Trader Talk Archives - CBOE Blogs

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Jun 20, 2015, 12:37 PM

    The Week in VIX - 6/15 - 6/19

    The Week in VIX - 6/15 - 6/19

    I promise there are two curves on the figure below showing the week over week changes for VIX and the active VIX futures contracts. All were higher with the exception of the December contract which finished the week unchanged. This just increased the ‘divot’ that we see each year with December volatility. Trading wise, someone used the Thursday dip in VIX to take a bullish position on volatility using July VIX Options. This trade took the form of buying the VIX Jul 17 Call for 1.10 and[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Strategy | Jun 18, 2015, 10:50 AM

    Block Trade Analysis - Short VIX Straddle + Long OTM Call

    Block Trade Analysis - Short VIX Straddle + Long OTM Call

    The June 2015 VIX futures and options met their demise on the open yesterday with settlement coming in at 14.67. One trader moved on to the following month with a trade structure that is unique in the option world, but pretty common in VIX world. Mid-morning on Wednesday a trader sold 22,800 VIX Jul 15 Calls for 1.73 and 22,800 VIX Jul 15 Puts at 1.18 who then completed the trade through purchasing 22,800 VIX Jul 22 Calls at 0.72 for a net credit of 2.19. The payoff at expiration appears below with[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Futures | Jun 16, 2015, 7:14 PM

    2015 Russell Reconstitution Update

    2015 Russell Reconstitution Update

    Each June the Russell family of equity indexes are adjusted to reflect changes in the markets.  This annual process is commonly referred to as the Russell Reconstitution.   The Reconstitution occurs once a year in order to keep the cost associated with maintaining an index portfolio at a minimum or specifically to keep trading costs low. We are now half way through the Russell Reconstitution with two of the four steps behind us.  The almost month long process begins on the last[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Jun 11, 2015, 4:17 PM

    Earnings Next Week - 6/15 - 6/19

    Earnings Next Week - 6/15 - 6/19

    We are starting to emerge from the softest part of the earnings calendar and actually have three times as many stocks with short dated options reporting next week versus this past week.  Of course there was only one this week (LULU). The numbers on the table represent three years of history with Max being the biggest gain, Min being the biggest drop, Abs Avg representing the average move (higher or lower), and Last Q being what the stock did in reaction to earnings three months ago.     [...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Trade Ideas | Jun 11, 2015, 2:00 PM

    The Big $VIX Trade - Part 3

    The Big $VIX Trade - Part 3

    The title of this blog refers to three parts and this is because we just had the third trade in the ongoing saga of a large 1 x 2 call spread in VIX options come into the VIX option pit yesterday.  There is actually another piece to the puzzle as when the first trade was initiated part of the transaction involved a large sale of call options and that position may still be open.  I do my best to keep blogs short, but I’m going to run through all three transactions individually and[...]

  • VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Jun 10, 2015, 12:39 PM

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 6.10.15

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 6.10.15

    Volatility as an asset class Netflix (NFLX) is recently up $35.57 to $682.60 as shares trade at a record high on UBS raising its price target to $722 from $600 citing international launches, its superior content position, solid subscriber growth and reasonable valuation. June weekly call option implied volatility is at 32, June is at 30, July is at 40, October is at 37; compared to its 52-week range of 24 to 87. Johnson Controls (JCI) is recenlty up $2.74 to $54.30 after announcing that it is exploring[...]

  • VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Jun 10, 2015, 8:44 AM

    Blogging Options: CBOE Morning Update 6.10.15

    Blogging Options:  CBOE Morning Update 6.10.15

    Volatility as an asset class Netflix (NFLX) is recently up $7.55 to $654.70 in the premarket after UBS raised its price target to $722 from $600 citing international launches, its superior content position, solid subscriber growth and reasonable valuation. June weekly call option implied volatility is at 26, June is at 27, July is at 40, October is at 37; compared to its 52-week range of 24 to 87. Tesla (TSLA) is recently down 50c to $255.50 in the premarket after announcing the retirement of CFO[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Jun 9, 2015, 6:30 PM

    Russell 2000 Volatility and the Reconstitution Process

    Russell 2000 Volatility and the Reconstitution Process

    June means a lot of things to a lot of people such as kids getting out of school, finally putting away the snow blower in Chicago, or anticipating a well-deserved vacation.  For market watchers June means it is time for the Russell Reconstitution process. I spend a good amount of time focusing on market volatility, both historical and implied volatility.  Historical volatility can be obtained through a simple calculation on any financial market, whether it is a stock price, index, or even[...]

  • VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Jun 9, 2015, 1:37 PM

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 6.9.15

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 6.9.15

    Volatility as an asset class IShares Barclay 20+ YR Treasury ETF (TLT) is recently down 58c to $116.90 into FOMC meeting on June 16-17. June weekly call option implied volatility is at 16, June is at 17, July and August is at 16; compared to its 52-week range of 9 to 18. Proshares UltraShort Barc 20 Year Treasury ETF (TBT) is recently up 50c to $50.78. June weekly call option implied volatility is at 30, June is at 33, July is at 31, August is at 32, September is at 33; compared to its 52-week range[...]

  • VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Jun 9, 2015, 8:56 AM

    Blogging Options: CBOE Morning Update 6.9.15

    Blogging Options: CBOE Morning Update 6.9.15

    Volatility as an asset class Lululemon Athletica (LULU) is recently up $2.23 to $63.60 in the premarket after raising FY15 EPS to $1.86-$1.91 from $1.85-$1.90, compared to consensus $1.93. June weekly call option implied volatility is at 105, June is at 68, September is at 39; compared to its 52-week range of 27 to 62. H&R Block (HRB) is recently down 19c to $31.09 in the premarket reporting FY15 EPS $1.75, compared to consensus $1.73.  June call option implied volatility is at 33, July[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Jun 7, 2015, 2:30 PM

    The Week in Russell 2000 Trading - 6/1 - 6/5

    The Week in Russell 2000 Trading - 6/1 - 6/5

    Small cap stocks put up a great week last week with the Russell 2000 (RUT) rising 1.16% while the large cap oriented Russell 1000 (RUI) lost 0.59%. The chart below shows RUT pulling away from RUI for the second time this year – the first time beginning in early March before the lead being ceded to the Russell 1000 for a couple of weeks in May.  As of Friday, RUT is up 4.67% for the year while RUI has gained 2.21%. The difference between large cap and small cap volatility was[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Jun 7, 2015, 10:35 AM

    Listed Volatility Trading Expanding to Amsterdam and Paris

    Listed Volatility Trading Expanding to Amsterdam and Paris

    The volatility trading world will expand to two new markets this summer as Euronext plans to offer derivatives based two volatility indexes. Plans call for futures trading to commence based on the AEX Volatility Index (VAEX) and the CAC 40 Volatility Index (VCAC) in the next few weeks with options to follow sometime during the third quarter of this year. It has been a while since I checked in on either the Amsterdam based VAEX or Paris based VCAC so I got to running some numbers and creating[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Jun 6, 2015, 4:31 PM

    The Week in VIX - 6/1 - 6/5

    The Week in VIX - 6/1 - 6/5

    Summer is here, it’s sunny and 70 degrees outside as I write this so I'm writing fast in order to get out there before the weather turns again. Another indication that summer is here can be seen in the relatively quiet price action in the equity markets. It was a pretty non-volatile day for the markets. About an hour before the markets closed, a trader in the VIX pit actually rang the ceremonial bell (at the urging of the rest of the pit) as a humorous attempt at giving traders the rest of[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Jun 6, 2015, 11:04 AM

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 6/1 - 6/5

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 6/1 - 6/5

    The market digested the May Non-Farm Payroll number on Friday with both (weak) bullish and bearish cases being made for equities. I was asked about the number and my very non-quantitative response was to point to a tweet from Benzinga which depicted a guy just shrugging and looking bored. The week was pretty similar with the S&P 500 dropping 0.69% and all four of the volatility indexes in the term structure chart below moving higher, but by less than 4% across the board. The bond market was[...]

  • VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Jun 5, 2015, 12:20 PM

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 6.5.15

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 6.5.15

    Volatility as an asset class Proshares UltraShort Barc 20 Year Treasury ETF (TBT) is recently up 93c to $49.69 on May nonfarm payrolls rise 280K and May Unemployment at 5.5%. 6/12/15 call option implied volatility is at 30, June is at 32, September is at 33; compared to its 52-week range of 18 to 35. IShares Barclay 20+ YR Treasury ETF (TLT) is recently down $1.25 to $117.80. 6/12/15 call option implied volatility is at 15, June and July is at 16; compared to its 52-week range of 9 to 18. Wal-Mart[...]