VIX Archives - CBOE Blogs

  • VIX | Education | Jul 5, 2016, 9:13 AM

    Gaps and Volatility: Will it Be a 'V' or a 'W'?

    Gaps and Volatility: Will it Be a 'V' or a 'W'?

    Since the middle of June we have seen some remarkable market action. What started out with a rather shallow dip morphed into a near-catastrophic drop following the Brexit decision toward the end of the month, leaving many to wonder if they should have followed the 'sell in May and go Away' advice from the prior month. Volatility started to kick up mid-month as the Brexit vote came closer, in fact European markets reacted far more negatively leading up to the vote with the VSTOXX term structure showing[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Jul 3, 2016, 9:20 AM

    Weekend Review - VIX Futures and Options - 6/27 - 7/1

    Weekend Review - VIX Futures and Options - 6/27 - 7/1

    The curve below is what happens when you have the biggest week over week drop for VIX on record. The 42% loss in VIX shattered the previous largest drop of 36.53% which occurred in the last week of 2012. Not so coincidentally both were weeks before a three-day weekend. Late Monday, with the July VIX Futures at 23.70 and spot VIX at 23.85 someone came in taking a long position in the VIX Jul 20th 22 Puts paying 2.75. The payoff at July settlement appears below, but by the end of the week[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jul 2, 2016, 7:42 PM

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 6/27 - 7/1

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 6/27 - 7/1

    Small cap stocks, in the form of the Russell 2000 Index (RUT) were up 2.51% last week, which was a nice rebound from the previous week’s reaction to Brexit vote. However, large cap stocks rebounded by a wider margin with the Russell 1000 (RUI) gaining 3.10%. Both benchmark indexes are higher for 2016 but RUI is had a 1.01% lead on RUT (2.85% vs. 1.84%). VIX experienced the biggest weekly drop on record losing just over 42%. The chart below is just as dramatic, but in the other[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Strategy | Jun 30, 2016, 6:04 PM

    First Half of 2016 Confirms a Higher Volatility Regime

    First Half of 2016 Confirms a Higher Volatility Regime

    We are already half way done with 2016 and it appears what we thought going into the year is being confirmed by SPX implied volatility. If the Fall of 2015 there was lots of chatter about the equity markets in the US shifting from a low to a high volatility regime. The low volatility regime had been in place for several years and the first signal of a change came back in late August 2015 when VIX topped 50 intraday for the first time since the great financial crisis. I have two favorite charts[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Education | Trade Ideas | Jun 28, 2016, 9:19 AM

    How Did the Brexit Timeline Affect Volatility?

    How Did the Brexit Timeline Affect Volatility?

    Editors note - the following blog was put together by a team of interns from CBOE.  Nicholas Ghilardi will be a Junior at the University of Illinois in Urbana-Champaign and is majoring in Engineering Physics with a minor in Mathematics. Gillian Hood will be Junior at Vanderbilt University and is majoring in Economics with minors in Corporate Strategy and Finance. Noah Silverman will be a Sophomore at Washington University in St. Louis and is majoring in Finance.  Last Thursday,[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Futures | Jun 27, 2016, 12:34 PM

    Weekly Market Outlook - Where Things Stand After Brexit

    Weekly Market Outlook - Where Things Stand After Brexit

    Through Thursday, not only was the market's action palatable, it was downright bullish. Investors were increasingly confident the Brexit wouldn't happen. Big mistake. When traders realized the "leave" crowd just edged out the "remain" crowd, it pulled the rug out from underneath the bullishness. When all was said and done, Friday's 3.6% plunge from the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) translated into a loss of 1.6% for the week. Now what? Good question. Perhaps the one-day drubbing[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Jun 26, 2016, 6:30 PM

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Volatility and Options - 6/20 - 6/24

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Volatility and Options - 6/20 - 6/24

    Both large and small cap stocks got hit on a week over week basis, with the Russell 2000 (RUT) holding up slightly better (-1.47%) than the Russell 1000 (RUI) which lost 1.62%. For the year both are down less than 1% with RUI holding a slight year to date performance edge of 0.40%. In the past when there is heightened concern regarding the global equity markets the RVX / VIX premium tends to drop to low level. That happened in early 2016 and that happened again Friday as the premium[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Jun 26, 2016, 2:41 PM

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 6/20 - 6/24

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 6/20 - 6/24

    On Thursday the world appeared to have dodged a bullet, but much like counting your chickens before the hatch, the market reacted a little too quickly and early to the assumed outcome of the EU referendum in Britain. The result was Friday which does not need to be rehashed here. The week over week changes for VIX and the standard monthly VIX futures appear below. Things we look more dramatic if I’d use the Thursday to Friday changes to construct the chart. Periodically I’ll[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Jun 25, 2016, 1:12 PM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 6/20 - 6/24

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 6/20 - 6/24

    Global stocks took it on the chin Friday after the outcome for the vote in Britain determined that the majority of voters want to break from the European Union. Usually I show the week over week change for VXST, VIX, VXV, and VXMT to lead off this blog. Because the week over week change doesn’t tell the full story I included the closing prices from Thursday as well. The lowest line on the chart shows the closing levels for each of these S&P 500 oriented volatility indexes the day before[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Jun 24, 2016, 1:45 PM

    A Quick Thought on VIX Price Action Today

    A Quick Thought on VIX Price Action Today

    I’m in New York today and have been in contact with several different types of market participants. A common theme in the conversations I’ve had about today’s action was that VIX seemed too low relative to the panic going on in global equity markets. VIX in the low 20’s didn’t have the feel of a market panic equivalent to the S&P 500 losing over 3%. However, it is worth noting that VIX moved higher overnight, but has been hovering in a range most of the day. The[...]

  • VIX | Futures | Jun 24, 2016, 11:57 AM

    Skew Charts Show Higher Implied Volatility for O-T-M Puts on SPX, RUT, EFA and FXB

    Skew Charts Show Higher Implied Volatility for O-T-M Puts on SPX, RUT, EFA and FXB

    After the results of the Brexit referendum were announced , the values of several volatility indexes at CBOE shot up, indicating that overall implied volatility had increased for many securities worldwide. A key issue for some cautious investors who want to hedge is – what are the implied volatilities for various out-of-the-money (O-T-M) put options that can be used to hedge my portfolio?   Below are Livevol skew charts for four key securities – SPX, RUT, EFA, and FXB –[...]

  • VIX | Futures | Jun 24, 2016, 11:48 AM

    VIX Futures Set Overnight Volume Record

    VIX Futures Set Overnight Volume Record

    The CBOE Futures Exchange, LLC (CFE®) today announced record volume was set in VIX Futures traded in non-U.S. trading hours with an estimated 235,000 contracts changing hands. Today’s record surpasses the previous single-day record of 140,811 contracts set during the overnight session on August 24, 2015. With the addition of today’s trading data, monthly volume in VIX Futures in non-U.S. trading hours also set a record, with June volume traded in the overnight session totaling an[...]

  • VIX | Futures | Jun 24, 2016, 10:46 AM

    14 Volatility Indexes (including VXEFA, JYVIX & VIX®) Rise by More Than 10% Friday Morning

    14 Volatility Indexes (including VXEFA, JYVIX & VIX®) Rise by More Than 10% Friday Morning

    After the news of the results on the Brexit referendum were disclosed, implied volatility for many key securities worldwide rose, and the values of 14 volatility indexes at CBOE – (tickers: VXEFA, JYVIX, EVZ, VXO, VIX®, VXN, VXGS, VXXLE, VXD, EUVIX, VXIBM, VXST, VXGOG, and RVX) – rose by more than 10% by 9 am CT on Friday, June 23. To see updates on price movements for 29 volatility indexes, visit www.cboe.com/volatility. FUTURES ON VIX® INDEX Reported trading volume in VIX[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Futures | Jun 24, 2016, 7:00 AM

    Checking in on the VIX Overnight Action

    Checking in on the VIX Overnight Action

    Things are moving faster than I can type this morning, but here’s a quick update and some perspective on the overnight VIX action in response to Britain voting to exit the EU. Global stock futures are lower and we all know that results in higher volatility. The curve made a pretty dramatic shift with VIX rising over 40%. The table above only shows the monthly contracts, but it is worth noting that the VIX Weekly Futures contract expiring next Wednesday was up about 40% to 22.50 when I last[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | Jun 22, 2016, 1:53 PM

    Taking Apples from Somewhere Near the Top of the Tree

    Taking Apples from Somewhere Near the Top of the Tree

    The best way to tell a story (well, maybe not always) is to tell it in the order in which it happened. In this case, I'll start where I left off, and that means to describe the mystery position I took at the end of the last post. I made mention of it, but did not divulge it. It turns out I opened and closed that position all on the same day, so that by the time my last article went to press, it was already in the can. Here's the rundown for my June 3rd open/shut: Pictorial illustration of the entry[...]