been pushed out to 2016.  Of course back in August those same indexes dropped as the economic calendar was light and Labor Day was around the corner.  Note what happened on August 21st and August 24th when complacency started setting in. On the table below[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Nov 4, 2015, 7:18 PM

    Reality Check - VIX, SPX, and Non-Farm Payrolls

    Reality Check - VIX, SPX, and Non-Farm Payrolls

    The first Friday of the month means different things to different people.  For instance, at the Rhoads household that’s taco night!  However, in the world that is the financial markets the first Friday of the month is (typically) the day that the market digests the Non-Farm Payrolls number.  This is often the first number to give us insight into the economy from the previous month.  For example this coming Friday’s Non-Farm Payroll report discusses changes in employment[...]

  • Put the Short Premium in the Bag

    Put the Short Premium in the Bag

    The tale of October happens to be the tale of my friend, "Mr. G," and what he did to turn $39,727.47 on September 30th into $56,239.25 on October 31st.  How's that for some trick-or-treat plunder? Here is the breakdown, separated by types of trades, of which there were only a few.  I'll number the types and show the dates and entry and exit points. 1. The greatest number of trades were made by selling short shares of TVIX on different dates between September 22nd and October 23rd,[...]

  • Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 1, 2015, 5:11 PM

    Earnings Next Week - 11/2 - 11/6

    Earnings Next Week - 11/2 - 11/6

    We have a heavy week again for earnings.  So far my crack staff (me) has only been able to compile numbers for Monday and Tuesday next week.  I'll follow up with the balance of the calendar on Monday to give option traders that like to trade around earnings a little lead time.  As always the numbers below represent the biggest gain, loss, average move (without taking direction into account), and what the stock price reaction was for the previous quarter.  All numbers represent[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Nov 1, 2015, 3:30 PM

    The Week in Russell 2000 Trading - 10/26 - 10/30

    The Week in Russell 2000 Trading - 10/26 - 10/30

    I’m still playing some catch up from school work and travel which caused me to take my eye off the ball with respect to the markets.  It happens and when it does I’m always surprised by something that occurred while my mind and body were elsewhere.   The big surprise for me this time around was the disconnection between small and large cap stocks that happened over the past couple of weeks. Over the last two weeks of October the Russell 2000 (RUT) was basically unchanged[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Nov 1, 2015, 12:39 PM

    The Week in VIX - 10/26 - 10/30

    The Week in VIX - 10/26 - 10/30

    VIX, VIX futures and the S&P 500 all moved higher last week.  It happens, but with a couple of major economic events/numbers behind us (FOMC / 3Q GDP) and stocks moving up (although slightly) it was a bit surprising to see all that green when compiling data for this blog. The curve below is a comparison of generic VIX futures based on the number of days to expiration.  For example, Week 1 for the 10/23 curve was the October 28th contract while on the 10/30 curve it represents the November[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Oct 29, 2015, 10:52 AM

    2015 CBOE RMC Asia Schedule

    2015 CBOE RMC Asia Schedule

    Everyone at CBOE is looking forward to the first Asian version of the popular Risk Management Conference to be held November 30 to December 1 in Hong Kong.  Just today the preliminary schedule was just posted at www.cboermcasia.com which also works for registering to attend. Topics to be covered at the conference include volatility oriented trading strategies, option based portfolio management approaches, how to handle risk management in different volatility environments, and volatility oriented[...]

  • Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Oct 26, 2015, 2:13 PM

    Earnings This Week - 10/26 - 10/30

    Earnings This Week - 10/26 - 10/30

    Due to travel this blog is going up a little late, apologies all around.  All the numbers below represent 3 years of data, except for those in italics (TWTR, BABA, and GPRO).    

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Oct 19, 2015, 3:40 PM

    Closing a Volatility Short + Selling an Inverse Volatility Strangle

    Closing a Volatility Short + Selling an Inverse Volatility Strangle

    Let's check back on the progress of a trade last mentioned two posts ago.  This could be described as one of my favorite games ever, formally called "shorting the ultra-long volatility."  I've dabbled in both TVIX and UVXY recently, and the October 6th post illustrated some meat carved off the bone from the eleven-ish level on TVIX down to $9.48, when I just could not resist taking a bite.  To the tune of $651. Never one to be happy with a clean plate, I loaded the plate[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Oct 18, 2015, 12:36 PM

    The Week in Russell 2000 Trading - 10/12 - 10/16

    The Week in Russell 2000 Trading - 10/12 - 10/16

    Large cap stocks gained and small cap stocks were lower last week with the Russell 1000 (RUI) moving up by 0.77% while the Russell 2000 (RUT) dropped 0.26%.  For the year RUI is down 1.25% and RUT has given up 3.52%. The implied volatility differential finished the week with the CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) at about a 20% premium to VIX which is pretty close to the average level for this year.  For the moment the risk perception for small cap stocks is at levels[...]