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Inside Volatility Trading: Is VIX Backwardation Necessarily a Sign of a Future Down Market?
Since the beginning of 2022, the Cboe Volatility Index® (“VIX”) futures curve has shifted higher, indicating that expectations for volatility in the market remain elevated. In fact, the 200 Day Simple Moving Average has risen from 18.59 on January 3rd to its current level of 24.03, a 29% increase. But what has happened to the shape of the VIX futures curve and how might this be a precursor of market performance?
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