VIX Archives - CBOE Blogs

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jun 10, 2017, 6:39 PM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 6/5/2017 - 6/9/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 6/5/2017 - 6/9/2017

    That little bump in VXST that shows up on the far left side of the diagram below can be attributed to Friday afternoon activity.  VXST rose 0.75 Friday while VIX was up 0.54.  Shorter dated SPX option pricing is used to calculate VXST than VIX.  It may be the weakness Friday afternoon in large cap tech stocks may have traders worrying about the direction of the stock market over the short term.  Several things pop out at me on the table below.  VMAX had a nice week rising[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jun 10, 2017, 6:31 PM

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 6/5/2017 - 6/9/2017

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 6/5/2017 - 6/9/2017

    Small cap stocks prevailed last week as the Russell 2000 (RUT) gained over 1% while the Russell 1000 (RUI) was lower by about 1/3 of 1%.  Large cap stocks still hold a lead over small caps in 2017, but the Russell 2000 has kept pace with the Russell 1000 since the end of the first quarter so all the large cap outperformance may be attributed to the first three months of 2017.  On the volatility front VIX and the CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) rose last week, with the relative[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jun 3, 2017, 8:31 PM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/30/2017 - 6/2/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/30/2017 - 6/2/2017

    The VXST – VIX – VXV – VXMT week over week curve change only has one noticeable move.  VXST was up nicely last week, but we are going to attribute the whole move to the 3 day weekend effect and say the curve was basically unchanged.  The long volatility funds drifted down and short volatility ruled the week with SVXY rising 2% and relative newcomer VMIN gaining 2.2% last week.  Worth noting below is VVIX which remains above 80.00 despite VIX closing for the second[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Jun 3, 2017, 7:40 PM

    Weekend Review of VIX Options and Futures - 5/30/2017 - 6/2/2017

    Weekend Review of VIX Options and Futures - 5/30/2017 - 6/2/2017

    VIX dropped slightly as the S&P 500 powered to more all-time highs last week.  The slight drop in VIX can be attributed to the already extremely low level that it closed last week.  The futures all dropped a little as well, which may be more about moving along in time than lower volatility expectations.  VIX closed under 10.00 more times this year than any other year in history.  The average for VIX is historically low as well in 2017.  So, why is the short VIX trade[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | May 28, 2017, 9:36 AM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/22/2017 - 5/26/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/22/2017 - 5/26/2017

    VXST closed Friday at an all-time low of 7.60 which sounds impressive until you hear that for VXST the history we have to work with only goes back to 2011.  I am going to make a bold prediction and say that VXST will move higher when the market reopens on Tuesday.  Read that as sarcasm as VXST has never followed a three-day weekend without moving higher.  After having a short period of upward movement, the VIX related funds gave back performance and then some last week.  The[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | May 28, 2017, 8:40 AM

    Weekend Review of VIX Options and Futures - 5/22/2017 - 5/26/2017

    Weekend Review of VIX Options and Futures - 5/22/2017 - 5/26/2017

    VIX finished the week at 9.81, just a tad above the post 2008 lows put in earlier this month.  The June 2017 VIX cycle is five weeks long so there’s still plenty of time until June 21st expiration.  The result is one of the steepest curves a can recall in the six years of posting these weekend blogs.  Friday, about an hour into the trading day, there was an interesting bull put spread executed in the VIX pit.  With VIX at 9.80 and the June 7th VIX Future at 10.80 someone[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | May 27, 2017, 12:56 PM

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 5/22/2017 - 5/26/2017

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 5/22/2017 - 5/26/2017

    Large cap dominance continued last week as the Russell 1000 (RUI) gained 1.41% last week outdoing the Russell 2000 (RUT) performance of 1.09%.  For the year RUI is just a little under 6% ahead of RUT. With VIX finishing the week below 10.00 the CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) level relative to VIX is at high levels.  That is really more of a function of low volatility across the board, but continued underperformance of small caps is probably a contributing factor as well. [...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | May 21, 2017, 5:55 AM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/15/2017 - 5/19/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/15/2017 - 5/19/2017

    The week over week VXST – VIX – VXV – VXMT curve moved higher and appears to have done so in a very parallel fashion.  Since the week over week change doesn’t do the actual activity justice so I added the Wednesday closing curve to the graphic below.  I was honestly a little surprised at how little the S&P 500 dropped on a week over week basis and double checked the number.  I made a joking prediction Thursday morning that we would retrace the Trump Dump[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Strategy | Trade Ideas | May 20, 2017, 5:23 PM

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 5/15/2017 to 5/19/2017

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 5/15/2017 to 5/19/2017

    Small caps did not have a good week, despite the rebound in the equity markets after Wednesday’s swoon.  The Russell 2000 (RUT) was down over 1% last week actually dipping into negative territory for 2017 before recovering at the end of the week.  Large cap stocks as represented by the Russell 1000 (RUI) held up better than small caps with RUI down only 0.40% for the week. When volatility spikes the relative move is usually greater for VIX that the CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | May 20, 2017, 5:14 PM

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 5/15/2017 to 5/19/2017

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 5/15/2017 to 5/19/2017

    The term structure and payoff below does not do any justice to what those of us that focus on VIX and related markets this past week.  In fact, when the dust settled, all the standard futures were hardly changed on the week. Just to record what did happen last week I made a second term structure chart that includes the close on Wednesday in addition to the Friday closing curves.  As Wednesday was one of the biggest moves for VIX to the upside in several months, there were a few brave[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | May 13, 2017, 9:24 AM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/8/2017 - 5/12/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/8/2017 - 5/12/2017

    This time last week we were all pretty certain that the final round of the French election was a done deal.  Short term SPX implied volatility wasn’t taking any chances with VXST closing last Friday at 11.40.  With the election outcome going as expected VXST got a little crushed and the shape of the VXST – VIX – VXV – VXMT curve moved back to contango.  Both the S&P 500 and VIX dropped last week, as the number of potential stock market land mines over[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | May 13, 2017, 9:17 AM

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 5/8/2017 - 5/12/2017

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 5/8/2017 - 5/12/2017

    VIX was slightly lower on the week despite the S&P 500 dropping as well.  The near dated futures worked lower with May finishing Friday at premium of just over 0.80 as that contract goes off the board this coming week.  From August and beyond the futures were actually higher which creates a pretty steep curve below. On Tuesday, we got what I am going to refer to as a MOAVCS (Mother of all VIX Call Spreads).  Near the end of the day a trader came in and purchased at least 195,000[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | May 7, 2017, 7:24 PM

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 5/1/2017 - 5/5/2017

    Weekend Review of Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 5/1/2017 - 5/5/2017

    Large cap stocks widened the performance spread with small cap stocks with the Russell 1000 (RUI) gaining and the Russell 2000 (RUT) dropping a bit last week.  For the year, RUI is up 7.13% while RUT is up 2.94%. VIX dropped last week, but the CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) was higher.  Admittedly, RVX was up only 0.02 but when combined with the VIX drop of 0.25 the result is a slight widening of the spread between RVX and VIX.  One trader put on a position late Friday[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | May 7, 2017, 7:21 PM

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/1/2017 - 5/5/2017

    Weekend Review of Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 5/1/2017 - 5/5/2017

    The chart below may be one of the final references to the French Election which came to an end this weekend.  Note VXST, which reflects the IV of very short term SPX options was elevated going into the weekend.  I don’t think it is too much of a stretch to say that a quick drop in VXST may be in the cards come Monday morning.  SKEW dropping dramatically last week may be the last bastion of higher volatility dropping.  This happened despite VIX dropping which makes the[...]

  • VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | May 6, 2017, 9:57 AM

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 5/1/2017 - 5/5/2017

    Weekend Review of VIX Futures and Options - 5/1/2017 - 5/5/2017

    VIX managed to (briefly) put in a post Great Financial Crisis low hitting 9.90 on Monday and sneaking in a 9.99 low on Friday as well.  Full disclosure, I didn’t even see the 9.99 print on Friday, but then again, we are getting conditioned against getting too excited when VIX dips below 10.  Worth noting below is the bigger drop in the May future when compared to spot VIX.  Typically, we see this closer to expiration, but when there’s very little on the horizon that the[...]