VIX Archives - Cboe Blogs

  • VIX | Oct 4, 2016, 9:58 AM

    CBOE and RCM Alternatives Event on VIX Futures Trading

    CBOE and RCM Alternatives Event on VIX Futures Trading

    The CBOE Options Institute is teaming up with RCM Alternatives on October 13th from 4:30 to 8:00 for a discussion and expert panel on VIX Futures and Options trading.  The even will be held at CBOE with a reception following in the Member's Lounge that overlooks the trading floor. The event will cover the current landscape and forecast for the VIX, misconceptions and facts about the structure of VIX futures, and the evolution of how this “fear gauge” has evolved as a trading instrument. After[...]

  • VIX | Oct 3, 2016, 9:59 AM

    How Would a Cubs World Series Victory Impact VIX?

    How Would a Cubs World Series Victory Impact VIX?

    The baseball regular season came to an end yesterday and the Chicago Cubs are positioned to make a historic run that most expect will end in a World Series victory.  See what happens when a trader takes control of a team.... Since many people thought this would never happen, it may also be thought of as a black swan event and we all know that black swans have a dramatic impact on market volatility and show up in an elevated level for the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, commonly[...]

  • BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - Mildly Bullish Undertow

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - Mildly Bullish Undertow

    Stocks managed to log a gain last week, but it was a "just barely" situation. The S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) ended only 0.1% higher than it ended the prior week, and still closed below all of its key technical resistance levels. The bulls are going to have to do better than this to achieve escape velocity. Still, the undertow remains technically bullish, and a break above the ceilings here is within easy reach. We'll look at the hurdles and weigh the odds after a quick run-down of last[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Oct 2, 2016, 8:39 AM

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 9/26 - 9/30

    Weekend Review - VIX Options and Futures - 9/26 - 9/30

    The VIX curve did The Twist (cue Chuck Berry) as spot VIX rose 8% and the front month October contract was up by just over 1%.  Beyond the front month all things were red. The highest closing level for VIX last week came on Monday with the spot index finishing the day at 14.50.  One trader had an expectation that this move up would very short lived and decided to sell a call spread with VIX Weeklys Options that expired on the open this past Wednesday.  Just a few minutes[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Oct 1, 2016, 12:53 PM

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 9/26 - 9/30

    Weekend Review - Russell 2000 Options and Volatility - 9/26 - 9/30

    For the first time in a while the Russell 1000 was higher while the Russell 2000 lost value last week.  The numbers were slight with RUI up 0.15% and RUT down 0.26%.  For the year RUT still maintains a nice lead with three months to go in 2016. The CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index maintains a high spread relative to VIX continuing to hover around that 40% level.   On Monday the Russell 2000 came under a little pressure and one trader decided to take advantage of this[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Futures | Sep 26, 2016, 9:48 AM

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - September 26, 2016

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - September 26, 2016

    While the market may have ended last week on a sour note, a little pre-weekend profit-taking can't entirely come as a surprise. Once traders learned on Wednesday the Federal Reserve wouldn't be imposing a rate-hike this month, they celebrated in the form of a 1.7% advance that lasted all the way through Thursday's close. Friday's 0.6% lull didn't even drag any of the major indices back below their most important technical levels. Still, stocks could just as easily kick-start a pullback here as they[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Sep 25, 2016, 3:00 PM

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 9/25/2016

    The Weekly Options News Roundup – 9/25/2016

    2016 Risk Management Conference Europe Tomorrow kicks off the 5th annual CBOE Risk Management Conference Europe at the Powerscourt Hotel in County Wicklow, Ireland.  The industry’s top traders, strategists and researchers will convene to discuss the latest products and strategies for managing risks, that enhance yields and lower portfolio volatility. For more information, see http://www.cboermc.com. “2016 CBOE Risk Management Conference Europe” – Hedgeweek http://bit.ly/2dahuti Options[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Futures | Trade Ideas | Sep 24, 2016, 5:18 PM

    Weekend Review - VIX Futures and Options - 9/19 - 9/23

    Weekend Review - VIX Futures and Options - 9/19 - 9/23

    VIX reacted to the post FOMC rally by giving up just over 20% last week.  The standard September contract went off the board leaving October to take over as the front month.  With a little time until October expiration (10/19) the result has been resumption of pretty steep contango.  Of course there are some potentially market moving events between now and the end of the year so VIX futures bracing for some sort of spike may be expected. As I wrote the previous paragraph[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Sep 24, 2016, 5:05 PM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 9/19 - 9/23

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 9/19 - 9/23

    Janet Yellen spoke and volatility dropped.  I wonder if she's the kind of guest that shows up and ruins parties like she dampens any moves in S&P 500 volatility. The table below has a ton of red, as would be expected following a week where VIX drops about 20%.  I did field a question on Friday regarding last week's drop in the context of history and it ranks in about the top 50 week over week drops out of 1400 weekly observations.  VVIX continues to be resilient.  In[...]

  • Market News | Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Strategy | Sep 19, 2016, 9:35 AM

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - Fed Wednesday Looms

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - Fed Wednesday Looms

    As much as the bulls tried last week, they could never get the market back above a key hurdle. The threat of a September rate hike just continued to circulate, and never gave the buyers a chance to get traction. Then again, the bears didn't make any progress either. They had several opportunities to deal a short-term death blow to the market, but could never get the job done. With the a key rate hike decision looming on Wednesday, odds are good traders aren't going to make any major push before then.[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Sep 18, 2016, 2:53 PM

    Weekend Review - VIX Futures and Options - 9/12 - 9/16

    Weekend Review - VIX Futures and Options - 9/12 - 9/16

    VIX gave up a little over 12% while the futures were lower, but not nearly to the extent that spot VIX lost value.  We are back to contango in the blink of an eye. VIX options and futures trade until 3:15 Chicago time each day.  Late Friday, after the official stock market closing time of 3:00, someone came in and did a pretty interesting trade in VIX.  The trade involved a purchase of 3,000 VIX Sep 21st 20 Calls at 0.19 each and then sold 10,000 VIX Sep 21st 23 Calls[...]

  • Market News | VIX | Trader Talk | Trade Ideas | Sep 18, 2016, 7:25 AM

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 9/12 - 9/16

    Weekend Review - Volatility Indexes and ETPs - 9/12 - 9/16

    After a lot of zigging and zagging VIX and the other S&P 500 related volatility indexes finished lower on a week over week basis.  The curve depicting the relationship among VXST, VIX, VXV, and VXMT even returned to a historically normally shape. I found VVIX remaining over 100 interesting despite last week's drop in VIX.  Also, the drop in TYVIX is noteworthy as it occurred in front of a week where we get a Fed decision. In the exchange traded product space the long funds[...]

  • VIX | Sep 17, 2016, 10:09 AM

    Back to VIX Specials

    Back to VIX Specials

    Summer didn't draw to a close without telling us it was doing so.  If any VIX-watchers were sleeping, they're awake now. Most of the summer seemed flat and long as a football field, and while that should've been easy, I made it difficult for myself by trying from July 19th onward to profit from something that simply wasn't happening just because I wished it and staked it out repeatedly:  The return of any kind of volatility or at least the end of the silent, somnolent, stubbornly-immobile[...]

  • Technical Analysis & Charts | VIX | Futures | Sep 12, 2016, 10:50 AM

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - Key Levels To Watch Here

    BigTrends.com Weekly Market Outlook - Key Levels To Watch Here

    Things were going fine last week... until Friday, when it all came completely unraveled.  Friday's 2.45% stumble in the S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) was not only the biggest single-day loss since June when the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union, it carried the market to its lowest close since early-July. Some key support levels were snapped too. Bad news? Maybe, though ironically, the sheer size of Friday's meltdown has a shot at spurring a dead-cat bounce (not unlike the post-Brexit[...]

  • VIX | Education | Sep 12, 2016, 10:00 AM

    Market Volatility Does Live

    Market Volatility Does Live

    With respect to the old Christmas folklore story, 'Yes Virginia, there is Volatility'.  The massive move this past Friday was not telegraphed, but then the first big move down hardly ever is.  Nobody rings a bell at the top, nor at the bottom.  Navigating the markets without the proper instruments becomes a very dicey proposition, and certainly with the right tools there is no guarantee of success, certainly with the timing. For instance, the overbought sentiment has been frothy for[...]