• VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Jun 9, 2015, 1:37 PM

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 6.9.15

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 6.9.15

    Volatility as an asset class IShares Barclay 20+ YR Treasury ETF (TLT) is recently down 58c to $116.90 into FOMC meeting on June 16-17. June weekly call option implied volatility is at 16, June is at 17, July and August is at 16; compared to its 52-week range of 9 to 18. Proshares UltraShort Barc 20 Year Treasury ETF (TBT) is recently up 50c to $50.78. June weekly call option implied volatility is at 30, June is at 33, July is at 31, August is at 32, September is at 33; compared to its 52-week range[...]

  • VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Jun 9, 2015, 8:56 AM

    Blogging Options: CBOE Morning Update 6.9.15

    Blogging Options: CBOE Morning Update 6.9.15

    Volatility as an asset class Lululemon Athletica (LULU) is recently up $2.23 to $63.60 in the premarket after raising FY15 EPS to $1.86-$1.91 from $1.85-$1.90, compared to consensus $1.93. June weekly call option implied volatility is at 105, June is at 68, September is at 39; compared to its 52-week range of 27 to 62. H&R Block (HRB) is recently down 19c to $31.09 in the premarket reporting FY15 EPS $1.75, compared to consensus $1.73.  June call option implied volatility is at 33, July[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Jun 7, 2015, 2:30 PM

    The Week in Russell 2000 Trading - 6/1 - 6/5

    The Week in Russell 2000 Trading - 6/1 - 6/5

    Small cap stocks put up a great week last week with the Russell 2000 (RUT) rising 1.16% while the large cap oriented Russell 1000 (RUI) lost 0.59%. The chart below shows RUT pulling away from RUI for the second time this year – the first time beginning in early March before the lead being ceded to the Russell 1000 for a couple of weeks in May.  As of Friday, RUT is up 4.67% for the year while RUI has gained 2.21%. The difference between large cap and small cap volatility was[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Jun 7, 2015, 10:35 AM

    Listed Volatility Trading Expanding to Amsterdam and Paris

    Listed Volatility Trading Expanding to Amsterdam and Paris

    The volatility trading world will expand to two new markets this summer as Euronext plans to offer derivatives based two volatility indexes. Plans call for futures trading to commence based on the AEX Volatility Index (VAEX) and the CAC 40 Volatility Index (VCAC) in the next few weeks with options to follow sometime during the third quarter of this year. It has been a while since I checked in on either the Amsterdam based VAEX or Paris based VCAC so I got to running some numbers and creating[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Jun 6, 2015, 4:31 PM

    The Week in VIX - 6/1 - 6/5

    The Week in VIX - 6/1 - 6/5

    Summer is here, it’s sunny and 70 degrees outside as I write this so I'm writing fast in order to get out there before the weather turns again. Another indication that summer is here can be seen in the relatively quiet price action in the equity markets. It was a pretty non-volatile day for the markets. About an hour before the markets closed, a trader in the VIX pit actually rang the ceremonial bell (at the urging of the rest of the pit) as a humorous attempt at giving traders the rest of[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Jun 6, 2015, 11:04 AM

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 6/1 - 6/5

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 6/1 - 6/5

    The market digested the May Non-Farm Payroll number on Friday with both (weak) bullish and bearish cases being made for equities. I was asked about the number and my very non-quantitative response was to point to a tweet from Benzinga which depicted a guy just shrugging and looking bored. The week was pretty similar with the S&P 500 dropping 0.69% and all four of the volatility indexes in the term structure chart below moving higher, but by less than 4% across the board. The bond market was[...]

  • VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Jun 5, 2015, 12:20 PM

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 6.5.15

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 6.5.15

    Volatility as an asset class Proshares UltraShort Barc 20 Year Treasury ETF (TBT) is recently up 93c to $49.69 on May nonfarm payrolls rise 280K and May Unemployment at 5.5%. 6/12/15 call option implied volatility is at 30, June is at 32, September is at 33; compared to its 52-week range of 18 to 35. IShares Barclay 20+ YR Treasury ETF (TLT) is recently down $1.25 to $117.80. 6/12/15 call option implied volatility is at 15, June and July is at 16; compared to its 52-week range of 9 to 18. Wal-Mart[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Jun 5, 2015, 8:06 AM

    Blogging Options: CBOE Morning Update 6.5.15

    Blogging Options: CBOE Morning Update 6.5.15

    (Editors Note: Marty Kearney, Editor of CBOE OptionHub and Senior Instructor at Options Institute retires today after long (he says 100 year) option career. He hopes to contribute periodically to our blog).  May NFP reported as a gain of 280K, higher than the 240K expected (but a wide range of expectations this month).  March revised higher, April reduced fractionally. Headline Unemployment rises to 5.5%, caused by Participation Rate rising.  Average Hourly Wage up 0.3%, higher than[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Jun 4, 2015, 7:30 PM

    Earnings Next Week is all About LULU

    Earnings Next Week is all About LULU

    Next week is the biggest lull we will get this summer in the earnings calendar as only the always fun Lululemon Athletica (LULU) is scheduled to report earnings before the open on Tuesday next week. Since we have only one company reporting with short dated options available for trading I thought I would dig into this one a little more. First, here are the historical numbers for LULU based on the last three years or twelve quarters. Based on history, an average LULU move higher or lower off earnings[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Jun 4, 2015, 1:30 PM

    Call Stupid Buyer in VIX Options Today

    Call Stupid Buyer in VIX Options Today

    I came across a trade from Wednesday and headed down to the VIX pit to ask some questions before putting up a block trade blog. The response I got was, “Do you want to hear about something more interesting than that?” Usually when a question is answered with a question it is an indication that you should go elsewhere for answers. This is not one of those cases. In trader terms a “stupid” option trade is when a trades comes in a purchases two different options in a spread trade.[...]

  • VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Jun 4, 2015, 11:48 AM

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 6.4.15

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 6.4.15

    Volatility as an asset class Five Below (FEYE) is recently down after the discount retailer reported on better than expected Q1 results and raising 2015 outlook.  June call option implied volatility is at 33, July and August is at 32; compared to its 52-week range of 33 to 73. Ciena (CIEN) is recently up 46c to $24.90 after reporting better than expected Q2 results and a 2015 outlook. June weekly call option implied volatility is at 42, June is at 30, October is at 35; compared to its 52-week[...]

  • Market News | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Jun 4, 2015, 8:33 AM

    Blogging Options: CBOE Morning Update 6.4.15

    Blogging Options: CBOE Morning Update 6.4.15

    Overseas markets soft this morning, Asian shares had been much lower before cutting losses by 2/3.  Weekly Jobless in line to slightly better, Greek situation may be clearer by tomorrow's close - we've heard that before. VIX Futures active in extended overnight session with overseas volatility increasing.  10-year yield ticked at 2.4% earlier.  Traders in Chicago pleased with BlackHawks win last night.  Volatility as an asset class DISH (DISH) is up $3.79 to $74.60 in the premarket[...]

  • VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Jun 3, 2015, 12:43 PM

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 6.3.15

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 6.3.15

    Volatility as an asset class Proshares UltraShort Barc 20 Year Treasury ETF (TBT) is recently up $1.35 to $50.08 as traders react to expectations of the FOMC raising rates. June weekly call option implied volatility is at 42, June is at 34, September is at 33; compared to its 52-week range of 18 to 35. IShares Barclay 20+ YR Treasury ETF volatility elevated (TLT) is recently down $1.94 to $117.48.  June weekly call option implied volatility is at 21, June is at 17, July is at 16; compared to[...]

  • Market News | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Jun 3, 2015, 8:12 AM

    Blogging Options: CBOE Morning Update 6.3.15

    Blogging Options: CBOE Morning Update 6.3.15

    ADP Payroll's for May showed a gain of 201K new jobs, somewhat tepid as 95% were in Service Sector.  April ADP with a slight revision downward.  Friday's NFP still looking in + 225K range.  European shares helping US Futures rally on ECB leaving rates unchanged as expected, but also hints of wiggle room on Greece debt payment due Friday.  Gold & Oil lower, yields higher.  Game #1 of NHL Finals tonight, Go Hawks.   Volatility as an asset class Ambarella (AMBA) is[...]

  • The Fed Has Already Ushered in a New Fed Policy

    The Fed Has Already Ushered in a New Fed Policy

    Fed policy dictates money flows into most markets, including stocks, bonds, commodities and even currencies.  As the leading central banker, the Committee sets policy as it sees fit for the US economy yet we often see other nations' central banks pivot off the Fed.  That often happens at a slower pace as countries are in an 'I'll wait and see how it works' mode.  When the Fed went to a ZIRP (zero interest rate policy) in 2008/09 many other central banks aggressively followed and cut[...]