Trader Talk Archives - CBOE Blogs

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Feb 6, 2017, 9:08 AM

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 1/30 - 2/3

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 1/30 - 2/3

    VIX rose slightly last week while all standard futures contracts lost value.  February settlement is a week and a half off so the longer VIX remains in the 10’s the more drift lower we should expect out of the front month future.  As the front month starts to approach settlement date, VIX option traders start to focus on farther dated contracts, normally rolling to the following month.  However, it seems skipping March is in vogue among VIX traders with many of last week’s[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Feb 6, 2017, 7:44 AM

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 1/30 - 2/3

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 1/30 - 2/3

    Small caps continue to close the gap on large cap stocks as the Russell 2000 (RUT) gained 0.52% last week while the Russell 1000 (RUI) was up by 0.18%.  On the volatility front the CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) remains at the historical high end of value relative to VIX.  This can be attributed to VIX hovering around multiyear lows as much as RVX not following VIX to the lowest end of the range.   On Monday, as the first trading day of the week came to a close one trader[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jan 21, 2017, 1:58 PM

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 1/17 - 1/21

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 1/17 - 1/21

    The S&P 500 dropped a bit and VIX rose some last week.  For all the fear and uncertainty that has been in the air around the beginning of the Trump era in Washington DC, the markets have remained calm and not done a whole lot in the past few weeks.   We did get January VIX options settlement last week with VRO coming in at 12.42.  This is something I’m watching closely as I got a twitter question awhile back with respect to streaks where standard VIX settlement had[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Jan 19, 2017, 4:32 PM

    Earnings Week of 1/23 - 1/27

    Earnings Week of 1/23 - 1/27

    Earnings season is in full swing this week with something for everyone on the list below.  As always the data below is based on the last three years of earnings results unless the ticker is in italics.  The columns show the biggest rally, biggest drop, average move, and what the stock did last quarter in reaction to earnings.  Finally, double check the earnings dates as not all were confirmed.

  • Trader Talk | Jan 17, 2017, 11:49 AM

    Jesse Livermore: Lessons From the Greatest Trader

    Jesse Livermore:  Lessons From the Greatest Trader

    From the Mind of the Greatest Trader - Jesse Livermore Starting the new year is a great time to reflect on what happened on the past but also to look ahead of what's to come.  My reflection is about my trading history and analyzing where I can become better.  I also look to others to see where I can pick up ideas to improve.  One of my favorite trading books of all time is Reminiscence of a Stock Operator by Edwin Lefevre.  It is the true life story of Jesse Livermore, a stock[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jan 16, 2017, 9:08 AM

    Block Trade Analysis - XLI Bull Put Spreads from Friday

    Block Trade Analysis - XLI Bull Put Spreads from Friday

    Since the election of Donald Trump the stock market has been on a bullish run.  One sector that may benefit from the new administration is the industrial sector, whether that is due to an increase in infrastructure spending or through an increase in domestic manufacturing.  On Friday, last week there were a couple of bullish option trades that came into the Industrial Selector Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) ETF option market worth taking a look at. Before discussing these two trades I wanted to[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jan 15, 2017, 8:33 AM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/9 - 1/13

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 1/9 -  1/13

    There are two lines below although it may appear that there is only a purple line for parts of the VXST – VIX – VXV – VXMT curve.  In a round about way I’m saying not a lot happened in the world of S&P 500 option volatility last week. What really stands out on the table below is the price action of VVIX which rose over 12 points to finish the week over 90.  There were large buyers of February VIX call options last week which contributed to the rise[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Jan 14, 2017, 5:43 PM

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 1/9 - 1/13

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 1/9 - 1/13

    Last week VIX managed to finish the day below the 2016 closing low (11.27) twice.  If it were only Friday’s close I’d throw an asterisk in there for the three-day weekend effect, but there’s no holiday excuse for the Wednesday close of 11.26. This past week they (whoever ‘they’ are) couldn’t get enough of February VIX Calls.  On Friday, paper bought over 60,000 VIX Feb 21 Calls for 0.49.  On Thursday, there were three block trades of[...]

  • Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 1/9 - 1/13

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 1/9 - 1/13

    It was a quiet week for the markets with a lack of economic data, the earnings calendar being light (that changes next week) and our president elect speaking to the press but not making statements to impact the equity markets too much.  The result was a 0.35% gain for the Russell 2000 (RUT) and a drop of 0.04% for large cap stocks as represented by the Russell 1000 (RUI). The next chart is a regular feature in this space.  I decided since the premium of the CBOE Russell 2000[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jan 11, 2017, 2:38 PM

    Getting the 2017 Party Started

    Getting the 2017 Party Started

    The cliffhanger last time involved the $6.50 put for UVXY expiring this Friday, January 13th.  I had sold twenty contracts on January 4th for premium received of $0.18 each.  It turns out that I got nervous about this put when UVXY touched 6.57 later that day.  I knew I had time, but I also believed that the nature of UVXY was not on my side, and I began plotting to trade out of these options and eventually replace them with more advantageous ones. It turns out I didn't have to wait[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jan 6, 2017, 10:10 AM

    Earnings Next Week 1/9 - 1/13

    Earnings Next Week 1/9 - 1/13

    One more week until earnings season kicks in.  In the mean time we have three major financials releasing numbers on Friday 13th.  As always the data below is based on the last three years of earnings results unless the ticker is in italics.  The columns show the biggest rally, biggest drop, average move, and what the stock did last quarter in reaction to earnings.  Finally, double check the earnings dates as not all were confirmed.

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jan 5, 2017, 1:28 PM

    Follow the Bouncing...Arrow

    Follow the Bouncing...Arrow

    Yesterday, January 4th, in order to start out the new year with some degree of nail-biting (figuratively) drama, I hatched a little plan involving some short shares of UVXY.  The first thing I did was to buy to close 400 shares, reducing the 1,800 I had opened the previous day to 1,400 in quantity.  My plan was to re-short those 400 shares later in the day or on some upcoming day, along with 200 more which I envisioned as a day trade. Then, thinking about the 1,400 short shares I still[...]

  • Market News | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jan 3, 2017, 11:04 AM

    Earnings Week of 1/3 - 1/6

    Earnings Week of 1/3 - 1/6

    A very small but mighty list with MON and WBA reporting Thursday before the open.  As always the data below is based on the last three years of earnings results unless the ticker is in italics.  The columns show the biggest rally, biggest drop, average move, and what the stock did last quarter in reaction to earnings.  Finally, double check the earnings dates as not all were confirmed.

  • Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Dec 29, 2016, 8:54 AM

    Looking Forward to 2017

    Looking Forward to 2017

    Christmas certainly came early this year, but where would I look for more presents in the season of giving? Consumers, not corporations run the economy. We collectively are responsible for 70% of our economy, so when we are more confident, when sentiment is positive, it is reflected in stock prices. In 2017 I see several catalysts for higher consumer confidence: 1) Lower taxes 2) Redo or Replace Obamacare, both of which will put more change in consumer's pockets. Where will they spend that? CONSUMER[...]

  • Big Option Activity and Bullish Social Media Sentiment Before Today's KATE Rally

    Big Option Activity and Bullish Social Media Sentiment Before Today's KATE Rally

    Shares of Kate Spade (KATE) made a mid-day headline grabbing move as news came out saying the company was considering putting itself up for sale.  A couple of things happened before the news that have people talking.  The first was in the option market where a few minutes before the stock rallied there were a few very well timed call option purchases.  The time and sales below highlights some of the bigger trades from today. Data Source: LiveVol Pro The buy of just under 2,000 KATE[...]