Trader Talk Archives - Cboe Blogs

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Apr 19, 2015, 7:45 AM

    VIX - Week of 4/13 - 4/17

    VIX - Week of 4/13 - 4/17

    We closed a chapter in VIX history with the April 2015 contract going off the board last week and May stepping in to be the new front month. May finished the week over a point closer to the spot VIX index as VIX rose over 10% and the May future only gained about 1.6%. About 45 minutes into the trading day there was a volatility trader looking out to June and expecting VIX to remain below 18.00 or at least be under 18 at June settlement. The trader sold 9,200 VIX Jun 18 Calls at 1.63 and then[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Apr 18, 2015, 1:00 PM

    Volatility Indexes and ETPs - Week of 4/13 - 4/17

    Volatility Indexes and ETPs - Week of 4/13 - 4/17

    Despite an ugly Friday both VXST and VIX remains pretty low relative to recent levels. I again included the 2014 average closing levels to the chart below. This inclusion isn’t so much about noting VIX is lower, but that VXV (3 month volatility) moved above the 2014 average and VXMT (6 month volatility) remains higher than what was the average for last year. Do note that VXV got some love this past week in a discussion by Adam Warner which then led to a story on CNBC.   The links[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Apr 18, 2015, 10:55 AM

    Earnings Next Week - 4/20 - 4/24

    Earnings Next Week - 4/20 - 4/24

    The calendar is heavy next week and I do apologize for not posting this a little earlier.  Luckily the majority of companies reporting next week release their numbers on Wednesday or Thursday so there are plenty of opportunities to place a short term option trade based on your outlook for an earnings reaction. As always this list represents three years of earnings reaction history, except when italicized, which indicates there is less than three years of data to work with.  Max is the biggest[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Apr 17, 2015, 3:06 PM

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 4/17/2015

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 4/17/2015

    The Weekly News Roundup is your weekly recap of CBOE features, options industry news and VIX and volatility-related articles from print, broadcast and online and social media outlets. MSCI Options Countdown Options on the MSCI Emerging Markets Index (EM) and the MSCI EAFE Index (EAFE) will make their trading debut at CBOE next week – Tuesday, April 21st.  These new products will give money managers an efficient method for managing risk exposure to equity markets outside the U.S. [...]

  • VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Apr 17, 2015, 11:53 AM

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 4.17.15

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 4.17.15

    Volatility as an asset class General Electric (GE) is recently up 9c to $27.37 after reporting Q1 operating EPS 31c, consensus 30c. April weekly call option implied volatility is at 21, May is at 16, June is at 17; compared to its 26-week average of 18. Honeywell (HON) is recently down $2.48 to $101.51 after maintaining lower its revenue outlook on a cautious view of the global economy. May call option implied volatility is at 16, June is at 15, September is at 17; compared to its 26-week average[...]

  • Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Apr 17, 2015, 8:25 AM

    Blogging Options: CBOE Morning Update 4.17.15

    Blogging Options: CBOE Morning Update 4.17.15

    Expiration Friday.  March CPI up 0.2%, Core Rate also up 0.2%, mostly in line.  Several factors pushing US Futures lower this morning.  Problems with Greece and EU persist (European shares off 1.3%), China adjusting margins and allowed short selling in the majority of stocks and as some traders are aware, there have been problems with Bloomberg terminals around the world.  A bond auction in England delayed due to this.   More economic data in first hour of trading. [...]

  • VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Apr 16, 2015, 11:40 AM

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 4.16.15

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 4.16.15

    Volatility as an asset class Philip Morris (PM)) is recently up $5.91 to $84.05 on better than expected Q1 results and outlook. April call option implied volatility is at 23, May is at 84, June is at 13, September is at 14; compared to its 26-week average of 17. Blackstone (BX) is recently up 81c to $41.84 on the asset manager reporting Q1 profit more than doubling. May and June call option implied volatility is at 18; compared to its 26-week average of 24. BlackRock (BLK) is recently down $6.95[...]

  • VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Apr 16, 2015, 7:58 AM

    Blogging Options: CBOE Morning Update 4.16.15

    Blogging Options: CBOE Morning Update 4.16.15

    Financial stocks doing well this morning on very good earnings, but markets watching European markets for direction.  DAX off ~1.6%, Oil nearing a 2% drop.  Housing Starts in March with a big miss, Weekly Claims rise. Blackhawks with double-overtime, come-from-behind win (game ended 11:25pm last night) has traders looking a little groggy this morning. VIX Futures with 13,500 contracts traded in extended overnight session.  Watch Europe.  Volatility as an asset class Netflix (NFLX)[...]

  • VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Apr 15, 2015, 12:00 PM

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 4.15.15

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 4.15.15

    Volatility as an asset class Bank of America (BAC) is recently down 19c to $15.64 after reporting Q1 EPS with items 27c, compared to consensus 29c.  April call option implied volatility is at 26, May and June is at 19; compared to its 26-week average of 24. PNC Financial (PNC) is recently down 96c to $92.66 after reporting Q1 revenue fell 1.2%. April call option implied volatility is at 21, May is at 18, August is at 16; compared to its 26-week average of 19. U.S. Bancorp (USB) is recently up[...]

  • Market News | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Apr 15, 2015, 7:48 AM

    Blogging Options: CBOE Morning Update 4.15.15

    Blogging Options: CBOE Morning Update 4.15.15

    BAC off fractionally as earnings swing to positive ($5.6B less in legal fees helps) but revenue misses.  DAL up $0.50 but even as earnings met, DAL sees turbulance with dollar ahead. GOOG with EU problems this morning. Several Chinese economic numbers missed overnight.  Oil up ~1%.  Empire State Manufacturing off ~1.2% for April (+6.9% March, +7% expected), New Orders at 2-year low. VIX settlement numbers will be released as they are available this morning.  Beige Book data after[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Education | Apr 14, 2015, 2:30 PM

    New Index Option Trading Opportunities at CBOE

    New Index Option Trading Opportunities at CBOE

    Next week, specifically Tuesday April 21st, CBOE will roll out option trading on two indexes calculated by MSCI. The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australasia, and Far East) and MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM) Index will be the first two of several index option markets based on the MSCI family of indexes that will have listed options available for trading at CBOE. These two new markets will give money managers an efficient method for managing risk exposure to equity markets outside the United States. There will[...]

  • VIX | Blogging Options | Trader Talk | Apr 13, 2015, 12:00 PM

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 4.13.15

    CBOE Mid-Day Update 4.13.15

    Volatility as an asset class JP Morgan (JPM) is recently up 43c to $62.13 into the expected release of Q1 results on April 14.  April call option implied volatility is at 29, May is at 18, June and September is at 17; compared to its 26-week average of 20. Wells Fargo (WFC) is recently up 28c to $54.60 in the expected release of Q1 results on April 14. April call option implied volatility is at 27, May is at 17, June is at 15; compared to its 26-week average of 17. IShares Barclay 20+ YR Treasury[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Apr 12, 2015, 9:13 AM

    The Week in VIX - 4/6 - 4/10

    The Week in VIX - 4/6 - 4/10

    The S&P 500 put up a nice week and VIX came under pressure closing Friday at the low for 2015. Take it how you want, either that there is nothing to worry about for the markets or there is too much complacency and we are ‘doomed’ (my favorite Charlie Brown word) to experience a pullback in 2015. Either way, if you are concerned about a market correction this year, there appears to be a sale on SPX options. VIX option volume was well over 1,000,000 contracts with one big trade attributing[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Apr 11, 2015, 10:14 AM

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 4/6 - 4/10

    The Week in Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 4/6 - 4/10

    Last week the S&P 500 was strong and volatility indexes were weak. I have been focusing on where the VXST – VIX – VXV – VXMT term structure curve has been in 2015 compared to the averages last year. For the first time in a while VXV dipped below the 2014 average with only 6 month SPX implied volatility still higher than the 2014 average so there may still be a little long term concern about the equity markets looming. Over the near term VXST under 10 and VIX back to the tweens[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Apr 10, 2015, 9:15 AM

    Block Trade Analysis - TWTR from 4/9/2015

    Block Trade Analysis - TWTR from 4/9/2015

    Earlier this week I was asked about option volume in shares of Twitter (TWTR) so the stock is sort of on my radar screen these days. Looking over block trading data from yesterday I came across the following trades that were done in two blocks of 15,000 late Thursday – Sell 30,000 TWTR Apr 17th 47 Puts at 0.05 Buy 30,000 TWTR Apr 17th 47 Calls at 5.10 Buy 30,000 TWTR May 15th 47 Puts at 1.48 Sell 30,000 TWTR May 15th 47 Calls at 6.55 Net Credit = 0.02 Since there are some TWTR rumors flying[...]